son of god | husband | father | student | teacher
Joined August 2008
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Vance is 18 months too late.
One of the things the data analysts on our side obsessed over was "composition"—whether the electorate looked close enough to 2024 for Republicans to win. And despite polls that showed a Democrat blowout, the data kept on telling us the same story: in some states turnout was merely OK, in other states it was downright amazing, and in no state was it catastrophic. There was a genuine sense of optimism on our team: our people were showing up.
So, I asked the smartest data guy I know, does that mean we're going to shock the world? "No," he told me. "We might do better than the polls suggest. But the data is telling us that a lot of Trump/Vance 2024 voters are pissed and planning to vote for the other guys. Our voters are turning out, but they may not vote for us."
Well, that looks prophetic now. Our voters did show up. In Florida, for example, the electorate was 9 points more Republican than Democrat, just a couple points worse than 2024. Undoubtedly there were places we could have done better on turnout. But the main problem is not turnout. The main problem is that many people who voted for Trump/Vance in 2024 voted for Democrats in 2026.
There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why that is. One of the pollsters I really respect told me that our economic messaging wasn’t sharp enough down the stretch. I’m sure that’s true.
But the real reason we lost is obvious to almost everyone.
Another pollster—one of the smartest people I know in politics, told me yesterday we’d lose the generic ballot by 13 points. I felt negative going into Tuesday, but even I was shocked by this. In his polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024 voters were angry and planning to vote for Democrats. He asked those voters who had abandoned us what would cause them to come back on our team. The top four answers, accounting for nearly all of the responses were:
1) End the war
2) Focus on cost of living/inflation
3) Put America First
4) Change our relationship to Israel
Our voters showed up. And the above four reasons are why many of them voted for Democrats. This is according to a pollster who nailed the results. While many spent Monday attacking Rachel Campos Duffy for calling for a diplomatic resolution to the conflict, it turns out her political advice was sound. (She’s also a great person.)
In the next few months, there's going to be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear any number of establishment politicians say the solution to our woes is amnesty. I'm open to the idea that we should change enforcement—by focusing more on businesses that hire illegal labor, for instance. But anyone pushing amnesty is lying to you.
The reason we lost is the war. The president himself said so last night.
If you'd like to argue it was worth it, that losing the Senate for the next 6 years was worth it, then do so. Argue it was a worthwhile cost to pay. Agree or disagree, that's at least honest.
But everyone knows why we lost. And any honest conversation about where we go from here must start there.
I remain hopeful about our country. To the people who are pissed off and want to say, “I told you so”: you’re right, you did tell us so. Take that energy into electing Republicans who share your worldview. To the people who are just pissed at the results, you should be. Let’s take that anger and get back to the work of saving our country.
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Jericho retweeted
One of the strangest things about our culture is how much faith we've placed in elections to change our lives and how little faith we've placed in our own ability to do the same.
People will spend months arguing about who should lead the country while spending zero time considering how they could better lead themselves.
...and THAT is a much bigger problem than most people realize.
Because the strength of a country is ultimately a reflection of the character, discipline and standards of the people who make it up.
That's you.
Politics is downstream of culture.
We can keep changing the people in charge, passing new laws and arguing over which party has the answers…
...but until we change the culture fostering, producing and tolerating the problems we have as a society nothing fundamentally changes.
A population of weak, unhealthy, uninformed and dependent people is a hell of a lot easier to control than a population of strong, healthy, educated and self-reliant people.
Your responsibility is to become the exact opposite of everything they want for you to the best of your abilities.
Your REAL best.
In my opinion that's our obligation as Americans.
A culture of personal excellence is the foundation of a great country.
There is no election, politician, policy or law that can substitute for that.
.....and the best thing about that is the same behaviors that make you a better American also make your own life better quickly.
If we want a better America…
It starts with being better Americans.
There is no other way.
Personal Excellence is the Ultimate Rebellion.
Jericho retweeted
Remember…
Most people are good.
Most people want the same things.
There is a reason trillions of dollars are spent to make you believe otherwise.
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The government steals from its citizens every day.
If you steal from American taxpayers, you WILL be held accountable. House Republicans will NEVER stop fighting against fraud.
Readers added context they thought people might want to know
Donald Trump has granted clemency to dozens of individuals convicted of financial crimes that directly target American taxpayers or the federal government. Across his two terms, over half of his individual (non-blanket) clemency grants have benefited white-collar offenders
nbcnews.com/politics/trump…
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Write in @CaseyPutsch
As an Ohioan, I'm genuinely morally conflicted on whether or not to vote for Vivek.
That doesn't mean I'm voting for Amy Acton, and I won't be.
Should I vote for the "lesser of two evils?" Should I not vote?
What should I do... Seriously?
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Jericho retweeted
If anyone is interested in working in the Texas oil fields, hit me up. We are doing what we can to take care of our young white Christian Patriots who have been DEI racially discriminated against. The ideal candidate would be someone who wants to get their life back on track with a stable career. Must be professional, reliable, hardworking, etc..
