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Democrat's 2026 Senate math is so bad when you actually stare at it on the map. They need to win every state in dark blue, every state in sky blue, and 2/4 of the "longshot" states in light grey-blue. That would be enough for a *bare* 51-49 majority.

Give me a break, the polls and models provided the direction in contast to vibes and dumb insiders. And yes it's good that traders were smart enough to trust them. But the better election models were more confident about the outcome than the markets and got there more quickly.

1. Convince Roy Cooper to run in NC 2. Finally unseat Susan Collins in Maine 3. Hope Sherrod Brown can pull off a comeback in Ohio 4. Somehow win Texas? Get Peltola to run in Alaska? 🤷‍♂️ nitter.gq/nick_field90/status/18…

Semafor: Annie Andrews knew she was winning in October — but kept the poll secret On Oct. 5, the Andrews campaign received a poll showing her with a 3-point lead over Graham. But the Democrat’s campaign decided against publicly releasing the poll — or any subsequent internal poll — showing Andrews with a lead over Graham, wary of drawing too much attention from national Republicans and jeopardizing a peak at the right time, according to Chas Goldman, a strategist for Andrews. semafor.com/article/11/04/20…

Sure, the midterms are fun but Trump losing the very essence of his Presidency would slap more if he was in a repurposed Sports Hall at 3am in Wigan

We have to say “Mississippi” after each number

Here at Ken Paxton HQ, man in crowd yells “no!” as race called called for James Talarico. Then “Gloria” begins playing loudly on speakers.

CNN: Pia Dandiya (D) wins Florida’s 22nd congressional district, defeating Casey Askar (R-FL). 🟦Democratic hold