
Professor Daniel Martin Katz #Law + #Science + #Engineering + #Entrepreneurship PAGE: https://xitter.cf/t.co/4PK6hxI3Q3 EDU: https://xitter.cf/t.co/4iru4S5kdY CORP: https://xitter.cf/t.co/KE6PcoN5bO
@IllinoisTech @ChicagoKentLaw
Joined March 2009
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Computational Legal retweeted
Mark Cuban (@mcuban) says an AI agent now flags every lawsuit and bid involving the healthcare conglomerates he is fighting, work that never got done when it meant hiring someone.
"I can use the agent to create an email to send to the Open Records Act to get me copies of all those contracts."
- Mark Cuban, Cost Plus Drugs co-founder, on The Diary of a CEO with @StevenBartlett
Computational Legal retweeted
One of the more consequential disclosures in Anthropic’s S-1:
“With the scale of harm that could result from a catastrophic AI-related incident, no single insurer, and potentially the insurance industry in the aggregate, may have sufficient capacity or expertise to underwrite insurance commensurate with such exposure.”
If the whole insurance industry may not be able to underwrite frontier Al risk, we probably need something new: pooled, public-private, or built from scratch. Would love to meet anyone thinking seriously about this.
Computational Legal retweeted
ANT disproved ETH the same time as OAI!
First major simultaneous discovery by agents? Newton-Leibnitz circa 2026?!
Yes, it seems indeed the models even obtained the results on the same day. I haven't had a chance to look through the OAI claimed proof yet, but in the spirit of the AGMAI recommendations to improve exposition before release, some of us did read Claude's proof last week before release to try to incorporate a better quality high level overview and exposition overall, which I hope is reflected in the pdf (published via the AI repository Hexagon, see hexagonmath.org/2610.00577; lean available at github.com/anthropics/formal…; also see the google drive shared via @rrwilliams's post drive.google.com/drive/u/0/f… in preparation for the upcoming workshops he's organizing with Impagliazzo and Paturi).
Sharing what I understood from the proof below:
Basic idea (below is for runtime 2^{delta n} for arbitrary constant delta>0; it seems both proofs ultimately get roughly exp(O(n / sqrt(log n))) time with lower order terms in the exponent),
* can assume num clauses = O(n) wlog via previous sparsification results (n = num variables)
* Solve #3-SAT not 3-SAT (i.e. count satisfying assignments, don't just decide satisfiability)
* Convert to graph problem: clauses are nodes, and edges between clauses that share a variable (whether it's x or not(x) doesn't matter; we care about same variable, not same literal). Weight of an edge is # of shared variables.
* Divide and Conquer idea: if there's a cut with total weight W, you can iterate over all 2^W fixings of those shared variables, and for each fixing you recurse on both sides and multiply, then add it up. Base case is constant # vertices, then you can just brute force count in 2^O(1) time. Unfortunately, you're not going to always find such a cut.
(aside: from now on you can imagine every occurrence of a literal gets its own variable, and edges are functions enforcing equality constraints between those copies)
* Instead of the above D&C, group the vertices into g^2 groups for some large constant g = g(delta). It matters how to do this grouping (it's not arbitrary); without getting into the details (see paper), a random grouping has properties the D&C wants (probabilistic method), and this existence is enough to allow for a slow-but-fast-enough algorithm to find a good grouping deterministically.
* Imagine laying out the g^2 vertices arbitrarily on a g x g grid. Some edges are "side edges" (purely horizontal or purely vertical) and some are "diagonal" (the rest). There are (g choose 2)^2 = Theta(g^4) diagonal ones (choose two rows and two columns to define the corners) but only 2*g*(g choose 2) = O(g^3) side edges. You can pick g a large enough constant that the side edges have much less total weight than the diagonals -- the D&C will save on the diagonals, so we want there to be many more of them.
* The sum we want is
sum_z prod_{vertices a} W_a(z_a) * prod_{edges a,b} P(z_a,z_b),
where W_a(z_a) at the highest level of recursion is a table of 2^3=8 values for each of the settings of the 3 literals in clause a, with value 0 or 1 indicating whether z_a satisfies clause a or not, and P() is the equality constraint checker I mentioned on the edges (deeper levels of recursion also all involve sums of this form where P() is always an equality checker on some set of bits, but deeper W's have arbitrary integer outputs and not necessarily 0/1)
Write prod_{edges} P(..) = prod_{side edges} P(..) prod_{rectangles r} P_1(..) P_2(..) where P_1, P_2 are the diagonals for the rectangle r
*The key step* (eqn 15 in the pdf): first assume all edges in the entire graph have exactly 3 bits on them (it turns out reducing to this isn't *too* complicated; see (19)), and replace P_1*P_2 with a hyperedge that involves some function on the corners of the rectangle, times a sum of two products of edge functions. This replacement comes from something called the "eight square identity"; this is related to octonions, which I still know nothing about. :) So
P_1*P_2 = HyperEdgeFunction(corners)*(Q_1*Q_2 + Q_3*Q_4)
Two interesting things here: (1) Q_1,Q_2,Q_3,Q_4 are all side edges (Q_1,Q_2 are horizontal and Q_3,Q_4 are vertical), and (2) whereas P1,P2 have total weight 6 (3 and 3), if you merge each row of the grid into a supervertex then Q_1,Q_2 vanishes and the hyperedge becomes a regular edge with total weight 3 whereas hyperedge*Q_3*Q_4 still involves 6 bits (and vice versa if you merge each column into a supervertex). In particular, the average weight from using Q_1*Q_2 vs. Q_3*Q_4 is (3+6)/2 = 4.5. We went from weight 6 (P_1*P_2) to weight 4.5 "on average".
* So back to the original sum, we can rewrite it:
sum_a W_a(z_a) * prod_{side edges} P(..) * prod_{rectangles r} hyperedge(r) * (Q_1*Q_2 + Q_3*Q_4)
Now imagine distributing that product over that final sum involving the Q's, to get a new sum that has a factor 2^{# rectangles} more terms multiplicatively. (but there are only poly(g) = O(1) rectangles, so this is only a 2^{poly(g)} = O(1) blowup in the number of summands)
* Each one of these terms in the new, bigger sum, has a prod_rectangles in it. Either >=1/2 of the rectangles chose the Q_1*Q_2 when we distributed the product, or >=1/2 chose the Q_3*Q_4. That means we can either merge all row edges or merge all column edges, and one of those wil decrease the total number of weights on edges by a 4.5/6 factor. This is the heart of why D&C makes progress; D&C is supposed to reduce one instance to simpler instances, and "simpler" in this case means decreasing the total weight on all edges (here by a 4.5/6 factor).
This overall looks like a recursion with branching factor 2^{poly(g)} = O(1), but in reality the branching factor becomes poly(m) when you account for the trick in the proof to reduce to the case of 3 bits on each edge. In any case, there are more steps to get everything to work, but the above gives some taste of how the Divide & Conquer works.
If you optimize the right way to choose g to not be a constant but a slow enough growing function, you get runtime exp(O(n / log^c n)), but for a tiny c. If you replace the eight square identity with something fancier, and replace the black-box invocation of the sparsification lemma with a more white box version that adds in some more ideas, you get down to the exp(O(n loglog n / sqrt(log n))) in the paper.
Computational Legal retweeted
Out today in Nature Human Behaviour: our review of large language models in computational social science, with @xu_fengli, @yongli and colleagues at @Tsinghua_Uni, @hkust & @MSFTResearch Asia. A thread on what we found, including where the field is fooling itself.
Read @ doi.org/10.1038/s41562-026-0…
Computational Legal retweeted
I have filed 16 corrections to legal AI benchmarks, skills and templates published by Harvey, LegalQuants, Anthropic, General Legal, Thomson Reuters and Crosby Legal, and started a public register to track them.
github.com/1331labs/legal-ai… View article
Computational Legal retweeted
Anthropic S-1 here. sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/…
Computational Legal retweeted
Having Opus slowly build a giant interactive map of every way water's used in America. Will be updated regularly over the next week as it runs in the background andymasley.com/visuals/water…
Computational Legal retweeted
I asked Claude how much it would have taken to develop Econvitals pre-coding agents. It's answer: a team of about 50 people working for three years with a budget of $20 million.
Is this correct or too high? I'm not sure.
econvitals.org/about/before-…
Computational Legal retweeted
.@DKThomp: “In 2020 and 2021, investors looked at Peloton’s and Zoom’s explosive growth, projected their revenue curves into the future, and concluded that these companies would take over fitness and work. Instead, what the pandemic really did was concentrate several years of demand into a few quarters. The earnings that followed disappointed, and their stocks plummeted.
I am not an AI bear. But I wonder if coding agents did something a little bit like this for AI. Software companies adopted Claude Code and Codex so quickly—and spent so lavishly in their adoption—that the most valuable AI market was saturated with great haste. The year 2026 saw some of the fastest-growing companies in the history of capitalism. But doubling revenue again would probably require a new magic trick—a new S-curve, a coding-agent revolution for finance, law, or manufacturing.”
open.substack.com/pub/derekt…
Computational Legal retweeted
Really enjoyed doing @TheTrueNorthPod where we dig into the Clio journey, our AI transformation, the challenges of scaling in Canada, and what it takes to build a generational company.
Two best friends from Edmonton swore off VCs, found their first investor in a spam folder, and built a $5 billion company from Burnaby, BC.
My conversation with @jack_newton and Rian Gauvreau, the founders of @goclio is live:
0:00 Intro
3:53 Would you build it here?
16:57 Capital will find you
20:50 Two idiots from Edmonton
32:02 Why doesn't Claude eat your lunch?
43:58 Four steps to the epiphany
49:37 Sell work, not software
55:09 The shoe company
1:03:18 The spam folder
1:10:44 From "f*** VCs" to $2 billion
1:17:05 The Sagrada Família
1:23:31 Prosperity is a choice
Follow @TheTrueNorthPod for more untold Canadian founder stories.
Computational Legal retweeted
By every measure, Opus 4.8 beats human experts as peer reviewers in a study of 124 Harvard social science papers covering a range from statistical analyses to formal models to qualitative work.
As academics, we need to figure out how to adapt the practice of science to AI, fast.
Computational Legal retweeted
When my first AI book was published in 2024, the best AI could do 4 minutes of human work with a 50% chance of success
When I turned in the draft of Co-Existence earlier this year, it was 17 hours
When it was published two days ago, AI could do 17 weeks open.substack.com/pub/oneuse…
Computational Legal retweeted
Big new IFP report from @GeorgiaCAdamson, @KonstantinPilz, and me on the US-China AI competition.
We spent the last 6 months digging into how Chinese AI companies’ access to compute and distillation of American models translate into the current US-China capabilities gap.
The result is a 23k-word research report, including an interactive analytical model that visualizes changes in the US AI lead under different policy interventions.
Our findings:
1. The US AI lead over China is currently only around 6 months.
2. The US could roughly double this lead, to over a year, using authorities already available to the federal government.
3. On chips: China’s access to AI chips will roughly double over the next year, with chips housed in data centers overseas accounting for roughly half of China’s 2027 compute.
4. On distillation: the current ~16x US training compute advantage would normally yield a 13-month lead. But we estimate adversarial distillation halves this to around 6.5 months.
5. Increasing the lead would have some obvious benefits:
- Give the US broadly a greater cyberdefensive advantage against Chinese threat actors.
- Give US AI companies breathing room to spend more R&D resources on making their systems safer and more secure, without fear of being overtaken by less safety-conscious Chinese competitors.
6. Provide the US government more leverage in negotiations with China about the future of AI.
7. The two most important interventions are:
- For BIS: Create a new end-use control to restrict China’s remote access to training clusters abroad — China’s largest and fastest-growing source of frontier-scale compute.
- For DOJ/FTC: Create a narrow safe harbor to allow US companies to coordinate on countering Chinese adversarial distillation.
8. Both interventions (and all the others we discuss in the report) are things the federal government could do today.
9. To estimate the effects of each policy intervention, we model the US lead as a function of its compute advantage over China and China’s ability to adversarially distill the capabilities of the US frontier.
10. The model makes many simplifying assumptions, but provides a useful way to assess and rank the impact of different policy interventions at a high level.
Read the full report here: ifp.org/how-to-increase-amer…
Computational Legal retweeted
Repeat after me: using AI for writing is not cheating. Stop this nonsense. Is it badly written? Say so. The argument is wrong? Say so. The process that produced it is irrelevant.
Computational Legal retweeted
New: Accenture has told employees it will only fund $29 per month of Claude use. Meaning that employees who often spend as much as $1,000 a month are now scrambling to find ways to keep access to the tool. A sign of the continuing crack down of AI 404media.co/accenture-tells-…
Computational Legal retweeted
interpretability might be the most important scientific problem in the world right now, as I don't think we can solve alignment if we don't know what we're building. I think I have good news about it. I co-authored early work in mechanistic interpretability at OpenAI and came away pessimistic, because neural networks appeared to fold into arbitrary tangled knots. years later, I started openai's first large-scale automated interpretability project, finding about 2% of neurons legible with the primitive tools we had
with modern agentic tools and a much closer look, the picture looks totally different. the vast majority in models up to trillions of parameters are legible, and their circuits beautiful. many famous examples of tangled neurons turned out to be misunderstood. The roadblocks I expected mostly aren't there. I now think ambitious interpretability will be solved by the time we need it most, and possibly quite soon, as automated scientists keep improving. it may be a bitter lesson for interpretability: the simple thing, at absurd scale, works
already-clean.goodfire.com/
Computational Legal retweeted
It’s getting hard to build good legal evals. So many legal tasks involve judgment and discretion.
I built LegalForecastBench to test frontier models on a high-level legal task with objective ground truth: predicting how judges will decide real motions.
Computational Legal retweeted
🚨Out now in PNAS! The first ever (we believe) large scale RCT + field experiment on the performance effects of AI Personalization!
🚩 In a preregistered randomized experiment,
🚩 We paired 1,258 participants with AI agents prompted to exhibit varying levels of the Big Five personality traits.
🚩 These human–AI teams produced 7,266 display ads, evaluated by 1,168 human raters, and a field experiment on X with ~5M impressions.
































