based shit

i track memecoin supply, linked wallets, dev sales and liquidity changes. plus large perp positions when liquidation gets close. 3 published case studies below, with sources and dated snapshots.

$NIHAO's developer wallet held no tokens at 14:09 UTC, even though GeckoTerminal lists a 6.46% developer holding. The wallet GeckoTerminal names, FU4TY…syCA, sold 1,058,707 NIHAO (0.11% of the 994.67M supply) for about 3.57 SOL at 23:59:23 UTC Nov 10, the same minute the PumpSwap pool opened. Solana RPC shows no NIHAO token account for it now. Its 10 later transactions each moved under 0.15 SOL. As of 14:09 UTC Nov 11 on DexScreener, the main NIHAO/SOL pool prints: • $0.01909, $19.00M market cap • $366.2K liquidity, 1.93% of market cap • $6.10M 24h volume, 110,441 buys vs 64,828 sells Other dev-linked wallets are not checked here. Data: Solana RPC, GeckoTerminal, DexScreener, 14:09 UTC Nov 11. Not a call.

The ETH OG's 1,451 ETH add appears to be funded with USDC drawn against staked ETH, not fresh cash. Between 06:32 and 06:39 UTC Nov 11, 0x7d61…41B4: • sent 20,000 ETH into two native swap orders and received 16,010.9 wstETH • moved 16,000 wstETH into a DSProxy vault (0xD848…f452) • received 3,000,000 USDC from that DSProxy at 06:35 UTC • swapped the 3,000,000 USDC for 1,451.33 ETH at 06:38 UTC, about $2,067 per ETH At 14:00 UTC the address held 67,353.04 ETH. The post's 210K+ figure likely spans other wallets or positions; we did not trace that total. Reads as a borrow-to-buy loop; the data does not show the vault's full debt. Data: Ethereum RPC, Blockscout, 14:00 UTC Nov 11. Not a call.

AguilaTrades is no longer long: the wallet linked in this post now holds a 40x BTC short. Per Hyperliquid's API at 13:47 UTC Nov 11, 0x1f25…F925: • BTC short 339.60 BTC (~$25.04M), entry $73,733.60 • liquidation $74,603.11, 1.18% above the $73,730.50 mid • unrealized PnL -$0.4K, account value $611.5K, withdrawable $0 Fills show the 340.45 BTC long still open at 08:00 UTC, fully closed by 08:23 UTC, and shorts opened by 08:32 UTC. The $73,009 liquidation price cited applied to the long. Data: Hyperliquid API, 13:47 UTC Nov 11. Not a call.

Five Hyperliquid whale positions flagged on X today sit within 10% of their liquidation prices, about $123.33M notional in total. As of 13:38 UTC Nov 11, per Hyperliquid's API: • 0x1f25 BTC short 40x, $25.03M: liq $74,603, 1.24% above the $73,690.50 mid • 0x6046 BTC long 12x, $39.57M: liq $71,417, 3.09% below • 0x06a7 BTC short 25x, $14.99M: liq $77,132, 4.67% above • 0x6046 ETH long 6x, $26.12M: liq $1,953.08, 4.71% below the $2,049.65 mid • 0x8742 ZEC long 10x, $17.63M: liq $895.53, 8.51% below the $978.84 mid Combined unrealized PnL: -$11.84M. 0x6046 alone is -$9.05M. Liquidation prices move with margin top-ups and cross-margin PnL. Data: Hyperliquid API, 13:38 UTC Nov 11. Not a call.

The two Hyperliquid wallets attributed to Abraxas Capital are deep in profit on ZEC shorts, but total open PnL reads lower than the $118M cited. As of 12:59 UTC Nov 11, per Hyperliquid's API: • ZEC short: 86,333 ZEC (~$84.55M), entries $1,336.39 and $1,478.36 • ZEC unrealized PnL: $36.05M combined (post cites $34.98M) • All open positions: $99.60M unrealized, not $118M • Short notional $716.19M vs $162.05M account value, ~4.4x • Largest legs: BTC short $320.72M, HYPE short $111.36M ZEC marks $979.27, -15.3% vs the prior-day price of $1,156.50. Liquidation prices sit at $2,439.18 and $3,158.77. The Abraxas label is reported; this data does not confirm ownership. The gap to $118M may be timing or method. Data: Hyperliquid API, 12:59 UTC Nov 11. Not a call.

Most of Elysium's printed 24h DEX volume is still on Uniswap v4, not on a named launchpad venue. As of 12:28 UTC Nov 11, the 200 highest-volume Elysium pools on GeckoTerminal totaled $72.31M in 24h volume. Uniswap v4 printed $48.25M (66.7%). Montra-labeled pools in that set printed $9.48M (13.1%), Aero Slipstream $7.37M (10.2%), and Ramses v3 $3.46M (4.8%). Volta and Ascend are not separate dex IDs in that API, so launchpad-share figures cannot be checked from this pull. This is a top-200 sample, not a full-chain total. Data: GeckoTerminal API, 12:28 UTC Nov 11. Not a call.

The $18M market cap print has already retraced. As of 12:07 UTC Nov 11, DexScreener's main PumpSwap mihao/SOL pool prints $0.01297 and a $12.21M market cap, with $364k liquidity and $24.68M in 24h volume. A 15-minute high of $0.02016 around 05:30 UTC implies about $18.96M on Gecko's 940.84M total supply, leaving the current print about 36% below that high. 24h +1,791%; 6h -21.2%; 1h -11.4%. Pump.fun graduation was 16:43 UTC Oct 25. Ansem did post the contract at 23:26 UTC Nov 10; reported PnL is not confirmed here. Data: DexScreener & GeckoTerminal APIs, 12:07 UTC Nov 11. Not a call.

MONTRA's printed market cap still depends on which terminal you open: DexScreener shows $31.3M, GeckoTerminal $7.77M. The prices are close. DexScreener's main Uniswap v4 MONTRA/KNTQ pool, opened 00:36 UTC Nov 10, last printed $0.00783. GeckoTerminal's token price is $0.00777. Gecko reports a 1.00 billion total supply (18 decimals) and a $7.77M fully diluted value. DexScreener's $31.3M market cap and FDV on the same contract imply about 4.00 billion tokens. That does not confirm a 4× circulating or total supply. Gecko also leaves market_cap_usd blank, so both figures are fully diluted prints. The same DexScreener pool shows $2.52M in 24h volume and $635k in liquidity; Gecko's token page shows $4.07M in 24h volume across pools. dexscreener.com/elysium/0x3e…

VOLTA and VOID account for 67% of Volta’s reported 24h turnover in HYPE-paired launch pools on Elysium. Of 3,083 indexed HYPE-paired pools, 270 recorded a trade in that window. The count includes newly launched and scheduled pools. For new-token comparisons, use the individual pool’s activity: the platform-wide number is dominated by VOLTA and VOID. Other quote assets are excluded. Gross turnover includes repeat trades and does not measure exit liquidity.

Volta has a concrete head start in Elysium’s launchpad race: VOLTA is already trading, and fee-funded buybacks are executing. Its published fee split allocates 24% of each pool’s swap fees to buying and burning VOLTA. VOLTA’s own pool also directs its entire creator allocation to buybacks. We checked a Nov 9 transaction that bought and burned about 9,557 VOLTA. That gives the token a direct link to activity across the launchpad. Montra’s protocol buyback is still switched off, according to its live dashboard. Ascend uses Kinetiq’s KNTQ rather than a separate launchpad token. Holder-reward features themselves are not unique to Volta; both competitors offer them too. Creators can also pair new tokens with VOLTA, giving it a role as a trading asset inside the platform. That is another use beyond holding it for buybacks, though trading those pairs through HYPE adds a conversion fee. Volta’s acquisition strategy also reaches beyond its own users. Its active airdrop credits eligible trading on other Elysium platforms, including Montra and Ascend. My read: recognizing activity traders have already done gives them a reason to explore Volta, while fees from additional trading can fund more VOLTA purchases. The reward types matter: • VOLTA’s own pool funds buybacks, not cash payouts to its holders. • Other Volta tokens can allocate fees to holder rewards. We verified an RPG payout in HYPE; eligibility requires at least 0.1% of that token’s original supply. • Airdrop estimates are not paid rewards. The campaign closes Nov 20 at 00:00 UTC, followed by an eligibility review and market-cap-linked vesting. The vesting schedule is still pending. The upside is an operating fee-to-token mechanism paired with a campaign aimed at existing Elysium traders. The uncertainty is how much activity lasts: trading VOLTA itself also funds its buybacks, and incentive-driven turnover does not establish lasting demand. Future airdrop releases can add selling pressure. Nov 9, 2026 checks. Rules: volta.family/docs Campaign: volta.family/airdrop Buyback checked: elysium.kinetiq.xyz/tx/0xda1…