Meteorologist West-Europe
The Netherlands
Joined July 2015
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Around 30th oktober i will be at home and right away i will start my tweets /interactions with you all and winter updates/forecasts/weathermodel analyses and many more.
Gr Ryan Jagram.
It will be ok as usual.
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Risk of colder frosty and some parts of west europe also risk for wintry showers or just snow signals is growing stronger.
As i see polar vortex condition current and forecast projections and général weather circulation related for N H continent , that AO followed shortly by NAO will indeed tank towards negative values ,and prolonged stronger is possible as we think at this moment.
MetRyanJ/Europe retweeted
"If at first you don't succeed, try, try again." First pulse of vertical energy transfer (WAFz) did not succeed but GFS is predicting the second pulse will make #PolarVortex weaker than normal to end the month as seen in polar cap geopotential heights. Plot now extends to 1 mb!
Tomorrow i will highlight some GFS and ECMWF forecast projections with some weathercharts and great classic analyses.
About time now.
Great followers be safe in these hard times with covid 19.
Me facing second complete lockdown in this year Rotterdam/Netherlands.
Charts from main weathermodels starting to project very strong signals towards wintry weather for west and nord and parts of Europe continent.
Colder with also risk of snow and freeze weather.
UK Ireland and Netherlands Belgium included.
Disruptions of Polar vortex in the make and frequent or major one , i just feel it.
me have to look into how strong la Nina is now , or some insider who can tell me that?
I did not have looked into that yet.
And QBO ?
Last winter from start it was clear that winter was lost for all parts of NH continent.
Due to spin up from pv at insanity strong levels.
This year , we have at least a good decent chance west europe, and als east USA.
Hang on.
I expect AO fallowed by NAO to trend serious levels of negative values.
This seems very positive for a cold snow ontbreak also for Europ and east USA.
We are not yet There, but for now on the right roadmap to winter.