Shepard

Good morning, Investors. $AAPL did $109.4B in revenue last quarter. Up 16% year over year. EPS up 29%. And the guidance for the September quarter? Another 9 to 11% growth. Despite FX headwinds. Despite supply constraints. Despite rising memory costs. Apple raised prices across the lineup and demand kept coming. That is not a slowdown. That is pricing power. Tonight after the close John Ternus hosts his first earnings call as CEO. First numbers on the iPhone 18 Pro launch and the outlook for the holiday quarter → all on the table. Eyes on the market.

2/ $PLTR reports Monday after the close. The stock dropped 6% on Friday and closed at $184.11. It lost the $198 level after getting rejected below the $212.82 high. My main scenario: a pullback into the $164.58 support. The stock can fall there without breaking the uptrend. From there I expect a higher low and the next leg up. The faster path: strong earnings and an immediate reclaim of $198. Breaking above $212.82 would open the way for new highs. Losing $164.58 would send the stock toward $147. The 200 day moving average sits in between at around $153.

THE CORRECTION ENDS THIS WEEK. OR IT GETS WORSE. Here are the 5 earnings reports that decide it. 1/ $AAPL reports Monday after the close. Expectations: EPS of $2.02 on $115.3 billion in revenue. Apple has beaten EPS estimates in each of the last 11 quarters. The stock is trading right at $344, just below its all time high. That level is now the key. My main scenario: $344 holds, earnings deliver and Apple breaks into new all time highs. If $344 breaks, a pullback toward $317 or even $300 is possible. The uptrend stays intact as long as $300 holds. That’s also where the 200 day moving average is catching up. Losing $300 would open the door toward $273.

Good morning, Investors. $MRVL dropped from $251 to $196 in just three trading days. More than 20% gone. The reason: Bloomberg reported Marvell is in advanced talks to buy $LITE . A deal worth around $83 billion, likely paid fully in stock. Investors fear heavy dilution. But look at what Marvell would get. Lumentum builds the lasers and optical components that connect AI data centers. That’s exactly where the bottleneck sits right now. Raymond James says the deal could be EPS neutral by 2028 if structured right. Rosenblatt, Piper Sandler and Stifel all kept their positive ratings. And Google already holds a warrant to buy Marvell shares at $206.58. Today the stock trades below that price. An official announcement could come as soon as next week → the deal terms will decide how big the dilution really is. Eyes on the market.

Good morning, Investors. $AMZN missed on both lines. EPS $1.89 vs $1.96 expected. Revenue $201.9B vs $202.3B. Just like $GOOGL, the real fear was capex. Amazon sticks to $220B in spending for 2026 and free cash flow over the last twelve months sits at minus $42.4B. The stock dropped more than 7% after hours. Then the market read the fine print. AWS grew 39% and accelerated for the second quarter in a row. The backlog jumped $82B to $578B. Management expects 40%+ AWS growth in both 2027 and 2028. And capex was not raised. Buyers stepped in. Amazon closed at $240.35, down only 1.4% while the Nasdaq lost 2.9%. That is not weakness. That is relative strength. All eyes on Monday's open. Reclaim $245 → the bounce has legs. Eyes on the market.

“Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.” Warren Buffett Here are 4 stocks that beat earnings expectations and are still selling off. 1/ $SNDK Beat earnings yesterday. Still dropped almost 10% today. The stock lost the $1,220 support and fell below its 200 day moving average. Right now it trades at $1,202. This is a 50/50 setup. Reclaiming $1,220 and the 200 SMA quickly would make this a fakeout. Then $1,518 is the next level, and above that $1,913. If the stock stays below the 200 SMA, a drop toward the $995 support is likely.

Emergency market update. $QQQ just broke below the $701 support. Right now it's trading at $697, down 2.6% today. If we don't close back above $701 today, the bullish scenario is invalidated. Then a move toward the $680 to $686 area becomes more likely. Losing $660 would mean a bigger correction. But here's the bigger picture. The charts of the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 look much milder. That points to general weakness in the market, but not to an extreme selloff across the entire market breadth. As long as that stays the case, this is a strong correction. Not a crash. Stay bullish until proven otherwise.

CAN SOMEONE EXPLAIN WHY $MRVL IS DOWN 12% PREMARKET? WHAT AM I MISSING? 💬 👇

Good morning, Investors. Plot twist. $INTC beat EPS by 30% and still dropped around 24% overnight. From $92 to around $70. Beat the quarter. Lost the market. The reason: weak Q4 guidance. Revenue of $15 to $16 billion vs $17 billion expected, and a PC slowdown that could last into 2027. But here's what the headlines miss. The data center business is growing strong and management already calls 2027 a growth year. On Sunday I said it: losing $82 would point toward a much deeper correction. That level is now gone. Overnight trading is thin, so the open can still shift. Today's open → we see if $70 is panic or the new reality. Eyes on the market.

$NOW crashed 25% in less than 24 hours. The story behind it hasn't really changed since yesterday. The bullish path I drew is invalidated. Marked it red. The stock also lost its 200-day moving average around $115. Price is now sitting right on the $111.45 support. A relief bounce toward $126 is possible, but that level will likely act as resistance now. But the uptrend is not done yet. As long as $90 holds, nothing is lost here. The range between $126 and $90 is where the stock can build its next higher low. The arrow in the chart is just an illustration, not a target. As long as the bottom forms above $90, the uptrend stays intact. That might even be a chance to add. Losing $90 would mean much lower prices. Are you still bullish?

$AMZN is the stock that can save us today. The stock is trading at $248.85 in premarket, just above the $245 support. My main scenario: $245 breaks and price drops into the $226 zone. That's where I expect a base to form without breaking the bigger uptrend. From there $263 is the level to reclaim. The faster path: strong earnings, $245 holds and Amazon pushes through $263 straight away. Then $287 comes into play. Losing $226 would open the door for a bigger correction. All eyes are on Amazon earnings tonight. Stay bullish.

$GOOGL is pushing crypto. Google Cloud unveiled Google Multi-Party Compute. An institutional custody service that splits private keys across separate systems. No single machine ever holds the full key. Private preview with major financial institutions now. Commercial launch planned for early 2027. The real headline: Alphabet already uses it to secure its own $ETH and $SOL holdings. Price doesn't care today. But the infrastructure for institutional adoption keeps getting built by the biggest names in tech. That's the trend that matters.

My $NOW post from yesterday did not age well. Earnings dropped last night, and the bottom line missed. EPS: $1.00 vs $1.02 expected Revenue: $4.11B vs $4.09B expected Revenue up 21% year over year. EPS up only 4%. $NOW dropped around 20%. This is a small miss. Revenue still beat, and growth is intact. But the market wanted more. Chart update dropping during the NYSE session.

Two stocks just got hit hard. $GOOGL down 10% $NOW down 20% You can only buy one. I'll go first: GOOGLE Which one are you taking?

Good morning, Investors. $GOOG is dropping 10% in premarket after earnings. EPS missed by 30%. Revenue came in slightly below expectations at $127.6 billion. Painful. But not unexpected. On Tuesday I called it a 50/50 setup. Losing $314 would bring the range between $270 and $314 into play. Earnings decided: downside. I marked the bullish path red in the updated chart below because it didn't play out. And the business is still growing. Revenue is up 25% year over year. The market is punishing the profit line, not the growth. I stick to my take. For me Google is still one of the biggest opportunities in the market right now. The key level is $270. As long as it holds, this is a dip inside the range, not a breakdown. Today's open → we see if buyers step in. Eyes on NYSE opening today.

bitcoin:native chart update. Bitcoin is sitting right on the $80,400 support. This is a 50/50 setup. The key level is $84,158. It has to be reclaimed. Once Bitcoin breaks above that zone, I think the correction is over and we'll see new local highs. Holding $80,400 is the first step. From there $82,750 is the next level on the way up. Losing $80,400 means a drop toward $78,100 is likely. Below that the next major support sits at $75,000. Tonight's Fed decision could be the trigger for either side.

Good morning Investors, $GOOG trades 22% below its all time high. And tomorrow it reports earnings. The market is punishing Google for its massive AI spending. $44.9 billion in capex last quarter alone. Free cash flow turned negative. But look at what that money is building. Last quarter Google posted record revenue of $119.8 billion, up 24% year over year. Google Cloud grew 82% to $24.8 billion. And it’s not just growing. Its operating margin hit 35.6%. That’s not a company losing the AI race. That’s a company winning it. Tonight after the bell → the Street expects around $127 billion in revenue. If Cloud keeps delivering, the 22% discount won’t last long. Stay bullish.

$HOOD is still holding the uptrend. The stock bounced right off the $93 support today and is trading up 3.5% at $96. Two bullish paths from here. A clean move toward the $124.72 resistance. Reclaiming $140.30 would open the way for new highs. Or one more dip into $83.79 first. The stock can fall there without breaking the uptrend. Uptrend stays intact as long as $83.79 holds. Below that the next major support sits at $63.47.