LessWrong

It's true! This year for Petrov, LessWrong and the EA Forum have nukes pointed at each. Two forums, two buttons, and hopefully two sets of trustworthy users with launch codes.

Chapter 90, Roles, Pt 1. The Defense Professor speaks.

Link for the non-FB users: lesswrong.com/events/PwinnkX… Early dance floor testing:

LW + EA Anywhere are hosting an ultra NYE party in our GatherTown world. 16 hours, Europe + US. Convos, dancing, countdowns, games, predictions, reflection, deep philosophy chats. Visit the Great Library, Heaven, Hell, Ballroom, Moloch Maze, etc. Join us! fb.me/e/1ZvEdcfWk

@bettercount_us has written "A Voting Theory Primer for Rationalists" which is a breakdown of his understanding of social choice theory from his two decades of interest and work in the field.

@rohinmshah wrote the essay "Coherence Arguments Do Not Imply Goal-Directed Behavior" about what we can and cannot predict about advanced AGI systems from our understanding of basic VNM utility theory.

The first essay by @s_r_constantin in the LessWrong book-set is "Naming the Nameless", which explores aesthetics, design, political stances, and defensiveness. Her second essay "The Pavlov Strategy" is about a particular game-theoretic strategy.

@renormalized wrote the essay "The Loudest Alarm is Probably False" in the new LessWrong book set, about noticing when the social alarms going off in your head aren't calibrated.

@KatjaGrace asks "Why did everything take so long?" about technological progress in history. The next essay in the book, "Why everything might have taken so long" offers dozens of hypotheses she collected from the comments at LessWrong, Marginal Revolution, and Meteuphoric.

@vkrakovna writes about specification gaming in AI. She made (along with contributions from @gwern, @catherineols and more) a list of over 60 examples of this problem, and discusses their implications.

@xuenay wrote the essay "Explaining Enlightenment and Insight Meditation in Non-Mysterious Terms", which is an essay that attempts to communicate a reductionist, third-person model of his experiences of these states of being.

@TheZvi wrote the essay "Prediction Markets: When Do They Work" which lists key heuristics for designing prediction markets, based on Zvi's history of involvement in betting markets.

The first essay by @slatestarcodex in the new LessWrong book is "Varieties of Argumentative Experience", which riffs off the essay "How to Disagree" by @paulgraham. Another essay "Is Science Slowing Down?" was inspired by a conference organized by @patrickc and @michael_nielson.

@ESYudkowsky wrote seven essays in the new LessWrong book set, starting with "Local Validity as a key to Sanity and Civilization" on proof, reason, fairness and game theory. Another essay "Toolbox-thinking and Law-thinking" responds to @Meaningness critique of rationality.

LessWrong is now in physical book form! The community voted on which essays have stood the test of time, and we turned over 40 of them into a pocket-sized book-set that has been described as "ridiculously aesthetic". Pre-order for $29. More details at lesswrong.com/books.

LessWrong is now in physical book form! We had users vote on which recent essays have stood the test of them and turned 41 of them into a five pocket-size book set that has been described as "ridiculously aesthetic". Pre-order for $29. More details at buff.ly/3qqbwpS