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🔭 关注前沿科技|研究大模型与 AI Agent 📈 分享 AI 实践、投资思考与创业探索 💡 关注技术落地与商业机会,探索可行的变现路径

Joined April 2024
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谢谢大家的关注,热情有点接不住啦 😂 正在一个个回关,手速暂时跟不上,大家稍等我一下~ 说好的关注必回,慢一点也会兑现
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OpenAI 今天开始给 ChatGPT Pro 和 Business 用户送 API 额度,最多每月 500 美元,专门让人拿去做应用和 agent。API 额度就是程序调用模型花的钱,以前订阅和开发是两笔账。我看这是在抢开发者,谁先把人留在自己家写 agent,后面的生意就是谁的。
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三星这季光芯片就赚了快800亿美元,可财报还是比大家预期差一点。我更在意电话会里那句,明年的HBM已经卖光了,HBM就是贴在AI芯片旁边的高端内存。三星自己说内存紧缺要到2028年,这轮内存的好日子看着没那么快结束。
SAMSUNG ELECTRONICS Q3’26 EARNINGS HIGHLIGHTS 🔹 Revenue: $146.1B (Est. $149.3B) 🔴; +127% YoY 🔹 Oper Profit: $80.4B (Est. $81.4B) 🔴; +783% YoY 🔹 Net Profit: $56.2B (Est. $64.9B) 🔴; +515% YoY 🔹 EPS: $8.58 (Est. $10.21) 🔴; +536% YoY 🔹 Oper Margin: 55.0%; +4,090 bps YoY 🔹 QoQ: Revenue +14% / Oper Profit +20% 🔸 First tech company to top ₩100T in quarterly operating profit 🔸 Revenue and operating profit were pre-announced Oct 8 Q4 Guide: 🔹 DRAM Bit Growth: +mid-to-high teens% QoQ 🔹 NAND Bit Growth: +mid-teens% QoQ Q3 Pricing & Volume: 🔹 DRAM ASP: ~+20% QoQ; bits +low-to-mid single% 🔹 NAND ASP: +high-teens% QoQ; bits +mid-single% Segments (Revenue / Oper Profit): 🔹 Chips: $110.1B / $79.7B; 72% margin 🔹 Memory Revenue: $105.3B; +427% YoY 🔹 Phones, TVs & Appliances: $39.0B / -$0.6B 🔹 Display: $6.0B / $0.8B 🔹 Harman: $3.2B / $0.4B Cash & CapEx: 🔹 Net Cash: $147.9B 🔹 Q3 CapEx: $21.7B; +215% YoY 🔹 2026 CapEx: ~$63.2B; +60% YoY Earnings Call Highlights: 🔹 Multi-Year Contracts: Signed with 10 major accounts; in talks with 10 more, several near the final phase 🔹 Target: 60-70% of mid- to long-term capacity under multi-year contracts 🔹 Memory: Tight supply expected to continue into 2028 🔹 HBM: 2027 supply already sold out; HBM4 sales up 3x+ QoQ, now 60% of HBM sales 🔹 2027: Positioned for another year of record results, driven by chips Shareholder Returns: 🔹 Q3 Dividend: ₩4,601/share (~$3.44); ₩30T (~$22.5B) total 🔹 2026 Returns: ₩90-110T (~$67-82B); ₩35T done or planned; remaining ₩55-75T (~$41-56B) incl. a substantial buyback & cancellation 🔸 Final 2026 amount and next return policy at a late-January 2027 board meeting Note: 🔸 Weaker USD/EUR cut operating profit by ~₩10T (~$7.5B) vs Q2 🔸 Net profit includes a ₩9.5T (~$7.1B) net finance loss, vs a ₩4.7T gain in Q2 FX used for USD conversion: $1 = ₩1,336 (mid-market; Oct 29, 2026)
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ChatGPT 昨晚上了个新功能,美国 Pro 用户能直接在 iPhone 短信里给自己的 dot 发消息,文字、照片、语音都行。dot 是它那个替你盯事办事的 AI 助手,有进展会主动发短信找你。AI 助手住进天天用的聊天框,比让人多装一个 App 靠谱多了。
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难题上闭源还领先一截,但日常活儿我已经先上便宜模型了,不够再换。你们现在怎么挑?
Announcing Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index v5, featuring 2 new benchmarks and 3 upgrades. For the first time, the majority of the Index is built on private datasets The Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index is our composite measure of model capabilities across tasks reflecting real-world usage today. v5 is our biggest upgrade since v4 launched in January. With v5, 60% of the Index is now based on evaluations with private test sets or held-out answers. Alongside Intelligence Index v5, we’re launching the Artificial Analysis Progress Index v1, which tracks model capability over time on one continuous scale. New to the Intelligence Index: ➤ FrontierCode 2.0: Cognition's newly-launched private benchmark of real-world coding tasks, graded on whether a repository maintainer would merge the agent's change ➤ Terminal-Bench-Science: 70 agentic scientific research tasks, run in a terminal environment Upgraded: ➤ HLE-Diamond (replacing Humanity's Last Exam): a refined 1,000-question version of Humanity's Last Exam, split evenly between reasoning and knowledge questions ➤ AA-Omniscience v1.1: An updated dataset with saturated and public set questions removed, new questions added, and ambiguous or erroneous questions revised ➤ CritPt v2: a private, 40-question hard subset of CritPt v2, revised by the CritPt authors and run with a code-execution tool Staying in the Index: AA-Briefcase, AutomationBench-AA, GDP.pdf and Terminal-Bench 4.0 Removed from the Index: GDPval-AA v2.1, SciCode, and AA-LCR v1.1 Key results: ➤ Claude Opus 5.5 (max) leads at 58, ahead of GPT-6 Astra (max, 57) and GPT-6.1 Sol (max, 55): Anthropic and OpenAI hold the top five models. Gemini 4 Argon (high) is next at 50 ➤ The open weights gap widens from 3 points to 12: Kimi K3.1 Pro (weights not yet released) is the top open weights model at 46. Among released weights, DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 1017 (max) and GLM-5.3 (max) lead at 32 - 26 points behind the leader and below Claude Haiku 5.5 (max, 36) ➤ Cost per task varies by more than 13x among the leading models: of the 10 highest-scoring models shown, GPT-6.1 Terra (max) is the cheapest at $0.96 per Intelligence Index task and Claude Fable 5.1 (max) the most expensive at $13.04
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云都翻倍了还被砸 这次EPS是SpaceX那笔持股拖的 有点冤吧
BREAKING: Google, $GOOGL, earnings: - EPS: $2.12, est: $3.01 - Revenue: $127.5 billion, est: $127.9 billion
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特朗普今天凌晨说要“禁用”AI这个词,政府文件改叫“超级智能”。你们叫AI都叫习惯了,改得过来吗?
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连OpenAI都要买谷歌的芯片了 英伟达独一份的日子怕是不多了
OPENAI REPORTEDLY PLANS TO BUY GOOGLE AI CHIPS OpenAI plans to purchase AI chips from Google ($GOOGL), according to The Information, citing a person familiar with the matter. Financial terms and the size of the potential deal were not disclosed. Reuters has not independently verified the report.
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下午好,蓝朋友们 忙里偷闲出会摊 有关必回,诚信经营~ #蓝V交友 #交朋友
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身边做程序、做设计的朋友,现在都在说怕被 AI 替代 那咱们普通人最后靠啥 手艺、人脉、副业,还是多存点钱
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早,刚睁眼就摸手机的,不止我一个吧 😂 既然都刷到了,顺便认识一下? 没互关的留句话,我去你主页逛逛,老朋友也来冒个泡。 回关可能慢点,早上还得赶着上班。 #蓝V互关 #浇朋友
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时间线的兄弟们,助力下,希望今天能上2000
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妈呀,刚打开股票账户看了一眼,大 A 哥,你怎么突然跳水了? 是有什么消息我没看到,还是你们开会又没通知我??? 我只是没盯盘,没说这钱不要了啊 有懂的朋友说说吗,让我亏得明白一点。
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自从把工作交给 AI,我终于理解领导为什么喜欢问“进度怎么样了”。 刚开始:你慢慢做,做好就行。 十分钟后:怎么还没好? 半小时后:要不我自己来? 真让我自己干:算了,你继续 😂 你们用 AI,是省下时间了,还是把时间花在催它、教它、给它改作业上了?
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听说,聊得来的朋友,都是从某次随手评论开始的 我先搬个小板凳,坐这儿等你 蓝 V 活人,关注会回 你负责冒泡,我负责接话 #蓝V互关 #真诚交友
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忙里偷闲,出来交个朋友 想冲一冲2000关注 你来留句话,我有空就去串门,关注了也会回关。 今天下午的你,是忙得飞起,还是在等下班? #蓝V互关 #浇朋友 #新蓝V朋友
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你顶着个警察头像关注我,我愣是没敢回关 还点进你主页,回想了一下自己最近都说了啥 兄弟,要不你先取关我吧,怪有压力的,感觉发条帖子都得先交代一下 #蓝V互关 #真诚交友 #浇朋友
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又是大亏的一天,账户不想看了,来看看你们吧 钱没赚到,朋友总得交几个 今天继续交朋友,回回帖子,聊聊日常,有关会回 总得有点开心的事,不能一天全让股市占了 关注会回,来打个招呼,让我认识你 #蓝V互关 #真诚交友
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上班舍不得点的外卖,在A股里几秒钟就亏出去了 买东西满减凑半天,买股票几万地下单,倒是痛快得很 说好让钱替我打工,最后变成我打两份工,养一个账户
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蓝 V 活人,认真更推,也真诚交友 平时关注 AI、科技,也聊投资和日常。 欢迎同频的朋友,也欢迎有不同想法的人。 看到有意思的内容就聊两句,慢慢熟悉,没准还能一起折腾点有趣的事。 关注会回,来打个招呼,让我认识你。 #蓝V互关 #真诚交友
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怪不得大家都想当领导,动动嘴就能安排别人干活 什么活让我自己干,光想想就烧心 现在外包给机器人,虽然慢了点,但看着它忙,比自己忙爽多了 😂 终于体会到一点当领导的快乐。
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