Russia is turning the Arctic into a fortress, a frontline, and a contested space. @MatBoulegue traces what a decade of war, sanctions, and melting sea ice has done to Moscow's position in a region it once dominated. cepa.org/comprehensive-repor…

Every summit between Vladimir Putin and Xi Jinping has brought fresh promises of friendship. Every one also leaves Russia a little more dependent on China. The partnership is asymmetrical but stable. Beijing helps Moscow adapt to sanctions, sustain a militarized economy, and replace lost Western markets, all while keeping its own freedom of maneuver. Together, the two regimes form a single meta-threat, and democracies need to treat it as one. cepa.org/comprehensive-repor…

Russian Strikes Rise Across NATO’s Eastern Flank | "The past month has seen a rising drumbeat of attacks by Russian drones and saboteurs from the Baltic states to the Black Sea." Ester Ljunggren cepa.org/article/russian-str…

Deepening Black Sea Crisis Demands US Involvement | “Something very serious is happening in the Black Sea, and it demands a response.” Mark Montgomery and Antonia-Laura Pup cepa.org/article/deepening-b…

NATO Must Prepare for Russian Missile Swarms | "It would be foolish to assume that Ukraine alone is at risk from Russia’s hugely increased production of unmanned aerial munitions." @FRHoffmann1 cepa.org/article/nato-must-p…

It’s the Networks, Stupid | “Britain is not developing a Ministry of Truth.” Andy Pryce cepa.org/article/its-the-net…

Raw Material Risk Threatens Europe’s Drone Race | "China’s stranglehold on the raw materials needed for drones threatens Europe’s defenses. The solution will take time it doesn’t have." Nathan Alan-Lee cepa.org/article/raw-materia…

Russian Strikes Rise Across NATO’s Eastern Flank | “Russia’s behavior is becoming more reckless.” Ester Ljunggren cepa.org/article/russian-str…

Today, humans train AI models on what we know. With recursive self-improvement, the models begin training themselves. Representative Don Beyer (VA-08), warns that this is why the idea has become the hot topic among Silicon Valley tech leaders. Machines that work 24 hours a day, seven days a week, could improve far faster than anything we have seen. If they become smarter and more powerful than we are, able to move money or hire people to act in the real world, the question is whether they will want what we want. Watch the full fireside chat at the link below.

Will Serbia's Vote End the Vučić Era? | "Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić's decision to quit and run for prime minister is a snap test of his popularity after 12 years in power, and of protesters' ability to marshal an effective opposition." Ekaterina Kurbangaleeva cepa.org/article/will-serbia…

We’re delighted to welcome Glenn Parham as a Fellow with CEPA’s Tech Policy Program. Glenn leads public-sector work at Vals AI, building AI benchmarks for national security, and was the Pentagon’s first Generative AI Technical Lead.

Changing Ukraine’s President Will Change Nothing | “Volodymyr Zelenskyy’s legitimacy is once again being queried, but opponents are asking the wrong question.” Alexander Motyl cepa.org/article/changing-uk…

Ukraine’s Military Recruitment: Lessons for NATO | "Forged in the heat of war, Ukraine’s approach to military recruitment could offer a model for its Western allies." Olesia Horiainova cepa.org/article/ukraines-mi…

Trust Is as Important to NATO as Guns | "Europe’s security debate focuses on defense capabilities, technological resilience, critical infrastructure, and the ability to act independently, but public trust in NATO is just as vital." Juris Pupcenoks and Jessica Boscarino cepa.org/article/trust-is-as…

Readying the Nordics for War – Let’s Not Waste Time | "The Nordic countries should plough ahead with joint preparations for war with Russia. It makes no sense to wait for allies, and there are immediate steps available." Jan Kallberg cepa.org/article/readying-th…

How Russia’s War Against Ukraine is Spreading to North Africa | "The Mediterranean is fast becoming another front in Russia's war in Ukraine, with Kyiv reported to have struck Russian shipping and Moscow accelerating its arms buildup in North Africa." Chris Stephen cepa.org/article/the-ukraine…

“It's so important to preserve the story, the truth, and to give people a voice. And I'm very grateful to CEPA personally, to Dr. Alina Polyakova, for giving me this voice, for preserving my voice.” At CEPA Honors, CEPA fellow @Elina_Beketova spoke on the importance of the truth and presented the artwork on display at the event.

The Anxiety Machine | "It’s predictable that an anxious culture will predict doom." @james_a_lewis cepa.org/article/the-anxiety…

Europe Can Rearm Even as Steel Industry Shrinks | "Falling steel output need not derail rearmament, but hard-to-replace specialist suppliers are in a different category." Maciej Bukowski cepa.org/article/europe-can-…

Ukraine Has Problems With Both Koreas | "South Korea’s recent behavior seems mystifying given its vulnerability to attack from the north." Olga Lautman cepa.org/article/ukraine-has…