Francesca Caselli (@fgcaselli) profile picture

Economist at the IMF. Views are my own.

Washington, DC
Joined February 2019
Photo by Francesca Caselli (@fgcaselli)
Francesca Caselli retweeted
The EU’s Recovery and Resilience Facility: Experience and lessons for the next multiannual financial framework @matthias_busse, @fgcaselli, Alexandra Fotiou @IMFNews ow.ly/pE5h50Zlpup
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
Higher #immigration of non-EU citizens into the #EU, driven largely by refugees from #Ukraine, could have a positive effect of potential output in the range of 0.2-0.7% by 2030. @fgcaselli, A Gloe Dizioli & F Toscani @IMFinEurope ow.ly/6sah50TKB49
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🧡1/5 Immigration into the EU reached a historical high of about 6.5 million following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022. New IMF research discusses the macroeconomic implications of this immigration increase for EU and euro area countries: bit.ly/4gNmY9c
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
My paper on cross-country evidence on she-cession with amazing co-authors @johnbluedorn @njharbo @fgcaselli @tavares_mm is now accepted at Labour Economics. doi.org/10.1016/j.labeco.202…. It was a very time-sensitive paper when first posted as IMFWKP, and I'm happy with the outcome.
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
Changing jobs can impact earnings. Data from across Europe finds that younger workers experience an increase in earnings, while low-skilled, older workers see earnings losses. @johnbluedorn, @fgcaselli, N-J Hansen, @tavares_mm, @ShibataEcon @IMFNews ow.ly/zrhq50L4hQ5
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
Nice evidence on the benefits of repaying sovereign debtβ€”quite relevant in the current juncture. Paper by Matilde Faralli @ImperialBiz @fgcaselli @upanizza & @pmanasse
The Public Debt Management Network is pleased to announce that the 2nd Public Debt Management Conference will be held in Rome, Italy, on May 26-27, 2022. Online registration is closed. For more info bit.ly/3LuX3TI #publicdebt #sovbonds #Mef #OECD #WorldBank
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The Value of Building a Reputation for Repaying Debts: Overstated? @MatildeFaralli @pmanasse and I talk with Mark and Mitu about our paper (joint with @fgcaselli ) on the benefits of repaying @CFD_IHEID 1/2 podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
The IMF projects headline inflation in emerging market and developing economies to decline to about 4% in 2022, but risks of a pickup remain. imf.org/WEO-oct21 #WEO
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Check out our new IMF WEO chapter on Inflation Scares @IMFNews
New @IMFNews research on 'Inflation Scares' is out. It digs into supply & demand forces driving inflation, emphasizes the varying country experiences (which is being lost in discussions these days), projects that inflation is expected to moderate next year but with upside risks.
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
During the #Latin#American #debt crisis, by not explicitly defaulting, #Colombia enjoyed significant #economic & reputational benefits, but these were short-lived @fgcaselli @IMFNews, @MatildeFaralli @imperialcollege, @pmanasse @Unibo, @upanizza @IHEID ow.ly/EtRt50Ggp9P
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On the Benefits of Repaying New paper with @fgcaselli @MatildeFaralli & @pmanasse We read old stuff aboutπŸ‡¨πŸ‡΄ in the 1980s and did some fancy econometrics. It was fun! Will try to do a 🧡during the weekend, but the paper is here: imf.org/en/Publications/WP/I…
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Very happy to see our work published in the JIE! @Grigoli82 @BertrandGruss and Rudolfs Bems
New: "Expectations' anchoring and inflation persistence" by Rudolfs Bems, @fgcaselli, Francesco @Grigoli82, @BertrandGruss (@IMFNews). Cross-country comparisons of how inflation responds to terms-of-trade shocks. This article shows anchoring matters. doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.20… 1/4
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP16391 Expectations' Anchoring and Inflation Persistence Rudolfs Bems @IMFNews, Francesca Caselli @fgcaselli @IMFNews, Francesco Grigoli @Grigoli82 @IMFNews, Bertrand Gruss @IMFNews ow.ly/vC9r50FFvuF #CEPR_IMF
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Thank you @timsvengali !
.@fgcaselli @IMFNews & @timsvengali talk #pandemics & #shecessions: in two-thirds of the countries studied women’s employment rates declined more than men’s, but these differences were short-lived & strongly correlated to specific sectors of the economy ow.ly/eZrX50EKBRn
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
New @voxeu column out about the heterogeneity of #Shecession around the world. β€œIn 2/3 of countries women’s unemployment rate declines more than men’s, but the difference was short-lived.” @ShibataEcon @johnbluedorn @fgcaselli @njharbo voxeu.org/article/cross-coun…
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Our new work on cross-country evidence on #COVID19 β€˜she-cessions’ is out in CEPR Covid Economics. @johnbluedorn @tavares_mm @njharbo @ShibataEcon
Data from 38 countries shows that over half to two-thirds exhibited #COVID19 'she-cessions', with women’s unemployment rising disproportionately more than that of men: ow.ly/9FI150EzNr1 @johnbluedorn, @fgcaselli, Niels-Jakob Hansen, @ShibataEcon, & @tavares_mm (@IMFNews)
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
Join us tomorrow for a discussion about the impact of #COVID19 on the labor market and how policies can support workers. @johnbluedorn @ShibataEcon @fgcaselli @JMondragonECON
How does the impact of the COVID-19 recession on workers compare with past downturns? What policies are needed to support workers? Join us tomorrow, March 31 at 10:00 AM ET for the launch of our new #WEO research. imf.org/WEO-apr21
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Francesca Caselli retweeted
#Covid lockdowns entail decreasing marginal economic costs but increasing marginal benefits in reducing infections, suggesting tight short-lived lockdowns are more effective than mild prolonged measures: ow.ly/jVUD50DpU77 @fgcaselli @Grigoli82 @DamianoSandri @IMFNews
Our work on the unequal effects of the Covid-19 shock is out on Covid Economics @cepr_org @Grigoli82 @DamianoSandri @spilimb1
Using data from #Italy, #Portugal, and #Spain, a study by @fgcaselli, @Grigoli82, @DamianoSandri & @spilimb1 (@IMFNews) finds that while mobility declined during #COVID19, lockdowns had a larger impact on the mobility of #Women & younger cohorts. Issue 64: ow.ly/As1I50D8rZW
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