Yo @grok what will the work look like in 12-18 months and which sectors will see major capital flows?
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J.J. Jejeebhoy retweeted
Moving forward, some minerals will have 2 prices - Chinese prices and non Chinese prices. #rareearths
Sometimes my watch lists are too big I lose track of some names. $CNL with a near 40% move last week, institutional volume. Capital betting big on Colombia because it left Brazil.
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If you haven’t blown up and are sitting on some cash, now’s a good time to create a watchlist of companies with great balance sheets, 20%+ gross margins, a solid return on equity, low debt, etc that have come down to reasonable valuations. Keep it small across a handful of sectors, monitor, and build a position slowly across your highest conviction names. Don’t go all in on tech because that’s basically one position. Plant seeds and wait for the harvest. Don’t get greedy. Manage risk tightly. You should come out of this with decent gains.
Three trades this year:
1. Drones + miners / metals in Jan
2. War trade shortly after - energy mainly
3. Historical tech rally April-May
That was it.
If you got a slice of each and exited, congratulations.
Nothing was really worth it after. Game over for 2026 imo.
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If you knew everything you do today about $ONDS—extraordinary executive compensation and significant shareholder dilution, rapid acquisition-led revenue growth without demonstrated operating leverage or positive cash flow, and repeated contract announcements that have failed to reverse the downtrend—would you buy today?
Think it’s time to exit what was effectively a good narrative the market bought but has since realized it’s smoke and mirrors.
This year has been pure information and psychological warfare.
Buy oil, peace talks, oil drops, tech rips, war, tech drops, buy oil, one analyst says get long crude, then says trade is over, peace talks ongoing, then JP Morgan implies tensions might escalate.
It has been foolish to try and trade this since June.
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Having a massive backlog while still losing money is where I draw the line with $ONDS.
If Q3 earnings don’t show improving margins, EPS, or meaningful operating leverage, that backlog risks becoming a liability rather than an asset.
November 12 should be a line in the sand for any sane shareholders.
This market is Nasdaq-nam, the literal jungle, and it’s laced with traps by the Citadel Cong literally everywhere. Absolutely nuts. Evac.
I’m increasingly convinced there are no genius or legendary traders. There are just people who size up a couple of times a year when the market rips and sit out the rest. That’s it. As my gf, who comes from a farming family told me, “do you think a harvest comes every month?”
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Well overdue a Latin America energy ETF encompassing $VIST, $PBR, $EC, $YPF, $GPRK, etc. @iShares @roundhill @GlobalXETFs hook it up.
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I’m so glad I trade Brazil rather than get engaged in this absolutely useless moral posturing lmfao. What a waste of time!
If, by the way, the same situation that just happened in Brazil had happened but with the parties switched -- if Bolsonaro had won last night's election and then a pro-Bolsonaro judge sent the Federal Police to seize Lula's passport and bar him from leaving the country -- every major western media outlet and liberal NGOs would be screaming about the authoritarian attack on Brazil's elections and the destruction of basic freedoms.
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