greyolisa 🎮

thoughts on Robinhood chain eco ON A MACRO LEVEL Robinhood chain didn't take off because it has superior tech otherwise Optimism, Arbitrum (which RH chain is built on), etc would be among the top EVMs today it took off because Robinhood is one of the world's most significant retail trading platforms, with tens of millions of users who are generally wealthier than the average CEX user cohort crypto participants have also long considered Robinhood the cream of the crop for exchange listings rumors of an incoming Robinhood listing have fueled some of the biggest memecoin/altcoin rallies in crypto history Robinhood's role in the $DOGE + $SHIB mania of 2021 only cemented that status now you have a Robinhood chain where people believe tokens launched there have a higher probability of eventually being listed on Robinhood that's an extremely powerful flywheel more devs launch on the chain more users buy on the chain more liquidity flows in and i think people counting out Robinhood chain are going to find out just how powerful this narrative can be in a proper bull run WHY THE RECENT WEAKNESS? 1. RH eco coins pumped giga hard a lot of RH eco coins simply needed a cooldown $PONS went from ~$30m to $960m+ in weeks before the bull run has even kicked off a ~50% correction after that kind of move is completely normal and can set the stage for another explosive leg same applies across the eco 2. Solana stepped up the Robinhood retail distribution narrative was a major catalyst but apathy and a lack of action from Solana for a while leading to the emergence of Robinhood chain also helped fuel the initial RH chain explosion that has changed Solana has stepped up and made it clear they remain a force to contend with this cycle with liquidity still relatively constrained, that naturally diverted some flows away from Robinhood chain but i don't think liquidity will stay constrained forever soon there should be enough liquidity to accommodate serious activity on BOTH Robinhood chain and Solana and of course BNB chain (i mean this goes without saying) 3. lack of follow through from Robinhood this is probably the easiest problem to fix if the biggest catalyst behind the chain was the Robinhood distribution channel, people will eventually lose interest if barely anything gets listed Robinhood listing $CASHCAT so early was bullish and helped spark the second wave of activity on the chain but they've listed almost nothing else from the ecosystem three months into launch that's a bad signal $PONS went from ~$30m to almost $1b, became a major driver of activity and at one point contributed ~50% of chain activity it's perhaps the most successful new launche of the past year in all of crypto yet it still hasn't been listed by Robinhood same with $AI it's the flagship token of Long, the second biggest launchpad on RH chain it's also a top-tier memecoin that brought significant attention to the chain during its run to $350m+ i don't own $AI, but i'm surprised it isn't on Robinhood from the outside, it's difficult to understand why $PONS and $AI haven't been listed yet and i'm not claiming to know Robinhood's internal listing criteria or regulatory considerations but the longer the biggest successes on the chain go without Robinhood distribution, the weaker the core ecosystem flywheel becomes if devs and users stop believing that building on Robinhood chain gives them a meaningful distribution advantage, some of the chain's biggest differentiators disappear and that's what contributed to momentum stalling alongside the other factors above the good news? this is the easiest problem to fix and i'd actually love to see Robinhood throw something much lower cap and more degen into the mix could be something like robinhood:0xe8ffd7e24187f72afb08d75b1bb13088a989a791 (the leading RH-native liquidity layer) or $BOW (the leading RH-native lending market) — could also be some other low cap, but i mentioned both since they have a strong narrative and justification, which likely attract even more builders/users to the chain that would create speculation that ANYTHING could get listed and that kind of uncertainty is exactly what fuels degeneracy it is very clear that @vladtenev has been strategic and calculated in how he's leading the chain he also has his ears on the ground and understands the trenches so i'm not particularly concerned about #3 over a long enough timeframe ABOUT THE HOOD SUMMIT i've seen people say the HOOD Summit was bearish for Robinhood chain because the RH eco didn't massively pump during or after the event i think that's missing the bigger picture a lot of people expected the Summit to be a catalyst for the next leg up that catalyst didn't come but what happened next is more interesting the RH eco held up there was no major 'sell the news' dump after an event with that much anticipation, that's significant the important signal to me is that the eco absorbed the event without breaking down that makes me think the recent weakness may have largely run its course i think the next leg up across Robinhood chain comes soon i don't know exactly when or what the catalyst will be maybe some Vlad Tenev wizardry + Robinhood listings maybe something completely unexpected TO CONCLUDE... a lot of people love Robinhood and their team has made a lot of the right moves so far they have a massive advantage through the Robinhood retail platform and they can weaponize that distribution advantage to drive sustained activity on their chain the Robinhood narrative only gets more powerful as the market and altcoins heat up i think the biggest question now is simply how aggressively Robinhood chooses to capitalize on the ecosystem it has created count out Robinhood chain at your own peril!

would be interesting to see what people do with $USELESS 👀