elections and politics polymarket trader with 6 figure profits. top holder of 49ers super bowl futures 💰
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Joined November 2024
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Top 10 wins this year:
Colombian elections: +$57K cumulative
U.S. government shutdowns: +$57K cumulative
And throw in a random NCAA football game for good measure.
There has been notable developments to this French Presidential Elections thesis.
Discussions for a Center Right primary are getting louder and louder.
Full update coming next week!
Someone asked me why I am the top holder of Bruno Retailleau for next year's French Presidential Elections, here is my thesis/thought process:
-Elections are far away, but not too far. Not worth buying the favorite. More extreme candidates have higher initial support but will get consolidated against. (Le Pen)
-Center Right have 3 candidates, which will consolidate votes if one makes through.
-Out those 3, the leader Philipe is slowly losing support. Erosion in the polls will eventually lead to a Center Right primary.
-Bruno, an experienced politician and a pragmatist, will definitely have a chance to win such a primary should it occur.
If this scenario occurs Bruno will easily be worth what Philipe is worth now (20c), if not more.
Anyways, it's a cheap punt at 1-2c.
So we got Wiles out, and on the surface it seems that the loyalists are digging in. But if Iran offers no breakthroughs I think Hegseth could still be in trouble.
Guys should we tell him I made big bucks betting on Ed Gallrein? But I am now an owner of Massie 2028 futures, funny how the world works 🤣🤣🤣
hi
NEW: Republican sources in Tennessee tell me President Trump is “encouraging” Governor-elect Marsha Blackburn to appoint Pete Hegseth to her U.S. Senate seat.
Blackburn could resign imminently.
That would let outgoing Governor Bill Lee name Hegseth quickly and give Trump time to get a new Pentagon chief confirmed during the lame-duck session.
Someone is trying to scam posing as me after I switched my handle from @liquidatedxxx to now @liquidated777
Don't fall for it!
Holy F Massie just dropped a truth nuke, which I wasn't thinking about
"Only the Sith deals in absolutes"
Now imagine if Aiyuk actually plays for the 49ers. We'd have a super-team (if no more injuries)
Trump wanted to do regime change in Iran, instead he helped the Dumocrats pull off one of the greatest regime changes in the USA. 🇺🇸
Life of a Polymarket Trader After Midterms
-Ice cream for breakfast
-Post memes
-Troll political pundits on X
-Check portfolio for no reason
-Open Polymarket, close Polymarket
-Pretend to research 2028
-???????
Profit again???
Big night for me if you've been following this feed
The immediate action I took when I got home:
-buy more Hegseth out shares
Buy long-shot Republicans not really associated with the current admin for the 2028 nomination
-Byron Donalds
-Sarah Huckabee Sanders
-Thomas Massie
I don't care they're weak candidates at this point that can be figured out later
The 4D chess move for tomorrow's market open is to buy SpaceX because data centers will only be built in space 🤣
This guy used to follow me for Ed Gallrein vs Massie coverage, then he blocked me for betting Talafreako lol
Final Top10 Portfolio Update Before the Midterms
-Talafreako remains my largest position, with a blended cost basis in the low 50s. We ride into the sunset. (not pictured)
-Got incredibly lucky catching the final pump in Kansas, Maine, and South Carolina D. Sometimes it's better to be lucky than good.
-Still firmly believe Hegseth and Wiles will both be in trouble after the midterms.
-I'm terrible with money, so naturally I have to bet on Raman. Scaled down from my largest position to a much smaller one after the IGS poll. The IGS poll had many weighting oddities. Whales will be slain here.
-Calling it now: The Houston Rockets will be the analytics darlings of this NBA season. More on that later.
