James Sherrill

Davis is sitting 4 of his 5 best players, in my opinion.

I defy someone to find a session of the Ryder Cup where a captain has used a worse combo of 8/12 players. #NiceJobDavis

About 15% Adam Scott would shoot 62 after 16.

In 14 rounds since 2006, where wind was 10mph or less, course played easier in than predicted by length in 10 of them. Only 2/10 over 10mph

a 15 mph wind would make the course about a stroke harder and 20 about 2 strokes harder.

Avg wind from last five British Opens is about 10mph, which is what is forecasted tomorrow.

Avg wind, though, accounts for about 50% of the variation between what a hole should play based on distance and what it does.

More on the weather. Based on historical weather rain makes no difference in course difficulty.

Again, only thing that could significantly change those odds is if the weather was significantly better than forecasted.

I also think the number of players under par at under 10.5 is pretty good.

But, in my opinion, it would have to be pretty significant and not something that is very likely.

Only issue is the weather, If the wind is much worse than forecasted, Then the cut line should rise.

Also, it is pretty close to what I see for winning score and low round score. So based on that I think the cut score is off.

My sim factors in British Open's from 2006, plus that one with some adjustments for player distance increases.

Cut score was 144 last time around at Lytham.

In my estimation, wind will have to blow 2 or 3 times harder than forecasted for there to be a reasonable shot of cut going to 146.

If you're looking for good value on props, try cut score or players to finish under par

Barring a sudden Hurricane, Tiger has 0 chance of making the cut. Course is playing below par and Tiger is T84.

Masters cuts: 2011: 145; 2010: 147; 2009: 145; 2008: 147.

Two more weird lines: Number of players under par, seems at least 3-4 players too low, and cut score, 147.5 is pretty high.