16 years of stop losses, pain & grit to $10M multi-asset. My 17-Chapter Trader’s Guide - https://xitter.cf/t.co/0F5tgGM49z

Joined June 2010
This market will make you appreciate high ADR% securities.
Understanding the Infeasibility of '1% Risk to Equity' and Benefits of High ADR% Securities Your question is excellent, and I’d like to clarify why aiming for a 1% risk-to-equity ratio is often unrealistic due to position sizing constraints. I’ll also compare lower ADR% products, like $XRT at 1.41% ADR, with higher ADR% products, like $RETL at 4.06% ADR (a 3x leverage of $XRT, sharing the same price structure on intraday timeframes). In the example below, I simulate an entry price and stop-loss price based on $XRT and $RETL high and low range and automate the calculation of position size % required for a “1% risk” approach relative to account equity (excluding existing unrealized gains/losses of other positions). Using a 1% risk model, you would need to allocate almost your entire account (without margin) to $XRT and about 30% of your account to $RETL with its higher ADR%. The 1% risk approach may work for traders constraining themselves to securities with ADRs above 5%, as structuring trades based on high/low intraday ranges often only requires 10-25% of equity, enabling a minimum of four concurrent positions on swings. However, with names like $TSLA, $MSFT, or $NVDA, even synthetic leveraged of those names like $TSLL, $MSTU, or $NVDU wouldn’t allow for comfortable positioning. This is no secret if you have the right metrics on your spreadsheet. @stamatoudism have also highlighted about inflexibility of even 0.5% risk in his first interview with @traderlion I suggest starting with a 0.15% risk per trade, increasing only when you begin to see the benefit of having a ADR% cut off in your screening and share structure of higher ADR% securities. Personally, I max out at around 0.33%, especially when most active names now are in the 2b-25b market cap range, with floats below 50 million shares and ADRs above 4.5%. This are the trademark of momentum names, and it make alot of sense why are able to move in such rapid fashion on those share structure. I just wish to add that High ADR% securities offer the benefit of greater intraday range expansion without substantial capital lock-up compared to lower ADR% names. I avoid trading products like $XRT or $TSLA directly, preferring leveraged ETFs when they provide sufficient liquidity for the same reason. It gives you alot of capital excess when a 5-star/A-rated setup in the latter stage of your position building.
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sleek
Replying to @jfsrev
dark version don't hurt your eye
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Replying to @jfsrev
Can u pls share step by step process for making one. Thanks
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there's a free google sheet version by @RonakSh92987573 jfsrev.substack.com/i/171965…
Replying to @jjez417 @jfsrev
Thanks for sharing. I am trying to create similar one in googlesheets with Jeffs X post. Do you mind sharing template?
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Jeff Sun, CFTe retweeted
What defines a “low-hanging fruit” opportunity for you?
49%High probability of win
51%High reward to risk
640 votes • 10 hours
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this is neat 👍🏻
built this relative strength tracker inspired by @jfsrev . Idea is to sort by 1M RS and focus on groups that have a RS score of 80 or better. Very clear that software is where to focus if swing trading. $ZETA and $FIVN some software names that have not ran yet.
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What defines a “low-hanging fruit” opportunity for you?
49%High probability of win
51%High reward to risk
640 votes • 10 hours
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Jeff Sun, CFTe retweeted
This week’s 40 strongest-moving stocks, organized by industry group, with software names dominating the list. $CLF - Steel $RHI - Staffing & Employment Services $BBWI - Specialty Retail $ZS - Software - Infrastructure $ZETA - Software - Infrastructure $TENB - Software - Infrastructure $SAIL - Software - Infrastructure $S - Software - Infrastructure $RBRK - Software - Infrastructure $OKTA - Software - Infrastructure $NTSK - Software - Infrastructure $IOT - Software - Infrastructure $GTLB - Software - Infrastructure $FIVN - Software - Infrastructure $CRWD - Software - Infrastructure $BB - Software - Infrastructure $AI - Software - Infrastructure $TTAN - Software - Application $KVYO - Software - Application $FIG - Software - Application $ASAN - Software - Application $SUNB - Rental & Leasing Services $CCI - REIT - Specialty $AMT - REIT - Specialty $VG - Oil & Gas Midstream $DHT - Oil & Gas Midstream $TALO - Oil & Gas E&P $BTE - Oil & Gas E&P $RIG - Oil & Gas Drilling $PTEN - Oil & Gas Drilling $CART - Internet Retail $SNAP - Internet Content & Information $IBM - Information Technology Services $DXC - Information Technology Services $ACN - Information Technology Services $TRU - Financial Data & Stock Exchanges $KSS - Department Stores $HPQ - Computer Hardware $INTR - Banks - Regional $ASST - Asset Management
$XSW (Update) — 1-Month RS remains 95% Pre-market strength across $XLK components could push $XSW another step closer to its all-time high from August 28th.
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You can’t control the outcome of any trade, but you can control your losses by maintaining a fixed % of equity at risk — a key to long-term trading success, as demonstrated over 1,000 trades jfsrev.substack.com/i/171965…
Replying to @jfsrev
this is the reason why you need to try to control your losses less than -1R losses via 3 stop strategy based on 33% stops per distance from your ultimate stop level. This big data principle will traject the parabolic effect on your equity curve at a much faster rate. I have not even touched on the magical effect of a 50R winner or a sequential 3-8R winner on the growth of your dollar risk and equity curve. You can't control the outcome of any trade, but you definitely can control your losses.
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