KJ👩‍💻💫

July 2009: Mohammed Yusuf is killed in police custody. His ragtag, poorly organised followers go on a localised rampage in the northeast. Nothing much happens and everyone moves on. November 2009: US request to site a permanent military base in Nigeria is rejected by Umaru Yar'adua. May 5, 2010: Yar'Adua dies under circumstances that still remain unexplained. August 26, 2011: UN building in Abuja is bombed, killing 21 and signaling the sudden change of Boko Haram into an organised, well-funded terror organisation in Nigeria. December 25, 2011: Bombs go off at packed churches during Christmas services in Abuja, Jos, Gadaka and Damaturu, killing dozens and becoming Nigeria's deadliest-ever terror attack. Boko Haram claims responsibility. 2013: Boko Haram goes, in the space of 1 year, from being a scattergun insurgency burning churches, to being a full-on military campaigns that kills both Christians and Muslims, and actually holds territory with their flag, openly taunting the Nigerian military with video messages. 2014: Over 200 girls are kidnapped from a school in Chibok. Borno, Yobe and Adamawa become a full-on warzone as the Nigerian army and airforce deploy fully. 2015: Regime change. 2016: Middle Belt suddenly comes under sustained, unprecedented attack from heavily armed and incredibly well-organised militia who somehow have everything from air support to anti-aircraft guns to chemical warfare capability. Nigerian military deploys there too. 2016: Charismatic cult leader Nnamdi Kanu suddenly emerges as a non-state actor with potential for violence. His 'Radio Biafra' - basically a small youtube channel - suddenly is somehow able to afford sophisticated technology and bribes for MTN engineers to install broadcast transmitters, so it can piggyback on MTN infrastructure and spread his separatist message wider. 2017: Southeast goes up in flames as hitherto peaceful pro-Biafra sentiment turns violent after Kanu is arrested. Nigerian military also deploys fully. 2021: Northwest comes under similar sustained terror activity to Middle Belt from an indeterminate source that is reduced to the euphemism "bandits." Locals report seeing terrorists with military equipment that even the Nigerian military does not have. Curiously, locations known for illegal gold and solid mineral mining generally do not come under attack by these "bandits." Nigerian military is also fully deployed in northwest, making it the 5th out of Nigeria's 6 regions to have active military deployment, after the Niger Delta, Southeast, Middle Belt and Northeast. Only the Southwest is left relatively stable. June 5, 2022: St. Francis Catholic Church in Owo, Ondo State, Southwestern Nigeria is attacked by ISWAP terrorists. Over 40 people die, signalling the start of terror operations and insurgency in Nigeria's last remaining stable region. 2023: Southwestern politician becomes president on 31% of official vote count, having run the most ethnically divisive campaign in Nigeria's history. Election is marred by large scale ethnic violence in the Southwest, which has never happened on that scale before. 2024: Nigeria's economy (with its headquarters in the Southwest) shrinks to just over a third of what it was in 2015. Galloping inflation following wholesale application of IMF recommendations creates widespread social dislocation. The seeds of destabilisation of the Southwest are close to germinating. 2025: Where we are right now. You either see all of these things as standalone events, or you see them as a timeline. Your choice depends on whether you only see what is happening, or you see what is actually going on.

Follow this link to see the actual result sheets from every polling centre with a @NgLabour party agent observing the election. The magic numbers that @inecnigeria and APC are cooking up under the cover of darkness must never be allowed to stand. paperless-gateway.ngrok.io/c…