Mapping the 2026 Wisconsin State Legislative Elections Live https://nitter.gq/t.co/8JV23YrVeR
Madison, WI
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In 2024, WI Assembly Republicans in two-way races (n=78) overperformed by an average 3.59% margin relative to President Trump's 0.86% margin, implying an R+4.5 legislative ballot.
This would be an 11-12% swing towards Democrats that could flip strongly Republican seats.
Among likely voters, the legislative vote closely mirrors the vote for governor, with 51% saying they will vote for the Democratic legislative candidate and 44% for the Republican. #mulawpoll
This would favor Democrats to win AD85, AD30, and AD92, expanding their majority beyond the simple 50-49 majority that would come with a sweep of the five key battlegrounds to 53-46.
Democrats' ability to pass the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact before the 2028 Presidential Election likely hinges on winning the PA Senate and either the WI Assembly or NV Governorship.
Announcing @WisconsinElects, a new site providing precinct-level results for the 2026 elections in Wisconsin!
Most outlets only give a vague idea of what's actually going on under the hood in each county on election night, but this is the full picture.
sites.google.com/view/wi2026
