Ex-@StgMiraMedia @OpenSociety @CEU but that's a while ago. Originally studied E-European history. Love elections, maps, charts. Also on Bluesky, better there.
Holland - Hungary - Spain
Joined March 2009
- Tweets51.2K
- Following2.1K
- Followers2K
- Likes89.5K
Joost retweeted
El presidente de Mozambique acompaña su post con esta foto que, me parece a mí, no van a repostear las siempre activas cuentas oficiales y oficiosas rusas
Caros compatriotas,
Estamos em Moscovo, a convite do Presidente da Federação da Rússia, Vladimir Putin, para participar na 3.ª Cimeira Rússia–África. Esta presença reflecte a importância que atribuímos ao diálogo, à cooperação e ao fortalecimento das relações entre Moçambique, a Federação da Rússia e os países africanos.
À margem desta agenda, participámos hoje na 8.ª Cimeira do Fórum dos Países Exportadores de Gás, onde defendemos que os recursos energéticos devem gerar desenvolvimento para os nossos povos e fortalecer a cooperação entre as nações.
#Vamostrabalhar
The Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians allied itself with both Orbán and Vučić. It suffered yesterday: it lost half its six seats; went from 6% to 3% in Vojvodina, from 26% to 13% in North Bačka and 28% to 16% in North Banat; and topped the vote in just 1 municipality (3 last time)
The Slovak minority in Vojvodina is mostly neglected by Fico's government. The Hungarian minority has been showered with attention from Orbán's, but it means dissenters are locked out of politics, media, and economic opportunities.
balkaninsight.com/2026/03/06…
In Subotica, the city which is 30% Hungarian and constitutes the hub of the Hungarian-Serbian population, the VMSZ lost half its vote (from 21% to 10%) while the Student List captured an absolute majority (52%).
poliwave.com/rs/live/parliam…
Brazilians in the U.S.:
34% Lula
66% Bolsonaro
Brazilians in Canada:
64% Lula
36% Bolsonaro
poliwave.com/br/live/preside…
“A lot of people don’t keep up with politics, but they do follow fanclubs and fan accounts"; and over 600 fanbase groups backed Lula. “I’m not sure whether to open this speech with ‘comrades’ or ‘fandoms from all over Brazil’,” he told a rally this month:
theguardian.com/music/2026/o…
Gratuitous "where do you stand" poll about today's (likely; I don't want to jinx it) election results
71%Vučić defeat😍 Lula win😍
29%Vučić defeat😍 Lula win😬
0%Vučić defeat😬 Lula win😍
0%Vučić defeat😬 Lula win😬
21 votes • Final results
A 51% to 39% win for the Student List, I heard on the news just now. I'm a little stunned. Hadn't expected Vučić to go down this badly! An almost Orbán-sized defeat for an Orbán-like, arguably even worse leader. Good news is still possible in 2026!
As always (see also: Hungary), the only way to stop strongmen from deploying shenanigans is to win big
"Serbia’s snap parliamentary elections on Sunday saw exceptionally high voter turnout ... Long queues formed outside polling stations throughout the day." Turnout reached 64.9% by 6 pm, compared to 51.9% at the same time in 2023
balkaninsight.com/2026/10/25…
"The Broad Front only registered as electoral coalition less than a week ago, but has already suffered its first split"
Chunta withdraws in Teruel to avoid splitting the left-wing vote, arguing the joint agreement left this decision to them; IU rebels and runs separately instead
IU, bowing to the legal inevitabilities of the agreement it had itself signed, accepts that it cannot in fact run separately in Teruel. Just like earlier on there was a flutter about how it would run separately in Valencia, until it didn't. #chaosagent
eldiario.es/aragon/politica/…
Putin: "Since time immemorial, the people living in the south-west of what has historically been Russian land have called themselves Russians.. modern Ukraine was entirely created by [the Bolsheviks].. by separating, severing what is historically Russian land"
Zelensky:
Putin "just proved that his aggression toward Ukraine was never really about NATO.. [His] speech showed that he has concocted his own view of history and world affairs. In his view, Ukraine’s independence is an anomaly – it’s a state that should not exist"
theconversation.com/putins-a…
Putin's motivations for this war were and remain driven by irredentism, and no change in NATO policy would have changed that
xitter.cf/wartranslated/status/2…
It's also such a Twitter-poisoned world view. You have to be truly, pathologically, chronically online to think it's "fashionable, high-status opinions" rather than wealth, power and the connections that come with them that make you part of "Britain's social elite"
"The Economist has assembled data on millennials’ incomes for 32 rich countries. In just three—Italy, Greece and Japan—are millennials worse off, in terms of inflation-adjusted income, than previous generations at the same age."
"Millennials in the remaining 29 countries in our sample have higher real incomes than past generations. In some, including Australia, Britain and France, intergenerational progress has admittedly slowed...An American millennial is just as likely to be a manager as a Gen-Xer was at the same age."
economist.com/finance-and-ec…
A good reason to still not get your hopes up about polls showing Dem leads in red states.
(Though one could quibble about whether winning by eg 51 to 49 really counts as a "firm lead")
That could be bad news for Dems in a year when the Senate is decided by red states. If polling errors follow the average historic trend, Democrats' leads in Texas and Alaska could be wiped out while Iowa and Kansas move firmly into the Republican column economist.com/graphic-detail…
By 53% to 40%, Americans now again believe it's the Democrats, rather than the Republicans, who are "the party of the working class"
nytimes.com/2026/10/21/us/po…
