Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba) header
Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba) profile picture

“He who knows only his own side of a case, knows little of that" -JS Mill Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez Insulto=Bloqueo

Santiago
Joined July 2009
Photo by Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba)Photo by Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba)Photo by Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba)Photo by Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba)Photo by Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba)Photo by Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba)Photo by Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba)Photo by Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba)Photo by Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba)Photo by Daniel Brieba (@dbrieba)
(1/10) Happy to share our recently published article, in Latin American Politics & Society (open access), "Inside the Black Box: Uncovering Dynamics and Characteristics of the Chilean Central Government Bureaucracy with a Novel Dataset". doi.org/10.1017/lap.2023.41
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Obama tonight on his Cheesecake Factory line: "They mobilized a whole of government response to that joke. Not to inflation, but to that joke. The White House even called the Secretary of the Treasury. This is the man who is in charge of the economy. The person who's supposed to be figuring out how to make your life more affordable. The guy who's supposed to be figuring out how to lower inflation. And reduce interest rates. They told him he should hold a press conference in front of the Cheesecake Factory."
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Academic titles:
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Para una columna titulada “Fondo E con datos reales”, faltó un pequeño detalle: expresar la caída de las pensiones en términos reales. Advertencia a mis alumnos de Finanzas I: con una explicación así en el examen de diciembre, corren un alto riesgo de reprobar. Pero al presidente de @afphabitat le corresponde más rigor técnico, no menos. Preservar una pensión exige comparar poder adquisitivo. Si los montos de su columna están en pesos, las caídas no son solo de 1,28% y 0,21% nominal: equivalen a 4,76% y 3,72% en UF. Además, sus ejemplos de 2026 solo consideran retiro programado. Le recuerdo que la libertad de elección también incluye la alternativa de una renta vitalicia (RV) Hagamos el ejercicio RV: entre enero y septiembre con datos “reales”, el Fondo E del sistema perdió 10,39% real. Según una estimación publicada en Pulso, el costo de contratar una renta vitalicia cayó cerca de 1%. Con esas cifras, la pensión financiable habría disminuido aproximadamente 9,48%. Vaya forma del Pdte de @afphabitat de cuidar el mejor sistema de pensiones, la capitalización individual....
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Lots of debate this week on whether journals should ban AI in peer review. We actually tested this in our new preprint, and the results were pretty clear to me. For context, I've reviewed for most of the big journals and evaluated 1,000 human reviews as an editor. I love to read and evaluate science. TLDR: From now on I won't do any peer review without AI. For clinical trials, I'd even call human-only review dangerous 🧵
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Could Marine Le Pen, runaway favourite and twice convicted, still be banned from taking part in the French presidential election next April-May? A very senior, retired French judge has infuriated the Far Right leader by confirming what we at @EurasiaGroup said in July.  Yes, Le Pen COULD still be banned -  in two circumstances. 1/ lefigaro.fr/actualite-france…
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🇨🇱 Todo el país debiera leer esta 2a carta de los ex Comandantes en Jefe de la @Armada_Chile. ¿Por qué estos servidores públicos están hablando públicamente? Porque el Gbno y parte de la clase política priorizan negocios por sobre la soberanía nacional. Y no sólo con Argentina.
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Players to defeat Novak Djokovic and Rafael Nadal at the same Grand Slam: 🇨🇭 Stan Wawrinka, Australian Open 2014 That's it. He's the only one. Forever.
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Important, but not unexpected, finding that experts working with AI agents are swayed by the positions of the AI, even if they think they are working independently. If your independent judgement matters on a task, you need to be deliberate about when in the process to use AI.
Replying to @AlexTamkin
The agent was told to make the best honest case for its options, but to change its mind if the evidence required it, and never to mislead the analysts. Analysts went with the agent's lean 86% of the time. If the agent's lean had no effect, we'd expect this to be 50%.
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Las dificultades del Fondo E se arrastran desde hace muchos años. Este gráfico es demoledor: mientras la rentabilidad (bruta) cayó a prácticamente cero, la volatilidad casi se triplicó. El mundo al revés.
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Two and a half years from this.
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El portavoz de Exteriores de China, sobre la broma de Mbappé: "Las palabras y acciones que ofendan los sentimientos del pueblo chino se enfrentarán, naturalmente, a la resistencia conjunta de todos los sectores de la sociedad china" cadenaser.com/nacional/2026/…
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Replying to @RRyanMalk
New Zealand: remote South Pacific location, food surplus, low strategic value. Iceland: top Global Peace Index, isolated island, renewable energy and fishing. Switzerland: long neutrality, Alpine terrain, extensive nuclear bunkers. Argentina: vast agriculture, Southern Hemisphere distance from major powers. Chile: Andes and Pacific barriers, minerals and food self-sufficiency.
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Meta had an internal PR plan to try and discredit Jon Haidt because he was a critic of social media. Meta was going to recruit academics, like Andrew Gelman, to write take down pieces. They were trying to turn academics against one another through a "whisper strategy". This is a very serious problem for open academic debate. If academics who share negative evidence about a platform are targeted by campaigns to smear our credibility, we are in deep, deep trouble. This creates a very serious conflict of interest for anyone who is paid to do this. law360.com/articles/2542517/…
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How did Lula win the runoff? By winning over those who didn’t vote for him in round 1. His biggest gains came in places with more women, more white voters and more evangelicals. 🧵
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You had one job.
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⚠️#Requinoa Lo Que Dejo el Paso del Tornado 🌪
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Striking detail in the big NYT piece on Taiwanese families adjusting to working at the huge new TSMC chip plant in Arizona: their surprise at the lack of rigor in US schools.
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Las cápsulas para dormir siesta en la Universidad Alberto Hurtado buscan combatir la fatiga para cuidar la salud mental. Los nuevos cubículos de descanso reciben al menos 100 estudiantes por día tinyurl.com/387y437d
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