CFB Quant

Breaking this export down into bite size pieces later on but has the unit match-ups for it. Clearly QB Designed runs is a coaching preparedness flaw.

SEC's best and worst at stopping QB Runs / Sellers averages 7.3. QB runs = designed runs plus scrambles. / Sellers gets more of his rush yards from scrambling than Byrum does / Sellers leads the SEC for Rush YPA, 50+ attempts #CFB #Gamecocks #WPS #Mizzou #RTR

DL and LBs spread out in second half after seeing us stack the box slow Byrum’s inside runs down. Second time the DC’s gameplan this year changed, counterintuitively, after half and we lost in a one score game. I’ll be impressed if we hold South Carolina to 4.5 Rush YPC. We’re the worst P4 Rush defense they face this year. Kentucky Rush D ranked over 40 spots higher than us - the second easiest South Carolina has faced, and they put up 6.3 YPC on them. South Carolina’s opponent Rush defenses last 7 games: 15th, 16th, 22nd, 26th, 48th, 2nd, 29th. And they’re still third for Rush YPG in SEC.

Texas vs. LSU

Bad losses, by the numbers 👇 Lost to an unranked team: Georgia, Texas (twice), BYU, Texas Tech Indiana's only loss: by 4 to No. 20 Ohio State Wins over the CFP top 25: Texas 4, Indiana 0

Biggest edge in LSU 🐅 vs Texas? The trenches. LSU's D-line vs Texas' O-line (FBS rank): …QB pressure: #2 vs #126 …Sacks: #3 vs #124 …Runs stuffed: #7 vs #117 LSU ranks higher in all 6 on the card. Texas has 2 edges of its own when LSU has the ball ⬇️ #CFB #GeauxTigers #HookEm

How the grade works, in one image. Backtest: coaches we had graded above average beat projection the next season 58% of the time. Below average: 44%. Only 3 of 76 grade clearly above average.

/ Simmons, USC: receivers beat projection in 8 of 11 seasons / Stepp, Illinois: 8 of 11, at 4 schools / Whitted, Boise State: 6 of 9 Your team's WR room: 1. cfbquant.com, tap Teams, then Position groups 2. Season 2026 3. Sort the WR room by rank change

Ever wondered the value-add of a coach versus talent? / New Series - Coach Pay vs. NIL for Proven Talent: WR Coach Edition (let us know what position you want next!) Best buy here is situational, but predictable ⬇️ / Bottom-third-graded WR coach to average: 110-135 yds, +$60K / Median WR to top-10% WR: 100-130 yds, +$450K / Average-graded WR coach to top third: 0-55 yds, +$65K Where does your $500K go? How we graded: apples-to-apples talent adjusted, accounted for surrounding talent, continuity of OC-OL-QB, and much more. Highest graded in 2026: Simmons (USC), Stepp (Illinois), Whitted (Boise State), Shanahan (Indiana), Cummings (Washington), Wade (Arizona). Board in the replies. Pay: FootballScoop, ESPN GM survey #CFB #FightOn #Illini #BleedBlue #IUFB #PurpleReign #BearDown

Opponent Rank at End of Season is what counts 🤪 5-4 against teams with positive W/L this season. Obviously everyone has games left to play, but playing against 9 teams in 10wks who have positive W/L is wild!

I haven’t defended Alabama over Tennessee, but Alabama certainly deserves to be above 1-loss and some 0-loss teams who haven’t faced anyone.