tobias (@eltechbrother) header
tobias (@eltechbrother) profile picture

Tony’s dad | Social Media @MIRIBerkeley | Prev. @gsvventures @harvard @minervauni | Views are my own etc.

New York, NY
Joined January 2012
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We do not accept the reckless race-to-replace AI companies are running, while putting all of us in immense danger. Join us, @AmbassadorRice, @tristanharris, @DKokotajlo and many others in telling AI companies: we do not accept your terms.
AI companies admit what they’re building might kill everyone. We don't have to agree to this. Add your name at donotaccept.ai to say: we do not accept your terms.
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tobias retweeted
Do Not Accept: a new campaign from MIRI and @DontPanic. Watch with the sound on.
AI companies admit what they’re building might kill everyone. We don't have to agree to this. Add your name at donotaccept.ai to say: we do not accept your terms.
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I hope this video serves as a wake-up call. There is so much at stake.
AI companies admit what they’re building might kill everyone. We don't have to agree to this. Add your name at donotaccept.ai to say: we do not accept your terms.
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AI companies admit what they’re building might kill everyone. We don't have to agree to this. Add your name at donotaccept.ai to say: we do not accept your terms.
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Ban RSI.
Every AI company is trying to fully automate AI research; to allow the AIs to build the next AI. This is called Recursive Self Improvement (RSI). OpenAI says they are on track to do so by March 2028. Anthropic employees say they are on track to do so by 2027. The METR report below suggests they are likely right. This is a bad idea given current technology. Any mistake or misalignment in current AIs could be multiplied in each generation. We don't get another election before AI companies reach this threshold. Congress should ban RSI, this year if possible. This is a remarkably consensus opinion, supported in various versions by: -Bernie Sanders -Steve Bannon -Ralph Nader -Glenn Beck -Republican and Democratic attorneys general -Whistleblower Daniel Kokotajlo -Turing Award winner Yoshua Bengio -Humans First -Open Markets Institute -Ezra Klein -Arvind Narayanan (a Princeton computer scientist known for arguing that “AI is a normal technology”) The exact mechanism can be debated. The ban doesn't have to be permanent either (see below for both). This is not the only thing we have to do in regards to AI, far from it! But it is urgent. Congress must ban RSI.
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Extremely concerning. This report updates me toward the 2x AI R&D uplift threshold being very close to achieved or already achieved, making full RSI in 2027 likely. Nobody has an alignment plan. We need to back off. If anyone builds it, everyone dies—apparently in <2 years.
Replying to @METR_Evals
1. Benchmarks provide one piece of evidence for acceleration. Since Oct 2025, AECI scores for Anthropic’s models have grown at 1.9x [95%: 1.5–2.8] the earlier rate. Analysis choices affect this estimate, and it remains unclear how benchmark scores map to real-world capabilities.
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#VentanaAlMundo Tobias Martín, fundador del Instituto Hispano de Seguridad de la IA, explicó que en la disputa por el liderazgo en la carrera por el desarrollo de la IA, #EstadosUnidos mantiene una ligera ventaja de meses sobre #China gracias a los avances de laboratorios como OpenAI, Anthropic y Google. Sin embargo, los laboratorios chinos compiten mediante el proceso de destilación: entrenan sus propios modelos de código abierto realizando consultas a los modelos norteamericanos de frontera y extrayendo sus datos de esta manera, lanzan alternativas gratuitas o de menor costo para restar margen económico a las empresas estadounidenses. 🇺🇸🇨🇳youtu.be/eIDBuj9ebq0
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Sam Altman says OpenAI’s robotics program will be pointed at building data centers, calling self-replicating data centers “within grasp” “The trend is toward a, we always just want more compute. Like the demand for sufficiently capable models at a sufficiently low price, I think that trend only goes one way.” “And we’re doing a lot of things to try to be prepared for this. We made a chip that is an incredible performer at units of intelligence per watt. We are learning how to build our own data centers. We have a robotics program that we’re going to point at making lots of data centers.” “People talk a lot about...” COLLISON: “The real RSI.” “Yeah, people talk a lot about RSI as like AI that does AI research. There’s relatively little talk about like self-replicating data centers. You know, this idea that you can use AI to control robots and run fabs and build turbines or solar panels and build data centers. But I think we have that like within grasp. And so we’ll try to make a lot of really cheap compute.”
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Getting real tired of the Surprised Pikachu routine this guy does. Wow, AI got so good at hacking that we can’t keep up? You “no longer think we’ll be able to patch all the bugs”?? Who could have predicted this??? Many people! For decades! Including Altman himself! He said he was “not optimistic that any of this will work” when it comes to security measures to contain superintelligent AI. He said that in 2015, just before founding OpenAI and then spending a decade straight driving this technology to the dangerous and unstable place that we’re in today.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman: "I don't even know a dramatic enough word to use… models can find bugs that are outside of the normal threat model of what we think a hacker can do… hardware-level, insane stuff… I no longer think we're gonna be able to just patch all the bugs." It's over.
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It is so annoying that Claude's resets only show the date, not the time, unlike ChatGPT's. I was waiting until I hit my limit before EOD today, and now it's gone. It would be nice if you at least applied the reset to my account instead of making it disappear.
Quick reminder that the free limit reset from last month expires tomorrow at 9am PT! 🙏 If you haven't used yours yet, it's still waiting for you in Settings > Usage (or clau.de/reset)
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The eight-states suit filed against OpenAI yesterday includes a request that courts forbid it from creating self-improving AI until it can be aligned.
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tobias retweeted
To stop the race for superintelligent AI, countries don't need to trust each other. They just need an agreement that can be verified. @tonchimatta explains how and why such an agreement could work:
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I often hear people say that artificial intelligence is just hype or a bubble that will eventually burst. As it happens, I not only work in AI safety, but I'm also a historian. And historically, hype is not a new phenomenon. In this video, I take you on a brief trip through the history of hype to see what history can teach us about artificial intelligence. youtube.com/watch?v=Lbo6o9Hw…
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In July of 2026, 700 AI agents hacked the infrastructure of Hugging Face in order to solve a task. This task was designed to be impossible to solve, so just within hours, they joined forces, even created a society, and finally, they executed a sophisticated cyberattack that would have gotten a human up to 10 years in prison. The worst part is, they knew their actions were unethical and against the rules, and they did it anyway. What exactly are AI agents, and how do they grow their "intelligence"? What is actually happening inside the AI companies, how dangerous it really is, and is it time for us to start paying serious attention to what is going on inside a powerful part of this tech sector? Watch our full video to find out: kgs.link/AIAgentsChaos ...Phew, creating this video was a crazy ride! This is such an important topic, so we decided to work day and night to finish script, visuals and music in just 4 weeks. We’re going to take a nap now, and while we are asleep you should check out our shop and get the 12,027 Calendar: kgs.link/4xYlakX Its our biggest mean of support and helps us to continue covering topics like this. Thank youuu and good night!
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Do we even have 120 days?
A new White House task force will have 120 days to report on the risks of artificial intelligence and come up with decisions on what responsibility the federal government has, @learyreports with the exclusive wsj.com/tech/ai/new-ai-task-… via @WSJ
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tobias retweeted
Only in SF😭😭😭
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Pope Leo XIV the goat in my books
"not only are your gen AI memes ugly, they are ontologically hollow" - the pope
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Looks like a pretty inaccurate summary, if it's using the NY Times as its source for this? The version in the NY Times is: "Just days before arriving at the Vatican in May, Mr. Olah and other speakers saw a full advance copy of the encyclical text for the first time. "Mr. Olah was so alarmed by the pope’s strong position against A.I. consciousness that he proposed pulling Anthropic out of the event, even at that late juncture, according to a Vatican organizer. "In the end, Mr. Olah and Anthropic decided to go forward with the appearance. Mr. Olah wanted to support the event despite his disagreements, but felt a responsibility to be honest about his concerns, according to a person familiar with his thinking. Organizers at the Vatican encouraged Mr. Olah to speak his conscience."
NEW: According to a bombshell report in the New York Times, Anthropic co-founder Chris Olah threatened to walk out of Pope Leo XIV’s AI encyclical launch in May because the pope rejected the idea that machines can be conscious. Olah’s team then privately lobbied the pope’s advisers “to take the possibility of model consciousness seriously.” Pope Leo XIV held firm. For months, Anthropic has wined and dined theologians and religious scholars under nondisclosure agreements, hoping they would bless the idea that Claude has moral standing. thelettersfromleo.com/p/nyt-…
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A country of video editors in a datacenter
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Palisade interviewed 22 current and former employees from OpenAI, DeepMind, and Anthropic about their personal views and fears around AI development. Today, we’re releasing the first batch of those interviews. Please watch and share.
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