@GaryMarcus

OG GenAI Skeptic; spoke at US Senate. Warned about hallucinations in 2001. Advocating world models & neurosymbolic AI ever since. Author, Marcus on AI & 6 books

Joined December 2010
Three thoughts on what really matters: 1. Fuck cancer 2. Friends are irreplaceable 3. The new "Marcus test" for AI is when AI makes a significant dent on cancer May that happen sooner, much sooner, rather than later. In memory of my childhood friend Paul.
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Gary Marcus retweeted
YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER IS GREATLY APPRECIATED.
the negative case against AI gets stronger every day; even Altman admits the problems are very serious with no obvious solution. the positive case, meanwhile, looks weaker every day. a quote from Apollo’s Torsten Slok: “Despite massive investments and widespread hype around artificial intelligence, the technology has delivered zero financial payoff to corporate America outside of tech. Revenue per worker is… flat for the S&P 493…. Profit margins are… flat for the S&P 493…. No signs of AI boosting [measured] productivity growth…. Mainstream corporate America is pulling back and starting to view token spending… as a cost center…. Mainstream corporate America does not need the latest model and is unwilling to pay for it. As long as agentic AI and token spending are confined to a small part of the economy, the macroeconomic effects of AI will be very limited.” apollo.com/wealth/insights-n…
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Gary Marcus retweeted
AI is yet another scam by the billionaire plutocracy to bleed the nation, strip the public of its common property, and enrich private equity.
the negative case against AI gets stronger every day; even Altman admits the problems are very serious with no obvious solution. the positive case, meanwhile, looks weaker every day. a quote from Apollo’s Torsten Slok: “Despite massive investments and widespread hype around artificial intelligence, the technology has delivered zero financial payoff to corporate America outside of tech. Revenue per worker is… flat for the S&P 493…. Profit margins are… flat for the S&P 493…. No signs of AI boosting [measured] productivity growth…. Mainstream corporate America is pulling back and starting to view token spending… as a cost center…. Mainstream corporate America does not need the latest model and is unwilling to pay for it. As long as agentic AI and token spending are confined to a small part of the economy, the macroeconomic effects of AI will be very limited.” apollo.com/wealth/insights-n…
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đź’Ż
This quoted post is unavailable.
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The fact that Congress remains out of session as unauthorized AI agents are hacking major U.S. banks is INSANE. It’s a complete abdication of responsibility led by Mike Johnson, as he continues to take orders from a disgustingly corrupt White House. It’s long past time for an immediate pause on advanced AI development.
SCOOP: Major U.S. banks are detecting unauthorized third-party AI agents inside customer accounts, including some attempting to take actions that appear to be independent of user instructions, sources told Axios. The findings have alarmed banking executives, who are racing to restrict access to their systems as AI moves at a velocity faster than financial institutions can respond, multiple industry and bank executives told Axios. Several banks are now preparing for worst-case and even “day after” scenarios, including how to rapidly secure or restore customer accounts if things go wrong, the people said. Several bank executives told Axios they're struggling to distinguish between human users and AI agents. One executive said banks also struggle to determine whether agents are authorized by customers or potentially operating without their permission, more akin to rogue agent behavior. Read my latest for Axios here: axios.com/2026/10/22/ai-agen…
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Gary Marcus retweeted
Yep. Seems pretextual. Signal is pretty standard in AI industry in my experience and OpenAI autodeletes a lot of its own messages iirc. During the board crisis for example there was a lot of pro-sama organizing being done on signal.
It sounds like OpenAI fired the three safety researchers because they used disappearing messages. It sounds like they weren't told not to; they were just fired without warning after the fact. Seems bad.
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Gary Marcus retweeted
This was one of the third-party engagements I worked on at OpenAI. I'm glad the report is out! I'm disappointed that METR wasn't allowed to comment on the scale of redactions made by OpenAI and that there is no explanation why the publication was delayed for 2.5 months.
Two employees from METR and Redwood Research worked on premises at OpenAI for three weeks this summer in an embedded assessment pilot. This team evaluated the systems OpenAI was using to monitor for misalignment from internal agents. A brief write-up of their work is now public.
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this hasn’t aged quite as well as Sam thought it would.
AI is the tech the world has always wanted
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“There’s an old joke that if building architecture and construction practices were like software architecture and construction, the first woodpecker to come along would destroy civilization. Looks like the woodpecker is here for the software.”
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mass insanity
Depreciation and amortization expenses for the five hyperscalers are set to reach $590 billion in 2029. This is likely to exceed their combined operating profits in 2026.
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the negative case against AI gets stronger every day; even Altman admits the problems are very serious with no obvious solution. the positive case, meanwhile, looks weaker every day. a quote from Apollo’s Torsten Slok: “Despite massive investments and widespread hype around artificial intelligence, the technology has delivered zero financial payoff to corporate America outside of tech. Revenue per worker is… flat for the S&P 493…. Profit margins are… flat for the S&P 493…. No signs of AI boosting [measured] productivity growth…. Mainstream corporate America is pulling back and starting to view token spending… as a cost center…. Mainstream corporate America does not need the latest model and is unwilling to pay for it. As long as agentic AI and token spending are confined to a small part of the economy, the macroeconomic effects of AI will be very limited.” apollo.com/wealth/insights-n…
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When people start to write postmortems of the GenAI crash, this will be a popular statistic: venturebeat.com/infrastructu…
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The most dangerous people are those who are rich, powerful, smart, and intellectually lazy, unwilling to critically evaluate whether or not what they think is true actually is.
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Every now and then I think that the real problem with Elon Musk is that he has no idea about what the actual facts are. (Nor any interest in finding out.) This is one of those times.
Over the last two years, $100 million in European taxpayer money has gone to Elon Musk to pay for Starlink for Ukraine. In that same period, zero US taxpayer money has gone to Ukraine.
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Good example of why the core AI trust issue isn’t about malice so much as unreliability.
Replying to @GaryMarcus @sama
Disabling only helps if you check it really stopped. On our test trading system, the AI's status notes said an engine was stopped; its own log showed it started on 25 more days and kept placing orders. Our rule now: 'off' gets checked in the run log, not the notes.
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Gary Marcus retweeted
Not seeing a way forward for Anthropic and OpenAI revenue growth now that there are about 873 easy ways to bypass their models in favor of free or extremely cheap specialized alternatives. They went all-in on “best” when “sufficient” and “focused” solved 90% of use cases.
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Gary Marcus retweeted
Part of me refuses to believe OpenAI fired three safety researchers for political reasons, and wishes instead that it was just a badly executed investigation mixed with paranoia and lack of sleep after a rollercoaster summer. But given that OpenAI continues to not be able to say anything that makes sense to me about our firings and keeps acting adversarially (e.g. claiming to journalists I wasn't on the Hugging Face investigation, while there're a number of people who could confirm otherwise), it's hard to not become cynical.
The firings of three OpenAI safety researchers came in the throes of a battle over how to keep AI systems under human control—and who gets to see the secret designs that could determine the winners of the biggest commercial race in history. on.wsj.com/48bYPG8
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I agree with @sama that these AI-induced security problems are very serious. The only short term solution I see is to temporarily disable agents with internet access until some kind of solution is devised. Anyone see any other options?
🇺🇸 Sam Altman admits the latest AI models are becoming UNCONTROLLABLE: "I don't even know a dramatic enough word to use. The problem coming towards us is something that we have not taken seriously. Models can find bugs that are outside of the normal threat model of what we think a hacker can do… hardware-level, insane stuff… I no longer believe we can patch all of the bugs." Writer: Mhedi
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Lol, why? If your AI agents can do everything advertised, why not keep the voice fairly robotic? What is the reason to trying so hard to make these “voices” sound as human as possible? Deception. Any why would you want that? So you can trick people into lowering their guard and letting you further into their lives that they otherwise would. So you can cheat them.
We believe voice is the most natural way to interact with intelligence, so we created Dessa, the most authentic full-duplex speech model ever built. Talking with it feels like talking with a person…full of emotion, nuance, pauses, and a natural cadence. block.xyz/dessa
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Gary Marcus retweeted
New: The three researchers OpenAI fired last month spent the summer fighting to keep AI's chain-of-thought process visible. Then, OpenAI asked to see their Signal chats. A week later, they were let go. More below from @keachhagey, @berber_jin1, and me. wsj.com/tech/ai/the-signal-c…
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zuck not so good at math?
Even if Muse skyrockets to 100 million users next year paying $20 a month, it would only add $24 billion to Meta’s annual revenue, about 12% of next year’s capital spending. And computing costs are higher for Muse than other customers. wsj.com/finance/stocks/metas…
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