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This market will make you appreciate high ADR% securities.
Understanding the Infeasibility of '1% Risk to Equity' and Benefits of High ADR% Securities
Your question is excellent, and I’d like to clarify why aiming for a 1% risk-to-equity ratio is often unrealistic due to position sizing constraints. I’ll also compare lower ADR% products, like $XRT at 1.41% ADR, with higher ADR% products, like $RETL at 4.06% ADR (a 3x leverage of $XRT, sharing the same price structure on intraday timeframes).
In the example below, I simulate an entry price and stop-loss price based on $XRT and $RETL high and low range and automate the calculation of position size % required for a “1% risk” approach relative to account equity (excluding existing unrealized gains/losses of other positions).
Using a 1% risk model, you would need to allocate almost your entire account (without margin) to $XRT and about 30% of your account to $RETL with its higher ADR%. The 1% risk approach may work for traders constraining themselves to securities with ADRs above 5%, as structuring trades based on high/low intraday ranges often only requires 10-25% of equity, enabling a minimum of four concurrent positions on swings. However, with names like $TSLA, $MSFT, or $NVDA, even synthetic leveraged of those names like $TSLL, $MSTU, or $NVDU wouldn’t allow for comfortable positioning. This is no secret if you have the right metrics on your spreadsheet. @stamatoudism have also highlighted about inflexibility of even 0.5% risk in his first interview with @traderlion
I suggest starting with a 0.15% risk per trade, increasing only when you begin to see the benefit of having a ADR% cut off in your screening and share structure of higher ADR% securities. Personally, I max out at around 0.33%, especially when most active names now are in the 2b-25b market cap range, with floats below 50 million shares and ADRs above 4.5%. This are the trademark of momentum names, and it make alot of sense why are able to move in such rapid fashion on those share structure.
I just wish to add that High ADR% securities offer the benefit of greater intraday range expansion without substantial capital lock-up compared to lower ADR% names. I avoid trading products like $XRT or $TSLA directly, preferring leveraged ETFs when they provide sufficient liquidity for the same reason. It gives you alot of capital excess when a 5-star/A-rated setup in the latter stage of your position building.
there's a free google sheet version by @RonakSh92987573
jfsrev.substack.com/i/171965…
Jeff Sun, CFTe retweeted
What defines a “low-hanging fruit” opportunity for you?
49%High probability of win
51%High reward to risk
640 votes • 10 hoursWhat defines a “low-hanging fruit” opportunity for you?
49%High probability of win
51%High reward to risk
640 votes • 10 hours Jeff Sun, CFTe retweeted
This week’s 40 strongest-moving stocks, organized by industry group, with software names dominating the list.
$CLF - Steel
$RHI - Staffing & Employment Services
$BBWI - Specialty Retail
$ZS - Software - Infrastructure
$ZETA - Software - Infrastructure
$TENB - Software - Infrastructure
$SAIL - Software - Infrastructure
$S - Software - Infrastructure
$RBRK - Software - Infrastructure
$OKTA - Software - Infrastructure
$NTSK - Software - Infrastructure
$IOT - Software - Infrastructure
$GTLB - Software - Infrastructure
$FIVN - Software - Infrastructure
$CRWD - Software - Infrastructure
$BB - Software - Infrastructure
$AI - Software - Infrastructure
$TTAN - Software - Application
$KVYO - Software - Application
$FIG - Software - Application
$ASAN - Software - Application
$SUNB - Rental & Leasing Services
$CCI - REIT - Specialty
$AMT - REIT - Specialty
$VG - Oil & Gas Midstream
$DHT - Oil & Gas Midstream
$TALO - Oil & Gas E&P
$BTE - Oil & Gas E&P
$RIG - Oil & Gas Drilling
$PTEN - Oil & Gas Drilling
$CART - Internet Retail
$SNAP - Internet Content & Information
$IBM - Information Technology Services
$DXC - Information Technology Services
$ACN - Information Technology Services
$TRU - Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
$KSS - Department Stores
$HPQ - Computer Hardware
$INTR - Banks - Regional
$ASST - Asset Management
You can’t control the outcome of any trade, but you can control your losses by maintaining a fixed % of equity at risk — a key to long-term trading success, as demonstrated over 1,000 trades
jfsrev.substack.com/i/171965…
Replying to @jfsrev
this is the reason why you need to try to control your losses less than -1R losses via 3 stop strategy based on 33% stops per distance from your ultimate stop level. This big data principle will traject the parabolic effect on your equity curve at a much faster rate. I have not even touched on the magical effect of a 50R winner or a sequential 3-8R winner on the growth of your dollar risk and equity curve.
You can't control the outcome of any trade, but you definitely can control your losses.














