Greg Fullhart

First round update 🚨 • 14/16 Sweet 16 still alive • 8/8 Elite 8 still alive • 4/4 Final 4 still alive • 2/2 National Championship still alive Midwest region should have been perfect if Santa Clara was not ROBBED. High Point over Wisconsin💰 Might have been a bit ambitious with the underdogs this year, but that’s what makes March Madness fun. A lot of work to do, but I like the spot that I’m in.

My #MarchMadness predictions. I will not be accepting any questions at this time. @Kalshi get the check ready.

This and a Santa Clara Sweet 16 berth >>>

How life will feel after you’re the only one in your group that correctly predicted the Ohio State upset over Duke

30-0. If you’re not rooting for a Miami at-large bid, you’re not a fan of college basketball.

I've updated my Madness Metrics to include data as of this morning: ncaametrics.com Bubble In ✅: • 📉 UCLA (@UCLAMBB) • Santa Clara (@SantaClaraHoops) • 📈 Auburn (@AuburnMBB) • 📉 UCF (@UCF_MBB) True Bubble 🎲: • 📉 Texas A&M (@aggiembk) • 📈 Missouri (@MizzouHoops) • 📉 Indiana (@IndianaMBB) • 📉 VCU (@VCU_Hoops) • 📈 SDSU (@Aztec_MBB) #MarchMadness #NCAATournament #BubbleWatch

There is absolutely nothing that can make me move from this spot today. Fire, carbon monoxide leak, WW3. It doesn’t matter. I will die on this couch if needed. It will be a full day of monitoring the bubble situation. Selection Sunday in 2 weeks.

Announcement 🚨 Tomorrow’s Madness Metrics update at ncaametrics.com will be delayed as I have to head into the office (this isn’t my full-time gig, shocker I know). To the handful of people that consistently view this tool, my sincere apologies. I am aware that a delay in updating these metrics during this time of the year is unacceptable. To those of you not consistently viewing this tool, you’re missing out. I promise you it’s better than whatever Lunardi (who, mind you, currently has Stanford sniffing the bubble) is putting out there.

I've updated my Madness Metrics to include data as of this morning: ncaametrics.com Bubble In ✅: • 📈 UCF (@UCF_MBB) • 📉 Texas A&M (@aggiembk) • Texas (@TexasMBB) • Ohio State (@OhioStateHoops) True Bubble 🎲: • 📉 Santa Clara (@SantaClaraHoops) • 📉 Indiana (@IndianaMBB) • 📈 VCU (@VCU_Hoops) • 📈 Missouri (@MizzouHoops) • 📉 New Mexico (@UNMLoboMBB) • 📉 San Diego State (@Aztec_MBB) #MarchMadness #NCAATournament #BubbleWatch

Cincinnati’s (@GoBearcatsMBB) at-large hopes were all but dead just a couple of weeks ago. They had a 3-7 record in conference, rough resume metrics, and a coach apologizing to fans about their unacceptable performance. After a 4-game Big 12 win streak capped by a massive 84-68 demolition of #8 Kansas at Allen Fieldhouse (their worst home loss to an unranked team in decades), the Bearcats are suddenly alive again. The road to an at-large bid is simple, win-out. But there’s a realistic backdoor scenario if they fall short of perfection, pray for minimal bid-stealers and nail these remaining games: 1. Win at Texas Tech 2. Win at TCU 3. Win at least one vs. BYU or Oklahoma State

I've updated my Madness Metrics to include data as of this morning: ncaametrics.com Bubble In ✅: • Indiana (@IndianaMBB) • Texas (@TexasMBB) • Santa Clara (@SantaClaraHoops) • Ohio State (@OhioStateHoops) True Bubble 🎲: • UCLA (@UCLAMBB) • UCF (@UCF_MBB) • New Mexico (@UNMLoboMBB) • VCU (@VCU_Hoops) • San Diego State (@Aztec_MBB) • Missouri (@MizzouHoops) #MarchMadness #NCAATournament #BubbleWatch

What a day for the bubble UCLA 📈 Georgia 📈 Cincinnati 📈 SDSU 📉 Texas 📉 Missouri 📉 This is the most important stretch of the year for college basketball. One day your team looks like a comfortable at-large lock. The next, they’re clinging to life on the bubble, staring down the barrel of an auto-bid-or-bust run through their conference tournament. The fragility. The raw emotion. One loss can and will end your season. Some teams need perfection, others just a little luck. May the metrics be forever in your favor. I’ll update Madness Metrics tomorrow morning and release the second in-season version of Creamytology.

I've updated my Madness Metrics to include data as of this morning: ncaametrics.com Forecasting is fully live! Click any team to forecast wins/losses for their remaining games and watch how your picks could shape their path to the NCAA Tournament.

The dream season continues for Miami. If you’re not rooting for a Miami at-large bid, you’re not a fan of college basketball. This win will likely be enough to move them into true bubble territory. Their path to the tournament is still clear… win the MAC tournament and you’re in. Lose, and it’s going to be a very stressful Selection Sunday for RedHawk fans.

How it felt watching that Alabama/Arkansas game tonight

Can’t overstate how MASSIVE this win is for Mizzou. I currently have them ranked 53rd, but this should propel them to the bubble. Buy Tiger stock now 📈

Miami Ohio (@MiamiOH_BBall) is one of the most interesting bracketology case studies that I’ve ever seen. They are 26-0 and on pace for an undefeated regular season. If the season ended today, common sense says that they would 100% deserve to be in the tournament. However, if you look at the metrics, they are nowhere near an at-large bid. The numbers are telling us that they have to win the MAC tournament to get in. If they lose in the MAC championship, are they still in? I say yes, but every predictive and resume-based metric says no.

I made even more updates to my March Madness Metrics tool at ncaametrics.com today based on your feedback! This is now the most accurate and powerful predictive bracketology tool available. 🚨 1. Added new metrics, SOR (strength of record), KPI (Kevin Pauga Index), and “Eye Test” (a custom developed metric that factors in how a team actually looks). The weighted average has been updated to include these metrics, and the default weights reset to how I believe the committee prioritized the metrics last year. 2. Color coding has been updated to indicate at-large locks, bubble in, and true bubble. True bubble teams will need to start praying that there aren’t any bid-stealers this year. Thank you to all who have checked out this tool so far! I really appreciate the feedback. #CBB #cbbpicks #MarchMadness

I’ve made a few updates to my March Madness Metrics tool at ncaametrics.com based on your feedback. This tool ranks and compares the top ~150 Division I men’s basketball teams using the key predictive metrics that the NCAA Selection Committee relies on most heavily: the official NET, KenPom, Bart Torvik’s T-Rank, and ESPN’s BPI. 1. The default weights now reflect my best estimate of how the Selection Committee prioritized the various metrics last year. Using these defaults, you can quickly compare your team’s profile against the current season’s data to see how it stacks up. That said, feel free to adjust the weights however you like. If you think the committee will place more (or less) emphasis on certain factors this year, tweak them to match your view. 2. Color coding has been added to the tool to indicate if a team is safe (lock for an at-large bid) or on the bubble based on the input weighting and updated composite rank. 3. Overall and conference record is now populated for each team. Thank you for the feedback so far! In future updates, I plan on adding additional metrics such as KPI, SOS, and wins against bubble. #MarchMadness #CBB #NCAAB #NCAAMBB

My top 25 🏀 1. Purdue 2. Arizona 3. Michigan 4. Duke 5. UCONN 6. Louisville 7. Houston 8. BYU 9. Michigan State 10. Alabama 11. Florida 11. Vanderbilt 12. Iowa State 13. Tennessee 14. Illinois 15. Gonzaga 16. Kentucky 17. Indiana 18. Iowa 19. Kansas 20. USC 21. Missouri 22. Texas Tech 23. North Carolina 24. Auburn 25. St. John’s