Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill) header
Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill) profile picture

Dan Brunskill

@dan_brunskill

economics understander

 Brussels
instagram.com/danielbrunskill
Joined November 2012
  • Tweets237
  • Following1.5K
  • Followers1.9K
11Media
Photo by Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)Photo by Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)Photo by Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)Photo by Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)Photo by Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)Photo by Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)Photo by Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)Photo by Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)Photo by Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)Photo by Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)
has a party ever won an election but lost its finance minister before?
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so odd to see an election where electorates matter so much
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The Platform has claimed more NZF scalps than any leftwing outfit could dream of
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psa: anyone advocating for the 'strategic voting' thing but still saying to support act in epsom and tamaki is actually just purely campaigning for act nothing strategic 'bout it
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huge shoutout to this polymarket trader who made $7 million betting NZ would beat/draw with Iran in the Fifa World Cup
Image from Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)
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Dan Brunskill retweeted
Nick Crocker 🐘 (@nickcrocker) profile picture
Nick Crocker 🐘
@nickcrockerOct 26
Looking for the AU/NZ angle on this S-1? Jeremy Phillips who founded Spark’s growth fund is Aussie. And Hanseul Nam who led the initial deal with Yasmin is Kiwi. 🇳🇿🇦🇺
Vivek Gopalan (@vvkgopalan) profile pictureVivek Gopalan
@vvkgopalanOct 26
Pretty great stuff from Spark (from the Anthropic S-1)
Image from Vivek Gopalan (@vvkgopalan)
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Here's an interesting case study for Green Party supporters and critics to follow: Hungary will impose a 1% to 1.5% annual wealth tax on assets over ~$5.5 million, starting next year.
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I’m convinced the AI backlash is at least partially because people watched their lives get hollowed by social media and think AI will do the same
Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) profile pictureMatthew Yglesias
@mattyglesiasSep 17
Meta is now running TV ads about how they’re confident that AI will be as socially beneficial as Facebook itself was … …
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> titles first column 'elephant in the room' > doesn't address it 😭 stuff.co.nz/nz-news/36102560…
Chris Penk: I need to address the elephant in the room

Chris Penk: I need to address the elephant in the room

As far as exits from a cabinet go, imagine the top drawer of a bedroom dresser being opened slightly too far, then falling from that furniture onto your slippered foot

stuff.co.nz
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this is the definitive take on Druckenmiller-gate
Guy Berger (@EconBerger) profile pictureGuy Berger@EconBergerAug 25
As with a lot of cases of pure AI writing, I wish I could read the prompt instead of the published text
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Dan Brunskill retweeted
Guy Berger (@EconBerger) profile picture
Guy Berger@EconBergerAug 25
As with a lot of cases of pure AI writing, I wish I could read the prompt instead of the published text
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Dan Brunskill retweeted
Max Tani (@maxwelltani) profile picture
Max Tani@maxwelltaniAug 25
Precedent-setting moment in news media. The editor of the second most important opinion page in the country greenlights the use of AI for drafting pieces, no disclosure necessary.
Max Tani (@maxwelltani) profile pictureMax Tani@maxwelltaniAug 25
In a statement, WSJ opinion editor Paul Gigot defends Druckenmiller's use of AI to write Monday's op ed, saying "AI is a fact of modern life," and "nobody can doubt that his op-ed is his genuine opinion."
Image from Max Tani (@maxwelltani)
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I'd love to see electorate backbenchers of all parties voicing their policy views more often. They have to vote the party line - I get that - but no reason they shouldn't provide constructive criticism and tell local voters their individual views. rnz.co.nz/news/politics/1068…
National MP Greg Fleming breaks ranks, criticises Budget tax change

National MP Greg Fleming breaks ranks, criticises Budget tax change

A first-term National MP has criticised a tax change the government has introduced, saying a plan to cap the donation tax credit has "zero" logic.

rnz.co.nz
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I imagine (but do not know) that Polymarket has many fewer problem gamblers than a casino or your local pokies newsroom.co.nz/2026/08/13/si…
Despite Polymarket ban, Kiwi punters can still bet on Luxon’s fate

Despite Polymarket ban, Kiwi punters can still bet on Luxon’s fate

Polymarket was asked to withdraw from NZ in February, but it's still possible to buy positions on politics and sport without a VPN

newsroom.co.nz
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A Polymarket account sharing a username with David Farrar (the National Party pollster and member) just bet NZ$100 that Luxon will be out before the election. Just a month ago, the account bet ~$12 in the other direction.
Image from Dan Brunskill (@dan_brunskill)
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Disclaimers: 1) I've not asked Farrar if it was him 2) It would not be insider trading if it was him 3) It is not a crime to bet on Polymarket 4) This bettor stands to earn like ~$20 if they win
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Labour is going to rule out TOP next
henry cooke (@henrycooke) profile picturehenry cooke@henrycookeAug 6
NEW NZTU POLL HAS LABOUR CRASHING DOWN, OPPORTUNITY ABOVE 5%: National: 31% (+0.5% since the month prior) Labour: 27.8% (-3.7) Greens: 10.1% (-0.3) NZ First: 9.1% (-1.7) ACT: 7.3% (+0.3) Te Pāti Māori (TPM): 1.5% (-1.9) Opportunity: 6.1% (+2.8)
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Dan Brunskill retweeted
Olivia Carville (@livcarville) profile picture
Olivia Carville@livcarvilleAug 4
🚨 “By Design”: A confidential document shows TikTok ran an experiment on millions of users — including a teenager who died by suicide bloomberg.com/news/features/…
TikTok Withheld a Safety Feature From Millions. One Died by Suicide

TikTok Withheld a Safety Feature From Millions. One Died by Suicide

A confidential document says an algorithm adjustment was kept from many users “by design,” as part of an experiment to measure engagement.

bloomberg.com
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Dan Brunskill retweeted
Javed (@PastTenseOfJav) profile picture
Javed@PastTenseOfJavJul 24
New recession indicator just dropped: Floor at Valhalla no longer sticky. People can’t afford to spill beer.
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one problem with democracy is that candidates who specialise in ‘policymaking’ have to compete with others who specialise in ‘talking on the radio’
henry cooke (@henrycooke) profile picturehenry cooke@henrycookeJul 21
Chris Bishop says it is "highly unlikely" he would win Hutt South on National's current polling: thepost.co.nz/politics/36104…
Chris Bishop says it is ‘highly unlikely’ he would win Hutt South on current polling

Chris Bishop says it is ‘highly unlikely’ he would win Hutt South on current polling

Bishop could be booted from Parliament altogether.

thepost.co.nz
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