I used to work at Robinhood. Now I build NFL models for fun and test them in public. This week's most interesting number: Houston by 3.1. Most expect a comfortable Texans win. My model says Tennessee keeps it close. All 13 Sunday forecasts in the reply. Results Monday. Last week I said the model I've been working on was coming to life. I like football. I like data. Apparently watching the games wasn't enough, so I gave myself homework. Three games I'm watching: ★ TEXANS vs TITANS Projected margin: Houston by 3.1 I have Houston winning, but this one's a lot tighter than the narrative around it. Tennessee hangs around. ★ PATRIOTS vs RAIDERS Projected margin: New England by 6.8 The model likes the Patriots more than most. The depleted secondary is the biggest reason I'm cautious. ★ BROWNS vs JETS Projected margin: Cleveland by 0.85 Basically a coin flip that leans Cleveland. Interesting enough to track, not enough to pretend it's certain. These forecasts predate the latest injury updates. What I'm testing is how close the projected margins land. I'm not claiming the model is right. Monday, I'll show what held up, what missed, and what needs more work. Everything stays visible. Follow along for Sunday forecasts and Monday results.