cultivated abandon | https://nitter.gq/t.co/uFCLImjFFQ
Scylla *and* Charybdis
Joined January 2010
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sark retweeted
When they say AI will make academics obsolete, this is a good thing!
Claude understands my position on naive binary forecasting (and betting markets) better than 100% of academics in Decision "Science"/Psychology, all verbalistic.
"Why does Taleb despise @PTetlock"?
sark retweeted
After the apparently amazing announcement by @mathematics_inc on the formalization of a major recent Fields-medal winning theorem, i had no idea how pissed the math-formalization community is.
Very worrying discussions by some of the leaders/founders of Lean's mathlib.
cc @ChrSzegedy
sark retweeted
Now that I'm back in Princeton following the @DARPA expMath kickoff event, I'm beginning to collect my thoughts on the future of autoformalization, AI for Math, and AI for Science more broadly. Here's where I've got to.
"On productive and unproductive frictions"
sark retweeted
OK, here's the new piece!
Upside-Down Markets: Profits, Inflation and Equity Valuation in Fiscal Policy Regimes
osam.com/Commentary/upside-d…
Hope you enjoy!
sark retweeted
untrue. compare:
(1) THERE ARE CLAPPING HANDS EMOJIS BETWEEN THE WORDS OF THIS STATEMENT
(2) THERE 👏 ARE 👏 CLAPPING 👏 HANDS 👏 EMOJIS 👏 BETWEEN 👏 THE 👏 WORDS 👏 OF 👏 THIS 👏 STATEMENT
sark retweeted
One of the most crucial insights from Taleb's incerto:
Risk management isn't about being very prudent and careful - it is about eliminating risk of ruin so that you can very AGGRESSIVELY take non-ruin risks.
sark retweeted
[Thread] Nassim Taleb's 17 best one-line wisdom.
@nntalebbot @nntaleb @TalebWisdom
1. The three most harmful addictions are heroin, carbohydrates, and a monthly salary.
sark retweeted
"The intellectshual world is populated by a collection of people who are much better at explaining than understanding." - Nassim Taleb
sark retweeted
a blog post written by a literal banana explaining indexicality carcinisation.com/2020/01/27…
sark retweeted
Consider: millions of years ago our antecedents gave a massive sacrifice of their left hemisphere.
We lost a tremendous amount of short term memory and replaced it with Broca’s, Wernicke & the phonological loop.
But why?
So we can—talk.
Thus chimpanzees can do this—we can’t:
sark retweeted
Is it possible to make something beautiful without the technical accomplishment instantly revealing newer, better horizons of beauty?
sark retweeted
imagining a metal world where we express everything this way - e.g. “I spun enough hemp to hang 14 people today” nitter.gq/new_narrative/status/1…
Authorities arrested 35 people and seized enough fentanyl to kill roughly 14 million people in a three-state drug bust
cnn.it/2zMB7Ap
sark retweeted
They are still looking for holes in my IQ is nonsense argument.
medium.com/incerto/iq-is-lar…
