
designer, engineer, generalist. previously @messenger @chanzuckerberg, @quora, @nextdoor, @designerfund, @google. @uw husky. @mariners fan.
Seattle, WA
Joined November 2007
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the setup for this is incredibly slick
By popular request, you can now text your dot.
Give it a task to take off your plate or something to keep an eye on, using text, photos, or even voice notes. It will text you proactively with relevant updates.
Safe, secure texting via iMessage or RCS. You’re the only one who can text your dot, and your dot can only text you. Rolling out now as a preview for Pro users in the US.
our industry has always struggled with this in part because taste is such a visible thing that others seek to emulate without understanding the hard invisible parts of the job. pdugan.com/writing/taste-wil…
every launch vid now is like
*cavemen making fire*
*model t*
*wright bros*
*moon landing*
*nuclear bomb detonation*
“every great innovation was once called crazy… that’s why today we’re launching AI-powered automated accounts receivable for operationally complex services businesses”
Patrick Dugan retweeted
matt predictably sharp on ANT S1 but goddamn is he always funny too
bloomberg.com/opinion/newsle…
Patrick Dugan retweeted
This describes every data led software company and why software factories will not produce taste
Its very easy to look at someone’s CV and see what appears to be a perfect visible upward trajectory and miss the many invisible small stumbles along the way that made those leaps forward possible. Just as true for me as it is for many of us.
codex autocomplete is frying me. more often than not it just says the exact thing I would have typed and even in my own voice.
infinitely more interested in the slate with its cheap modular parts and easy maintenance vs a flying tesla
Patrick Dugan retweeted
Distribution is not a moat.
Execution is not a moat.
Brand is not a moat.
Moats! Does anyone have one anymore?
Yes. Yes, they do.
But only a small subset of what people call moats create real long-term value and defensibility.
Not actually a moat:
1. Distribution: This does matter more than ever. Building products has gotten easier, but getting them to customers has not. Distribution, however, does not create durable defensibility. It helps create the raw ingredients for one, but it is not itself a moat.
2. Execution: Yes, speed is critical for startups. But a company that has to sprint forever is not a good business. Ultimately, it will misstep, slow down, and competition will catch up. Speed gives a company more shots on goal as it tries to build a great product and a great business, but it must eventually find something more durable.
3. Brand: The idea is that when everyone is building the same thing, the most resonant brand will win. But for startups, brand works more like customer acquisition spend: Put money in, get growth out. It’s not something that will effectively keep others from competing long-term. Brand can become a true moat over time (as with Coke or Nike or Apple), but it just takes too long to really matter for most startups.
What you're looking for is compounding advantages: a self-reinforcing flywheel that gets stronger and stronger over time, ultimately making a company very hard to compete with long-term.
There are only four compounding advantages that really matter. Every major tech company has at least one:
1. Switching costs: The more deeply embedded a product is in the way a customer works, the harder it is for that customer to switch. This increases retention and revenue per customer, which can be reinvested into the product.
2. Network effects: The more users a product has, the better it gets for everyone. This increases engagement and attracts more users.
3. Scale economies: The more volume a company has, the larger and more efficient its operations can be. This lowers unit costs, funding lower prices or a better product at the same price, further driving up volume.
4. Data effects: The more usage a product has, the more data it generates. This data can be used to improve the product and increase usage.
If you can’t see the potential for any in the startup you’re considering joining, that’s a red flag.
In today’s incredible post, @danhockenmaier shares a simple framework you can run in about an hour after getting an offer:
1. Identify a startup’s compounding advantage
2. Gauge how strong it could get
3. Measure whether it’s working
Inside: dozens of real company examples, the specific metrics to track, and benchmarks for what good and great look like.
Read it here: lennysnewsletter.com/p/how-t…
Patrick Dugan retweeted
Where can I bet every dollar ever printed against this
SpaceX will capture an asteroid with more gold than Earth's crust and land Optimus robots carrying American flags on Mars within 8 years.
Starship parks Psyche in geosynchronous orbit over an American Pacific atoll. No humans within 50 miles. Optimus robots extract the metals. Delivery to Earth is free though some burns up on entry.
Bezos said 15 years ago Earth gets zoned residential as heavy industry moves to space. Vast distances make emissions irrelevant.
The same fleet lands on Mars in 8 years max. Optimus robots deploy solar panels, batteries, compute, and Starlinks for 4K video before humans arrive.
SpaceX moves the factories off the planet.





























