https://xitter.cf/t.co/qtF1X1li1x

Joined May 2009
Ben retweeted
Just found out about recency bias. Maybe the most important bias ever
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Everyone imagines communism will free them to write poetry while someone else enthusiastically maintains the sewage system. Your economic model is “what if everyone else had fewer dreams than me.”
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the law required the restaurant to build 14 parking spots, the spots cost more than the kitchen, the burger is $19, and the guy eating it is mad at inflation. he drove there. he parked for free. the free parking is in the burger
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Pro Waymo, pro data center, pro nuclear, pro solar, pro train, anti zoning, pro housing has to be one of the most correct and unelectable combinations in America
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twitter has always had this incredible ability to create a “apparently everyone is saying…” talking point, based on the opinion of a singular fifteen year old
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It’s funny, motocross at the White House is, like, fine with me. But here’s an example of something that is genuinely unforgivable but that a lot of people seem to have moved right past.
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A lot of people have started saying that the "AI uses all the water" meme started with Empire of AI. I think this is definitely wrong, and what actually started it was the Washington Post article from 8 months earlier claiming that each ChatGPT prompt used a whole bottle of water. This kicked the meme into the stratosphere. There are so many infographics made about AI mentioning that it uses a bottle per prompt, so many thousands of popular videos and images where someone holds a bottle begging people not to use AI. It got so much news coverage. My claim in my new post (link below) is that I've found extremely strong evidence that this claim was based entirely on napkin math that ignored lots of simple things we knew about the hardware and software running GPT-4, and if you just account for those the cost drops by 50 to 200 times. This shouldn't have ever been allowed to influence the discourse at all, never mind get an infographic made in a major newspaper. I think the Washington Post should either retract or correct the original article and make it clear that it was based on napkin math, or publish the methodology. The authors have never made it clear how they got the number, and if I'm right it shouldn't have been allowed to ever be the basis for a claim this strong.
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More relevantly, Americans still rate *their* finances as fine! Everyone thinks the economy must suck for someone else!
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Replying to @lukeisamazing
You can’t just totally ignore any attempts to accurately describe reality because it contradicts your priors. Wage growth, for example, is up for everyone!
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Okay here's my argument for exactly how I think the "AI uses a bottle of water" statistic looks like it was miscalculated. It's a little in the weeds. Link below
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Just got to the studio. Podcasting mic all chewed up. Disgusting.
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Another way to look at this: Kamala Harris won more votes than any Dem presidential candidate, ever, in NV, NC, GA and WI... but Donald Trump won more than any candidate of either party, every, in those four states.
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Hey just a reminder: If you want your favorite accounts to get off Twitter, you have to follow them somewhere else first. The sad reality of modern media is that a lot of creatives are contractually obligated to keep their most influential social media accounts. Unrelated pic.
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The second thing that jumps out is that, in the states where Harris and Trump campaigned the hardest, Harris overperformed. And she overperformed in Wisconsin most of all.
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Thanks to tens of thousands of heroes—our candidates, the campaign, party infrastructure, allies, and volunteers—we persuaded and turned out even more voters for Harris than we did for Biden in 2020. We lost Wisconsin by just 0.9%—the smallest margin of any state in America.
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“You're an interesting species. An interesting mix. You're capable of such beautiful dreams, and such horrible nightmares. You feel so lost, so cut off, so alone, only you're not. See, in all our searching, the only thing we've found that makes the emptiness bearable, is each other.” Happy birthday, Carl Sagan ⭐️
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Just to clarify: this isn’t just the first time since WW2 that all incumbent parties in developed countries lost vote share. It’s the first time since this data was first recorded in 1905. Essentially the first time in the history of democracy (universal suffrage began in 1894).
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The narrative that "Dems lost 15 million voters who simply didn't show up" is wrong, and you shouldn't say it. It was an election lost mostly on persuasion, not turnout.
Our last estimate for the final turnout in the presidential election is 157.5 million, almost matching 2020 in raw votes though falling a tick lower as share of eligible voters, given population growth.
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Me watching the election results tonight
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“And when will we hold these elections?” “On a Tuesday. During work.”
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