Investing @coinfund

Joined January 2019
Jon Rotbard retweeted
“We want them to be able to trade these names that are actually creating an impact.” - @theblackmanda @jonrotbard sat down with @theblackmanda and @ichooserain from @mochatradeapp to discuss how Mochatrade democratizes opportunity for Indian investors. We just led Mochatrade’s $5.5M seed. Read our thesis below ↓ xitter.cf/jonrotbard/status/2114…
1
2
4
504
Jon Rotbard retweeted
i agree with ryan and think there's a decent chance they leapfrog polymarket too
Prediction: In the next 12 months, Hyperliquid will become the 3rd largest prediction market next to Kalshi and Polymarket. Deployer quality is ramping fast, and people are sleeping on the scenario where HIP-4 volumes go parabolic and follow the path of HIP-3.
18
9
267
23,273
Did ChatGPT just add Clippy
1
6
217
Jon Rotbard retweeted
We're excited to release OpenInstinct Instinct but self-hostable, open source and supports every model. You control the code, data and passwords Deploy on Vercel and never use the internet with your fingers again github.com/Merit-Systems/Ope…
74
51
46
908
193,754
Jon Rotbard retweeted
all of fintech is becoming commoditized. today you can launch a fully functional neobank by stitching together a handful of APIs: > @dakota_xyz (global banking, virtual accounts & cards) > @blend_money (yield & treasury infra) > @moonpay (crypto rails & on/off ramps) > @privy_io / @turnkeyhq (embedded wallets) > @tryPortola (stablecoin credit as an API) > @raincards (card issuance) for well under ~ $60k, a small team can assemble infrastructure that would've taken years and millions of dollars to build from scratch just a few years ago. the hard part is no longer building banking products. as the underlying technology becomes more accessible, the moat shifts elsewhere: the winners over the next decade won't necessarily have the most unique APIs. they'll have: > the best user experience > the strongest distribution > an obsession with customer support > a brand people genuinely trust and want to be associated with if you're building another generic B2B or B2C fintech with the exact same banking stack as everyone else, ask yourself: why should a customer choose you over the other 200 companies built on the same APIs? the answer usually lies between brand, experience & unique distribution.
20
3
6
160
21,626
Claude after every prompt: "let's do this rather than [this obviously wrong thing that nobody would ever intentionally do]"
11
308
Jon Rotbard retweeted
Unlike many investors in crypto, I did not pivot to AI in the last few years. However, since 2020, I built some of the deepest understanding in this industry on the intersection of AI and decentralized networks (crypto, web3). From the start, it was very clear that AI models are a centralizing force and the biggest target for government control. That point became market fact last night, with @AnthropicAI’s export control compliance. As an investor in decentralized AI, I know that d-networks are a counterbalance to this state of affairs. In particular, the starting point of sovereign, open, public, decentralized AI is the seemingly insurmountable compute problem. How are people supposed to source more industrial compute for frontier training than these huge trillion dollar companies? The answer is simple: there is enough commodity GPU compute in the world to compete on the frontier, but to make use of it we need new algorithms for training. That’s what a few companies like @gensynai @PrimeIntellect @bageldotcom @Pluralis @NousResearch @MacrocosmosAI @covenant_ai set out to research, while everyone on the planet told them it was impossible. The result is that it is not only possible, but it can be cheaper and nearly as efficient as the alternative process. The second major problem is economic sustainability. Open source models are great, however, they are not economically viable as they don’t have a business model. So far in decentralized AI, only @Pluralis has an answer — by breaking up the weights of the model among participants, we create a business model for tokenized AI models. This is the moment of truth — will AI become fully centralized and fall under censorship and unilateral government control? Or will the AI world realize the importance of public AI on open decentralized networks?
126
152
43
1,489
425,944
Systems like this must exist. This is the way out.
The 8B model currently training on Agora is 350B tokens in and continuing to converge. The top level metrics and evals look almost exactly like a centralised run. But; - 133 external contributors total bringing 4090's, 5090's, L40S/RTX 6000 and RTX 6000 Pros. These are cards that people actually own - there are no H100, B200's etc. - The max number of nodes the system can support (104) was filled almost immediately. The authorization layer is receiving approximately 100 requests/minute to join. - The total tokens/per second processed moves directly with amount of compute in the swarm, with Agora constantly optimising to make most efficient use of what hardware is present. - MFU is approximately 20%, TPS is 170k tok/s. There are near constant communication failures which Agora is completely absorbing without slowdown. - The system is effectively on auto-pilot, requiring very little intervention from us. Bad nodes are purged immediately before training is affected and new nodes take their place.
5
7
1
59
12,894
Jon Rotbard retweeted
Today we're releasing Agora: the first ever pretraining stack that allows non-collocated consumer GPUs to be competitive with centralized clusters Agora is 15x faster than Megatron-LM in this setting and is only 1.5x less efficient in terms of tokens per unit compute than TorchTitan on H100s, despite running on devices that have no NVLink or InfiniBand support.
29
45
23
315
95,236
Rounds are a social construct
1
10
451
Jon Rotbard retweeted
There's a lot of really exciting developments happening in decentralized AI training this year. Here's my take on why decentralized training is moving from "impossible" to "investable". 🧵👇
13
33
6
144
26,126
Jon Rotbard retweeted
NEWS: Kraken DeFi Earn has surpassed $100 million in total deposits. It’s never been easier to earn on idle assets. Powered by 3 Veda vaults: Balanced + Boosted → curated by @chaoslabs Advanced → curated by @sentoraHQ Available on @krakenfx, @krakenpro, and @krak
18
23
14
136
73,657
Jon Rotbard retweeted
Introducing Parity, your edge in prediction markets.
52
17
5
334
154,325
Jon Rotbard retweeted
We’re making DeFi rewards simple. Meet DeFi Earn, powered by @Veda_labs, @SentoraHQ and @ChaosLabs. Earn up to 8% APY on your assets all within the Kraken app experience you already know & trust. No complicated setup. No technical steps. Just start earning ⤵️ app.kraken.com/JDNW/defiearn
74
135
49
469
296,427
Jon Rotbard retweeted
This is directionally correct. BUT — to say that blockchains are just for finance is too categorical. It may just be a question of timing. All those other use cases could come back down the line. Famously, almost every idea that failed in the run up to the dot-com crash—online retail, grocery delivery, video broadcasting, and even digital currencies—ended up succeeding eventually. The biggest problem with consumer crypto, for example, has been that the market is too small. The number of of people who use crypto wallets day-to-day is a rounding error compared to the scale of the internet. Consumer crypto has not yet had a real shot. The real test might only happen once stablecoins/defi bring hundreds of millions or billions of users onchain.
It’s cool too see Vitalik clearly articulate his vision for Ethereum (now better than ever maybe?) Personally, these ideas were riveting in 2014. It’s what inspired me to get into crypto. But today it feels like the world has moved on, unfortunately. Blockchains are for finance. Finance is and will continue to get surprisingly more expressive because of blockchains, but it’s hard to see a mainstream renaissance in the types of applications described because they are skeuomorphic (decentralized) versions of existing products. That hasn’t been a formula for success. I think a more interesting theme is to imagine: non-skeuomorphic manifestations of the vision he is describing? For example, are we going to end up with 3 mega-datacenter corps, or are we going to find a way to leverage decentralized compute? And what *new* products can only be developed because of the new financial markets that blockchains enable?
21
8
3
118
15,092
Idk how the Base app keeps getting worse - navigating to Morpho - scroll past Farcaster accounts for Morpho (??) including two scam accounts - then coin section - somehow two random coins above the actual Morpho token? - then below that there's two Morphos without clear delineation on what the difference is - whole app is clogged with random features that would take a few days to even understand - trade screen is stuffed with random memecoins + creator coins vs any real tokens Hate to pile on but this is NGMI vs RH or Phantom
1
5
351
Jon Rotbard retweeted
no crypto startup should feel pressured to do buybacks. in normal tech this would be insane. high growth startups should be reinvesting capital and preserving runway, not blowing it in the open market to placate a couple loud reply guys the popularity of buybacks - and in some sense, the expectation by the market that every revenue positive protocol will do them - is unequivocally bad for the crypto startup ecosystem. founders should be focused on their users, product, and team - not managing a perpetual twap buybacks are a symptom of a more fundamental malaise we find ourselves in as an industry. most tokens are worthless. the average app token is just a memecoin wearing a suit. it has “utility” but no ownership of anything meaningful token holders have finally grown wise to these schemes and now as a result demand buybacks. why be forced to trust the team to steward a protocol’s capital when they can just immediately return it to investors via buybacks? the shorter the lag between revenue in and buybacks out, the better this approach is fine for later stage teams. buybacks make sense for protocols like pump & hyperliquid that print money and may have no other productive place to park all that cash. but for your run of the mill crypto startup, buybacks are at best a distraction and at worse a waste of precious resources the pendulum is finally starting to swing away from buybacks, as evidenced by helium’s decision to pause part of their buyback programme. metadao will only accelerate this shift teams that launch ownership coins on metadao feel no pressure to do buybacks bc investors have actual ownership. this means ownership coin founders don’t need to virtue signal to their holders; instead they can focus on the important stuff - product, users, team buybacks are a pre futarchy phenomenon
30
9
8
159
16,497
Fun Claude Code hack for the $20/mo poors: set up Chrome Remote Desktop on iOS and ping Claude throughout the day to maximize your tokens, which reset in 5 hour increments
3
231
The facts won't machine themselves
2
4
158