Arturo (@cervellette) header
Arturo (@cervellette) profile picture

Investor, Mathematician, Mining Expert, Artist, & Miscellaneousor

Montréal, Québec
Joined August 2016
Photo by Arturo (@cervellette)Photo by Arturo (@cervellette)Photo by Arturo (@cervellette)Photo by Arturo (@cervellette)Photo by Arturo (@cervellette)Photo by Arturo (@cervellette)Photo by Arturo (@cervellette)Photo by Arturo (@cervellette)Photo by Arturo (@cervellette)Photo by Arturo (@cervellette)
Before my morning Vyvanse vs after it hits
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Vyvanse and sending rambling email-letters today
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Nobel prize winning economists tell us that if oil goes above $100, the global economy implodes. These idiots don't understand inflation! Here's 5 randomly chosen commodities and their average price/yr since 2005. Which one is not like the others? Remember: buying power of USD drops each year!
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With current oil prices $JOY.TO is 320% undervalued and $OBE $OBE.TO is 300% undervalued
Why am I a pooron that didn't buy enough $JOY.TO and $OBE.TO...
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WTI is up over US$100 per barrel yet undervalued oil producers like $JOY.TO are down on the day. Amazing buying opportunity given how much room WTI has to run
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We’ve had some great gains with this year’s picks so far. I’m back with another great Canadian oil producer: Journey Energy. $JOY.TO has +300% upside with US$100 WTI and US$92 WCS. Check out my valuation calculator to see how it scales with oil prices: journey-fairvalue.vercel.app
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Enjoying some cherries in the sun before diesel costs remove them from my diet
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Only five ships pass have passed through the Strait of Hormuz in 24 hours. Pre-conflict we saw a daily average of 150. Do not expect WTI to stay at $95. Expect it to double. Opportune moment to buy oil or to buy high torque oil producers like $OBE $OBE.TO
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I’ve allocated a large portion of my portfolio to $OBE.TO $OBE but what I did not consider was the short squeeze potential. CA & US exchanges have a total ~9.78 million shares sold short with total daily volume of 1.54mil: 6.4 days to cover (DTC)
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I'm back with a new undervalued stock. Obsidian Energy $OBE.TO: obsidian-fairvalue.vercel.ap…. They have 210% upside at $80 WCS & $85 MSW with non-capital loss carryforwards of $1.7Billion and 10% annualized buybacks. I can’t find a better oil play
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Arturo retweeted
Replying to @GavMcCracken
Look man, don’t you get that it’s priced in? Everything is priced in. The length of your ball hair and its subsequent jojoba oil demand is priced in. Anything you can possible ever conceive of is in. Don’t you dare invest, you won’t be able to beat the S&P! It’s all priced in!
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Back on twitter from illness, hopefully back to valuations soon here. Have been loading emulsion into boreholes lately, not the typical math research
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Told this to all my campaign callers today
This quoted post is unavailable.
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A fund in spain just added Minera Alamos $MAI.V $MAIFF $MAIFD and you're still not long anon? Read the writing on the wall. This fund says it's fairly valued, assuming gold is $2600. That's a long re-rate to get to a fair value.
$MAI - Nuevo holding Equity Small Caps FI 1⃣Minera Alamos Inc. ofrece una combinación poco habitual de activos auríferos en EE. UU., bajo riesgo operativo y fuerte generación de caja. Con Pan ya produciendo y Copperstone y Gold Rock totalmente permitidos, la compañía tiene visibilidad de crecimiento sin necesidad de nueva financiación en un entorno de oro estructuralmente alto. 2⃣A precios actuales del oro (~US$4.800/oz), nuestro NAV fully diluted ronda ~C$16–17 por acción, frente a una cotización de ~C$6,3, lo que refleja un descuento muy elevado. Incluso aplicando un enfoque prudente (precio objetivo ≈60 % del NAV), el upside esperado es ~55–65 %, sin asumir exploración ni México 3⃣ El mercado descuenta implícitamente un escenario de oro muy inferior (~US$2.600/oz) y una ejecución deficiente, hipótesis poco coherentes con la calidad de los activos y su estado avanzado. Si la compañía ejecuta según plan y el oro se mantiene elevado, el re-rating hacia pares estadounidenses podría cerrar gran parte del gap, con opcionalidad adicional gratuita por extensiones de vida y permisos futuros.
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$66 silver, I guess I will be putting all my cash into $apm.to tomorrow morning
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The $apm.to shorts have to buy back 10 million shares and they are already 15-20% down on their position... Meanwhile I am up 630% from my initial long entry... I guess they really want to make me rich?
Oh no! Up 10.65% on 190k shares of volume. If all of that is shorts covering, which it's not, they only got 10mil shares more to go. $APM.TO $ANPMF heading passed Pluto.
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So hilarious that the “may I meet you” thing works because these guys aren't able to speak to people in public without the guise of satire and they were finally afforded it by Mr. Ackman
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$apm.to achieved USD$0.29 EPS in a blowout Q3 with surprise of +142%. Meanwhile it holds USD$120M in cash which will be deployed shrewdly. This 5x will soon turn into a 10x
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This frustrates me so much... how do you expect Canadians to have any desire to innovate, start businesses, or be conscientious whatsoever when their own Prime Minister doesn't have a shred of emotional or material tie to the country?
All my holdings are in Canadian companies, about time Carney follows suit
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All my holdings are in Canadian companies, about time Carney follows suit
🇨🇦 🚨#BREAKING: Moose On The Loose just dug into Carney’s portfolio: • 583 total holdings • 🇨🇦 3 Canadian positions → ~0.5% • 🇺🇸 530 U.S. positions → ~91% So while Canadians get told that a 35% tariff will “protect jobs,” 91% of Carney’s own money is sitting comfortably in the 🇺🇸 U.S. market. That’s not a conflict of interest. That’s the operating model. @ronmortgageguy @StephenPunwasi @BetterDwelling @cbcwatcher @MarketManiaCa #cdnpoli #cdnecon #Canada #Tariffs #FollowTheMoney #Trump #USA
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