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254 W 98th St, New York, 10025
Joined April 2010
Put me on a desert island with nothing but some clothes, some fishing nets, a few weeks of food, a good knife, a good axe, and a good whetstone, and I could eventually rebuild a reasonably good AI Large Language Model. This might take me 20 years, but I could do it. The island would need to have at least one large river with a strong current, since I would not have electricity, so I would need the current of the river to power the AI. Obviously I would need to spend the first few weeks building a home and setting up the nets to give me a reliable supply of food that I could get without too much effort, but then I could get to work. The "Large Language Model" would be restricted to what I have in my head, but that is still a reasonable amount. I would need to encode what I remember of John Doe, Satan's speech in Milton's Paradise Lost, the parts I remember of Shakespeare and Hemmingway and Fitzgerald and Doris Lessing. I have some of my own essays memorized, and I could write some more. All that matters is that I encode enough text that I can train the model. This might take me 7 or 8 years, but I could eventually encode a reasonably large amount of text. I would end up with a very small Large Language Model. Some people think you need electricity to build a computer but that is not correct. Back in 1936 Alan Turing described an "infinite state machine" which became our computers, but there is no electricity in his description. You only need something that goes around and around and around, so if you build an old fashioned waterwheel, like you see on any old mill, then you can build a computer. This is why I said the island would need to have at least one big river with a strong current. I would spend the first two years setting up the infrastructure: a waterwheel powered by the river, a drive shaft, some building to house it all, multiple "state machine" wheels that would hold a large number of uniform sticks, which could be pushed left (0) or right (1) which would set me up to start binary programming. I would probably use different wheels to encode different "software libraries", such as one wheel for math operations, one wheel for text operations. I would need some kind of clutch to move the "reader" from one wheel to another, as I engage different "libraries." Figuring out the clutch would take some careful thought, but if I hardcode the number of wheels and what they do then the work becomes easier (that is, if I hardcode "wheel 4 is for math operations, wheel 5 is for text operations" then this becomes easier). I would have to get good at wood working, but presumably, if it is the only thing I do for 20 years, I will get good at it. The most difficult trick would be figuring out the knots that, on the one hand, are firm enough to keep the sticks in place but, on the other hand, are flexible enough that the sticks can be pushed to the other position, when necessary. I would have to get the knots right so they could imitate the yes/no behavior of semiconductors. Once I had the machinery working, I would have to develop the "software," though the "software" would be patterns in the sticks that can be either left or right. I would need standard patterns to handle strings of text, and other standard patterns to handle numbers. This would take me 6 or 7 years, but I could do it. I've read the original LLM paper from 2017 (Attention is all you need) so I get the basic idea, and (in real life) I'm working on specialized n-gram models that are informed by the NLP advances of recent years. I would eventually have working AI. This might be a stupid way to spend 20 years on a desert island but at least it would keep me busy. But here is the important point: there are now tens of thousands of engineers who can all do the same thing. The knowledge is widespread. The idea that AI will go away is ludicrous. Now that we know how to do it, we realize how easy it is. I've told this story before, but a few years ago I was on the subway and I was sitting next to a Hispanic woman who was traveling with her daughter, who I judged to be 6 or 7 years old, and the mom was drilling the daughter on some of the math the daughter had recently learned: Mom: "What is 3 plus 4? Daughter: "7" Mom: "What is 9 plus 0?" Daughter: "9" Mom: "What is 7 minus 0?" Daughter: "7" The daughter clearly knew what zero was, and how to use it. By contrast, many of the most brilliant people who ever lived didn't know about zero: Plato, Aristotle, Ptolemy. They lived and died with no concept of zero. Some ideas are like that: before they are invented the most brilliant people alive don't know about it, but after they idea is invented then a 6 year old girl can easily learn it. AI is like that. The 2017 paper (Attention is all you need) described the "self-attention dot-product" technique, which is a branch of Linear Algebra. And now that we know it, we realize it is relatively easy. Put me on a desert island and I can re-invent the whole thing. And many other engineers can do the same. Therefore, AI is not going away, it is with us permanently, like the concept of zero. People need to get used to this.
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @ivanainai
I'm not sure that's an unpopular opinion, AI is creating even more of a divide between the "haves" and "have nots" in a way that will create devastating impact to a large part of our population if not handled properly.
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You Can See Everything I'm still thinking about how innovative the storytelling style is. The first half of the movie is a documentary. A bit informal. More intimate than most. But still a documentary. The second half of the movie arguably a prank, like the Jackass movies, but more sophisticated. An intellectual, high-brow prank. Bringing in the actress Amanda Seyfried to provoke a response from Billy/Elizabeth is a kind of a prank. Would you still call that a documentary?
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Just a reminder, as your watching the Israeli Elections, that Mahmoud Abbas of the Palestinian Authority, is in the 21st year of his 4 year term. Just saying …
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
There are 0 incels that came out of my high school. Every time i look up someone, and wonder if they stayed an incel, it turns out they have a gf now who dresses nice, is not obese, and seems normal. Inceldom literally doesn’t exist in the American southeast and Midwest.
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
domesticity is a prison for someone with as much ambition as elizabeth holmes
As soon as You Can See Everything opened up with this shot I was like oh hell yeah let's fucking go
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They are making fun of their customers for doing the one thing that the game often forces you to do: cull the population.
We all know why you're building an extra district with nothing in it... 👀
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @NataliaAntonova
Multiple Ukrainian female friends have told me stories of Western men trying to impress them with middle class stuff and then ghosting when they find out these women are white collar executives with property, cars, etc.
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Ironically, Israel is living the progressive dream of having 20 political parties that represent every micro-faction, ethnicity and boutique philosophy.
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Sometimes a girl sings you a song and it remains with you forever. In 1996 a group of us had met at a farm owned by the parents of one of my friends. I had gone out to the pond, a mile away, and there was a girl there, who I had kissed 3 years earlier. She had her guitar and she sang a song, then she went back to the house. I've sung that song to myself many times. Last night I decided to look it up and see who was the artist. I tracked it down by the lyrics. I realized she had sung a modified version of "Inches and Miles" by David Mallett, but her version was so much better than his. His version is a very traditional folk song, whereas her version had been more like what you would expect from Joan Baez. It's been one of my favorite songs, though I only heard it that one time.
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @Avdankad
I would if someone like u gave me some
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
In one day, two politicians - Bolsonaro in Brazil and Vucic in Serbia - with ties to Trump and his family have lost surprise elections, thanks to high turnout. The rise of the international far-right is not inevitable.
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @itstoz
These guys r so worried about divorce stats they cope with tom Brady even tho they were claiming this exact woman was too old and skinny to be on the runway LITERALLT 3 days ago
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @tiedecker
Nathan was mostly quiet for that scene but when the sex talk came up he dunked his ass you can't tell me he didn't despise the guy
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @tiedecker
So interesting that his perspective seemed to live online. As though this was some big moment and yet to her it was incredibly insignificant because she lives in the real world. And that was a standout moment because it showed who values what. And he values perception.
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @tiedecker
AMANDA I WILL GET YOU THAT OSCAR
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @tiedecker
Amanda throwing haymakers 😂
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @tiedecker
SEYFRIED was out for blood dude
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @tiedecker
i’m sorry amanda seyfried i wasn’t familiar with ur game
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Lawrence Krubner 🇺🇸🇺🇦 retweeted
Replying to @tiedecker
Audience was laughing and cheering during this whole scene like it was Avengers Endgame
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Am I tripping or did Billy detail and admit a conspiracy to murder… on camera… to intimidate Nathan & Amanda… while admitting the voices in his head told him he shouldn’t have such dark thoughts? What the fuck?
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