Todays attack of Russia on #Ukraine was the biggest military failure of Russia in a long time. The strategic balance has shifted after tonight, allow me to explain how Russia lost tonights "Billion Dollar Brawl" in a catastrophic manner. This attack involved a very substantial amount of weapons, fired in a time and space coordinated fashion on select targets. The idea behind such an attack against air defense is to overwhelm the defending side with force, in a so called "saturation attack". Any missle system only has a limited amount of ready to fire missles, before it needs to reload. The well known Patriot System has 4 Missles per Launcher Truck with PAC-2 Missles, and 16 with the smaller PAC-3 Missles. The IRIS-T System is similar, with 8 Ready to Fire Missles per Truck. See below picture, once they are fired, you need to take a truck, reload the launcher with new "boxes", that are both the storage and launch container. So why did the strategic balance shift today? Russia has saved up cruise missles and other missle assets for quite some time, to plan and execute this attack on critical civillian infrastructures of Ukraine. They have used their intelligence assets to try to understand how the Air Defence of Ukraine is structured. They have employed so called SEAD/DEAD Missions using Anti-Radiation Missles and Electronic Warfare, both aimed at rendering Air Defence ineffective and destroying it. This was not "nothing", this was likely the best gameplan they could execute, with the assets available. Despite these efforts, they were only able to hit with less than 5% of the ordnance employed. Thats a failure of russian strategic aviation, and signals that Russia, despite gains on the ground, will no longer be able to massively attack ukrainian critial infrastructures. This would have been unthinkable a year ago, this is a huge triumph for #ukraine but also the countries supporting it. #nato #russia