Albert | Call the Map (@callthemap) header
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Albert | Call the Map

@callthemap

I built Call the Map: an independent forecast of every 2026 House, Senate and governor race. Method published in full. Free, no ads.

callthemap.com
Joined June 2026
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my Senate odds went 55, 56, 57, 60 over the last four updates, Tuesday to today. expected seats barely moved, 51.0 to 51.3. big jump for a small change, because 51 is both the middle night in my sims and the number you need
Image from Albert | Call the Map (@callthemap)
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the full forecast, with every race behind it: callthemap.com/senate?utm_so…
Senate forecast: Democrats 60 in 100

Senate forecast: Democrats 60 in 100

Who will win the Senate in 2026? Forecast as of October 30, 2026: Democrats have a 60 in 100 chance to control the Senate, Republicans 40 in 100. Current race-by-race calls: D 53 - R 47. Chances,...

callthemap.com
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watching Tuesday night is a lot easier if you know what each county has to deliver. I made a printable cheat sheet: 20 states with close Senate or governor races, in poll-closing order, and the margin the Democrat needs in each county to break even statewide. write the real margins in as they come
Image from Albert | Call the Map (@callthemap)
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free, prints on Letter or A4: callthemap.com/election-nigh…
Election Night Guide

Election Night Guide

A free printable cheat sheet for election night 2026: for every close Senate and governor race, the counties that decide it and the margin needed there to win, in the order the polls close.

callthemap.com
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put your Senate call on the record before Tuesday. one ballot, every Senate, governor and House race, start from our forecast or a blank card and drag the margin on each. you can change picks until the first polls close, then the top ballot gets stamped CTM Oracle 2026. tag the friend who thinks they know better
Image from Albert | Call the Map (@callthemap)
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it's free and there's no account to make, just pick a username if you want a spot on the leaderboard callthemap.com/scorecard?utm…
Cast your prediction ballot · Become the CTM Oracle

Cast your prediction ballot · Become the CTM Oracle

A free prediction game: pick the winner and margin of every 2026 Senate, governor and House race, lock it before the polls close and see where you rank. Not an official ballot.

callthemap.com
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four ways Tuesday can land, per my own sims: Democrats win both chambers, 58 in 100. Republicans keep the Senate but lose the House, 26. Republicans win both, 14. Democrats take the Senate but not the House, 2. which one would surprise you most?
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if you'd rather make your own call than read mine, you can fill out every Senate, governor and House race here: callthemap.com/scorecard?utm…
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unpopular polling opinion: people spend way too much time on the margin of error and not enough on who got called and how the sample was weighted. the plus-or-minus is the part of a poll that's easy to see, so it gets all the blame.
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printable election night cheat sheet, 7 pages. it goes in the order polls close, and for each close Senate and governor race it has the counties that decide it and the margin Democrats need there to break even statewide. blank boxes to write the real numbers in. tape it next to the TV
Call the Map forecast card: Democrats favored for the House at 83 in 100, slightly favored for the Senate at 57 in 100, with a tile map of states. Used as the share image for the Election Night Guide page.

ALT Call the Map forecast card: Democrats favored for the House at 83 in 100, slightly favored for the Senate at 57 in 100, with a tile map of states. Used as the share image for the Election Night Guide page.

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free, Letter or A4: callthemap.com/election-nigh…
Election Night Guide

Election Night Guide

A free printable cheat sheet for election night 2026: for every close Senate and governor race, the counties that decide it and the margin needed there to win, in the order the polls close.

callthemap.com
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Election night game is up. Start from our forecast, safe seats only, or a totally blank ballot, then change every race you think we got wrong. Locks 6 PM ET Nov 3, no email or account needed.
Call the Map prediction ballot card: Senate contests for Alaska, Maine, Iowa, Texas, Michigan and Nebraska with ovals to fill in, beside a tally sheet of Senate states. Headline: Cast your ballot, become the CTM Oracle.

ALT Call the Map prediction ballot card: Senate contests for Alaska, Maine, Iowa, Texas, Michigan and Nebraska with ovals to fill in, beside a tally sheet of Senate states. Headline: Cast your ballot, become the CTM Oracle.

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callthemap.com/scorecard?utm…
Cast your prediction ballot · Become the CTM Oracle

Cast your prediction ballot · Become the CTM Oracle

A free prediction game: pick the winner and margin of every 2026 Senate, governor and House race, lock it before the polls close and see where you rank. Not an official ballot.

callthemap.com
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Decision Desk moved Democrats to 58% for the Senate today, their high for the cycle. I'm at 56 in 100. with a Republican VP breaking ties, 51 is the line, and 10.8% of my simulations land exactly on it. which race turns out to be the 51st?
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the whole seat distribution, race by race: callthemap.com/senate
Senate forecast: Democrats 60 in 100

Senate forecast: Democrats 60 in 100

Who will win the Senate in 2026? Forecast as of October 30, 2026: Democrats have a 60 in 100 chance to control the Senate, Republicans 40 in 100. Current race-by-race calls: D 53 - R 47. Chances,...

callthemap.com
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Siena's Flanagan +14 just went into my Minnesota Senate average. she's at 74 in 100 now, up from 64 this morning, and the forecast margin moved from +1.9 to +3.5. still one poll out of 18 though, and most of the others have this race within 5
Call the Map forecast card, Minnesota U.S. Senate, as of Oct 28, 2026: Peggy Flanagan (Democrat) 74 in 100, Michele Tafoya (Republican) 26 in 100, Lean D, forecast margin Flanagan +3.5.

ALT Call the Map forecast card, Minnesota U.S. Senate, as of Oct 28, 2026: Peggy Flanagan (Democrat) 74 in 100, Michele Tafoya (Republican) 26 in 100, Lean D, forecast margin Flanagan +3.5.

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every poll in that average, with its weight: callthemap.com/senate/minnes…
Minnesota Senate 2026 forecast: Flanagan vs. Tafoya

Minnesota Senate 2026 forecast: Flanagan vs. Tafoya

Forecast as of October 28, 2026: Call the Map currently has Peggy Flanagan ahead of Michele Tafoya by D+3.5, with a 74 in 100 chance to win. This is an open seat. That result would keep the seat with...

callthemap.com
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Florida's early ballots already add up to 45% of the whole 2022 Senate vote there, 3.5 million through Tuesday. two days out in 2022, early ballots were 62% of all votes. Floridians, early this year or saving it for Election Day?
Call the Map early-vote card for Florida: 3,512,397 ballots through Oct 27, day 34 of voting, +6% vs the same point of 2022. Party registration of ballots: Democrats 39.1%, unaffiliated and other 20.7%, Republicans 40.2%. Source: Florida Division of Elections; newest count via civicAPI.

ALT Call the Map early-vote card for Florida: 3,512,397 ballots through Oct 27, day 34 of voting, +6% vs the same point of 2022. Party registration of ballots: Democrats 39.1%, unaffiliated and other 20.7%, Republicans 40.2%. Source: Florida Division of Elections; newest count via civicAPI.

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county by county, and against 2022: callthemap.com/early-vote/fl…
Florida early voting results 2026: who has voted so far

Florida early voting results 2026: who has voted so far

2,780,853 ballots returned in Florida through Oct 25, day 32 of voting. About as many as at the same point in 2022. By party registration: Democrats 40%, Republicans 40%, unaffiliated and other 21%.

callthemap.com
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the betting markets like Democrats more than I do in all 8 of my biggest Senate disagreements. Alaska is the widest: Polymarket has Peltola at 74 in 100. I have a coin flip, 51. what are traders seeing that the polls aren't?
Table from callthemap.com/senate, market quotes Oct 27: Democratic win chance, my forecast vs. Polymarket. Alaska 51 vs 74 in 100 (23 points apart), Minnesota 64 vs 86 (22), Texas 55 vs 68 (13), New Hampshire 81 vs 92 (11), Michigan 59 vs 69 (10). The market is more Democratic in all five.

ALT Table from callthemap.com/senate, market quotes Oct 27: Democratic win chance, my forecast vs. Polymarket. Alaska 51 vs 74 in 100 (23 points apart), Minnesota 64 vs 86 (22), Texas 55 vs 68 (13), New Hampshire 81 vs 92 (11), Michigan 59 vs 69 (10). The market is more Democratic in all five.

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all 32 quoted races, with my forecast beside each one: callthemap.com/senate?utm_so…
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