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🏆 the conviction board.
live options flow — calls and puts, ranked 0-100 on 8 factors.
🔥 options returns after the board fired:
$AAPL → +3,336%
$ASTS → +1,040%
$CRWV → +956%
$NBIS → +540%
full log (wins AND losses) public.
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👉 algoxflow.com/conviction
THE 14 BIGGEST EARNINGS BETS THIS WEEK
Tiered by the move options are actually pricing:
HIGH (12-14%) - APP, PS
ELEVATED (9-12%) - ALAB, DDOG, SHOP, NET, TSEM
MODERATE (under 9%) - XYZ, ON, ANET, EW, QCOM
$APP is priced to move 12.7% in one session.
$65.4M of net options premium sold in $AMZN today.
Premium leaving all session. Worth knowing before you read the chart as strength.
Reporting Thu, and what options are pricing:
$ASX ±10.8%
PWR ±10%
LYG ±8%
SYK ±7.2%
INTC ±6.9%
We measured 2,422 of these. Options overpriced the move 57% of the time.
Intel stock plunges 16% as chipmaker blames PC slowdown for weak guidance
$INTC 74.37, above its 61.46 gamma flip. Dealers absorb moves up here.
THE 15 BIGGEST EARNINGS BETS THIS WEEK
Tiered by the move options are actually pricing:
EXTREME (14%+) - LSCC
HIGH (12-14%) - APP, PS
ELEVATED (9-12%) - ALAB, DDOG, SHOP, TSEM, COHR
MODERATE (under 9%) - ON, ANET, EW, QCOM, ITUB
$LSCC is priced to move 14% in one session.
Most dealer gamma in the market right now:
1. $IWM +$1967M
2. SPY -$1526M
3. QQQ -$1316M
4. TSLA +$385M
5. AMD +$95M
Positive means dealers absorb moves. Negative means they feed them.
Biggest sweep on the tape right now:
$MRVL 220 PUT 2026-11-20
$2.8M in premium
Bought at the ask — someone paid up to get filled now rather than wait.
$GOOG — our read, and what the crowd thinks:
Spot 281.14 · flip null · call wall 277.5
The bars are what the other side is forced to hedge. That's the part we actually trade off.
Calls vs puts in today's 8 biggest options prints:
Calls: $1.4M across 3 prints
Puts: $2.4M across 5 prints
Largest: $GOOGL 280C for $1.0M.
Positions, not confirmed direction. The feed doesn't say who's buying or selling.
$AMD over 5 years.
Buy the close, sell the open: 276.82%
Buy the open, sell the close: 19.66%
Buy and hold: 350.88%
The move happens while the market is shut. Not a strategy, spreads eat it, but that is where it lives.
$927k OF PUTS HIT IBKR TODAY
The biggest options bets on the tape:
CALLS BOUGHT (bullish bets) - DELL, RRC
PUTS BOUGHT (bearish bets) - IBKR, GOOGL, GOOG, MSFT, LITE
Size is conviction. It is not intent.
HSBC upgrades FedEx to buy, raises PT to $370
$SPY 768.51, above its 652.55 flip. Hedging fades the move.
Biggest sweep on the tape right now:
$CRWD 257.5 CALL 2028-01-21
$1.3M in premium
Bought at the ask — someone paid up to get filled now rather than wait.
Biggest moves the options market is pricing into 2026-10-30:
1. $CRWV ±3.6%
2. META ±1.64%
3. TSM ±1.56%
4. QQQ ±0.92%
5. SPY ±0.55%
That's the straddle, not a forecast. It's what you're paying for.
4 of 6 closed green today.
$NBIS 190C-10/30 -34%
AAPL 355C-10/30 +28%
SPY 770C-10/29 +30%
RKLB 59C-10/30 +33%
GOOGL 292.5C-10/30 +33%
Entry and exit both posted live. Reds included — that's the point.
$NOW — our read, and what the crowd thinks:
112.5 now — zero-gamma flip at null, wall overhead at 114.
Below null, hedging feeds moves instead of fighting them. That's why we'd rather wait than chase.
$DIA — 522.17
Put wall 515. Call wall 530.
Which one gets touched first? 👇
$TSM over 5 years.
Buy the close, sell the open: 370.29%
Buy the open, sell the close: -18.98%
Buy and hold: 281.03%
The move happens while the market is shut. Not a strategy, spreads eat it, but that is where it lives.
$84.1M of net options premium sold in $GOOGL today.
Premium leaving all session. Worth knowing before you read the chart as strength.











