outlaw (@bntheta) header
outlaw (@bntheta) profile picture

Options & Equity Trader 📈 IPO Investor | Indian Markets 🇮🇳 Finding edges. Managing risk. Compounding.

Jaipur
Joined April 2021
📊 12 months of algo trading — what my verified P&L actually taught me 246 trading days. ₹14.66L net. Here's what the data says, not what I expected it to say. 🧵 ⚡ 1. You can't skip a single trading day The 10 best days = 99% of my net profit. The other 236 days roughly cancel out. Two days in August alone made ₹4.6L (+₹2.40L on 28 Aug, +₹2.21L on 11 Aug). You never know in advance which day will be the big one. Skip the wrong day and the whole year is flat. 👉 Showing up daily is the key. Keep doing it consistently, and let probability play out your edge. 🕳️ 2. The hardest part is staying in when nothing works From Feb to Jun I was below my previous high for 82 trading days. March alone was −₹3L. The longest losing run was 6 days in a row. Stopping there would have looked sensible. Instead, Aug–Oct became my three best months ever. The edge only pays the ones still in the game when it shows up. 🎯 3. Win rate isn't the edge F&O: green on only 45% of days. Still profitable, because the average winning day is 1.5× the average losing day. Being wrong more than half the time is fine if being wrong is cheap. 📈 4. Smaller losses did all the work F&O from July vs before: Avg losing day: −₹23K → −₹14K Made per ₹1 lost: ₹1.09 → ₹1.73 Same win rate. Nothing changed except how much I lost when I was wrong. 🛢️ 5. MCX works the other way Since July: green on 58% of days, ₹1.82 made per ₹1 lost. ₹8.26L in 4 months. Two strategies with opposite profiles balance each other. 🛡️ 6. Risk is what lets you show up tomorrow Only 1 day all year lost more than 1% of capital. Max drawdown: 3.65% (Feb–Apr) → just 1.15% in October. October: best day +₹1.51L, worst day −₹57.6K. A new high again within 3 sessions. A stop-loss on every position. No exceptions. 💸 7. The quiet cost Charges took ₹5L, 25% of my profit before charges. Nobody talks about it, but it's a quarter of the edge. Trade less, size better. 🧘 The lesson No prediction. No skipping. No hero trades. Show up every day, follow the system, keep losses small, and let probability do the rest. #SystematicTrading #AlgoTrading #OptionSelling @bntheta ✅ Verified P&L: console.zerodha.com/verified… #SystematicTrading #AlgoTrading #OptionSelling #RiskManagement #TradingDiscipline #Consistency #ProcessOverOutcome #TradingPsychology #MCX #CommodityTrading #Nifty #OptionsTrading #VerifiedPnL #TradingJourney
📊 FY 2026–27 | Algo Trading — Month 7 💰 Capital: ₹1.25 Cr | 🎯 Target: ₹20L ✅ Earned: ₹16.57L (13.26% ROI) 📅 7 months | 🟢 5 green, 🔴 2 red 🚀 Oct: +₹6,00,000 (F&O ₹3.04L · Commodity ₹2.96L) 📈 Best day: +₹1.51L 📉 Worst day: −₹57.6K (0.46% of capital) ⚠️ Max DD: −₹1.44L (1.15%), 14–26 Oct 🔄 Back to a new high in 3 sessions 🔥 Three green months in a row. The edge is in keeping losses small. 📈 Run rate projects ₹28.41L vs the ₹20L target; ₹68,600/month from here. Process stays the same. 🧘 #SystematicTrading #RiskManagement #Process #Consistency #Discipline ✅ VerifiedPNL zerodha link: console.zerodha.com/verified…
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Since the employee quota is now oversubscribed, does it make sense to apply for ₹5 lakh worth of shares, or would applying for ₹2 lakh give me the same chances of allotment as ₹5 lakh? @investorniti @ipo_agarwal @ipo_mantra @Tanmay_31_
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outlaw retweeted
CENTURY WAS WRITEEN ALL OVER 💔 But again that "mastii" of hitting shot in the air hurt him and his fans, don't know when this guy will play for a milestone or for own, this innings should have ended in a century, really heart breaking. Oh Hitman, Oh Rohit Sharma. ☹️
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Adroit Industries IPO 🏭 Propeller shaft & driveline component maker — forging to testing, in-house 📍 Dewas & Pithampur (MP); CVs, defense, off-highway clients in 32+ countries 📈 Revenue up 5%, PAT up 44% YoY (FY26) 🔥 GMP: ~₹37 (~27.6% over ₹134) I am applying 🚀 #ipo
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Bank debit messages started for NSE IPO? #IPO #NSEIPO
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TRADING JOURNAL Today PNL: 5.8K Today ROI : 0.1% Month ROI : 0.65% Drawdown: Nil Say no to fake screenshots! Check out my P&L - #VerifiedBySensibull verified.sensibull.com/ps/en…
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People can argue this one all they like, but it should have been called a wide. The batter didn't change his grip or stance — this wasn't a switch hit, it was a reverse hit attempt. The ball went down the leg side. That's a wide.
So glad to hear @DGBeswick1 in the middle of it all! Man of the moment. 💫
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Ek tha jo chewing gum chaba k aise minnows wale match jita deta tha. 😏😡 #indvsjapan #bcci
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NSE (National Stock Exchange of India) 🏭 India's largest exchange — equities, derivatives, data 📍 Mumbai; serves brokers, FIIs, retail 📈 Rev -3.1%, PAT -15.5% YoY — hit by F&O curbs 🔥 GMP: ~₹48 (~2.7% over ₹1,785) ⚠️ Can surprise either side I am applying 🚀💰✅✅ #nse
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the Top 5 largest Indian IPOs by issue size are:
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Hyundai: GMP positive → actual discount listing LIC: GMP negative → larger discount Paytm: GMP slightly negative → much larger discount Tata Capital: GMP almost zero → small premium Coal India: GMP ~15% → ~18% premium
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Big-size IPOs often list at a lower premium than the last-day GMP suggests. If you’re applying for the NSE IPO, keep in mind that a discounted listing is also possible. 📉 Latest NSE GMP: ~3% GMP ≠ guaranteed listing premium. #NSE #nseipo #ipoalerts
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Last day for NSE IPO. Are you applying? #NSE #investing
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This is todays intraday PNL of mine . People see the green line. They don't see the hours behind it. Every entry, every exit, every filter on this chart was stress-tested across years of data — bad days, gap-ups, expiry chaos, all of it — before a single rupee went live. Smooth intraday profit isn't a lucky streak. It's the output of relentless backtesting, refinement, and discipline. The market rewards preparation. We just do the preparation. 🔬 @bntheta 🧿 #Optionstories #AlgoTrading #SystematicTrading #QuantTrading
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Jindal Supreme IPO 🏭 Steel pipe & highway crash barrier maker 📍 Hisar-based; pan-North India dealers 📈 Rev +12% YoY, PAT down 7% (FY26) 🔥 GMP: ~₹30 (~32% over ₹93) I am applying 🚀💰✅✅ #ipo #ipoalert
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TRADING JOURNAL Today PNL : 17.5K Today ROI : 0.32% Month ROI : 0.55% Drawdown : Nil Say no to fake screenshots! Check out my P&L - #VerifiedBySensibull verified.sensibull.com/ps/en…
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I hope she knows the full form of OG. 😂
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Always remember, nobody really knows anything……. Once you embrace that, your life as a trader becomes much simpler.
JP Morgan's Trading Gameplan for tomorrow's rate decision 🚨 🚨
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