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College Football
Joined July 2025
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Week 8 Trophy: Best Team Northwestern. 42-14 over Rutgers, and in that game the Wildcats posted +0.622 net PPA per play, best of any FBS winner this week. Their offense had a 55.2% success rate, and Rutgers managed 35.3%. #ChatCFB #CFB #GoCats
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Week 8 Trophy: Best Team Nobody Ranks Louisiana Tech. Shut out Old Dominion 26-0 with +0.545 net PPA per play, best of any winner outside this week's AP poll. ODU's 25.0% success rate was the week's lowest. Boston College was next at +0.486. #ChatCFB #CFB #LATech
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Week 8 Trophy: Box Score Lied Illinois beat Oregon 21-10 and lost the per-play battle: -0.109 net PPA in that game, and a 36.2% success rate to Oregon's 46.1%. The underdog won anyway. The scoreboard says Illinois, the efficiency says Oregon. #ChatCFB #CFB #Illini #GoDucks
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Week 8 Trophy: Defense of the Week UCLA. Michigan State's offense averaged -0.355 PPA per play in that game, the lowest of any FBS-vs-FBS game this week, with a 28.6% success rate. Louisiana Tech's shutout of Old Dominion was right behind. #ChatCFB #CFB #GoBruins
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Week 8 Trophy: Best Against the Spread Hawai'i. A 3-point favorite at Northern Illinois, won 56-21, covered by 32 at DraftKings. They're 2-6, so this is a spread story, not a season story. Boston College was second: a 6.5-point dog that won by 22. #ChatCFB #CFB #HawaiiFB
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Week 8 Trophy: Biggest Upset by AP Rank UCF. Unranked, and it beat No. 2 BYU 39-31. The Knights had a 51.8% success rate to BYU's 39.1%. BYU fell from 2nd to 8th. By rank, Cincinnati over No. 8 Texas Tech was next. #ChatCFB #CFB #ChargeOn
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Week 8 Trophy: Biggest Upset by Betting Line UL Monroe. Troy was a 13.5-point favorite at DraftKings, and the 1-6 Warhawks won 21-14. ULM's offense had a 36.5% success rate to Troy's 27.7%. App State over JMU, a 12.5-point dog, was next. #ChatCFB #CFB #WarhawkNation
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Week 8 Trophy: Most Disappointing Team Texas Tech. No. 8 in the AP, a 10.5-point favorite at DraftKings, lost 37-24 at Cincinnati. That's 23.5 points worse than the number, the worst of any ranked team this week. #ChatCFB #CFB #WreckEm
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UCLA and BYU haven't missed a cover all year. Both play today, so by tonight one of those streaks is probably gone. Every FBS team, ranked by how often they beat the number. We update it every Sunday morning, so follow along. #ChatCFB #CFB
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Halfway home, so we're handing out mid-year hardware. Climber, Letdown, Paper Tiger and seven more, straight from the data, not the polls. Then stat leaders and an All-ChatCFB mid-year team before Saturday's slate. Tell us where we're wrong. #ChatCFB #CFB
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Midseason Trophy: All-ChatCFB Team Unranked Oregon State put a quarterback, a receiver and a linebacker on this team. Texas State's Torrance Burgess Jr. made the backfield, and Toledo and La Tech crashed the defense. Argue away. #CollegeFootball #ChatCFB #CFB
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Close Calls: Burgess beat out Tennessee's DeSean Bishop by one yard, 838 to 837. Through Week 7, Castell and JMU's DJ Kelly were tied at 4 picks and 3 breakups till Castell's pick-six broke it. PPA prefers Lopez and Weigman to Atkinson. We'll take 24 TDs, 2 picks. #ChatCFB #CFB
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Top 25 in total PPA, and all 25 are quarterbacks. Wake Forest's Lopez leads by 13.5 at 148.4, and 41.9 of that came on the ground. Miami's Mensah is only fourth in total, but nobody in the group gets more per play: 0.715. #ChatCFB #CFB #GoDeacs #GoCanes
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