TEXAS IPEV DAY 7 UPDATE Day 7 was a good day for Republicans in partisanship, even if the actual raw counts were down. All the major metros tracked saw a fairly precipitous drop - somewhat expected, from 2024 - but slightly steeper. This could be a consequence of the Dem day 1-2 surge. Interestingly, the South Texas counties (Hidalgo, Cameron, Nueces) appear to have stabilized. Nueces actually posted its best day for Dems. Jefferson (heavily black Dem base in Beaumont/Port Arthur) posted a really good drop for Dems too. These deep-red areas are not getting bluer electorates for Dems - if anything, they're getting redder. Potter had a redder day than 2024 yesterday, as did Randall. We now added one more county - Montague (rural, Trump +78). We are seeing a pattern. Montague has gotten redder every day... but like all the Dark MAGA... TURNOUT! Hardin County (R+76): 62% of 2024 Montague (R+78): 65% of 2024 Deaf Smith (R+52): 73% of 2024 Wilson (R+54): 74% of 2024 These areas have redder electorates (or in the case of some of the Beaumont-area WWC, neutral ones), but their turnout is just down. Separately, the non-Dark MAGA white areas are starting to turn on. Latino turnout continues to be strong in the urban areas, and black turnout continues to be objectively strong despite not as good as Latino turnout. Once again, the electorate only refers to the 2024-voters. Lots of 0/3s and newly registered voters. On day 7, 20% of voters in Fort Bend were non-2024. 21% in Cameron/Hidalgo. In Potter, ~20% as well - and 35% of these are Hispanic, with 32% 18-29, 22% as 30-44. Lots of data to pore over - the hunt continues! Enjoy! Interactive: claude.ai/artifact/QSaAiFYUj…