October 20th | NBA 🏀 #LightTheBeam Collab W / @lockdownprops 😈 PRIZEPICKS FREE SQUARE! 2-Pick Power Play | 1.9X • Anthony Edwards MORE 0.5 Points • Domantas Sabonis MORE 10.5 Points ————————————— Starting the NBA season with a PrizePicks free square and pairing it with a Sabonis line that I really like against the Clippers. Here’s why I like Sabonis O10.5 Points: Sabonis has averaged 18.7 PPG over his last 7 games, well above the 10.5 line we’re getting. He’s cleared this number in 80% of his last 5, 70% of his last 10, and 80% of his last 20 games. What really caught my attention is his history against the Clippers. He’s cleared this line in 7 straight H2H matchups (100%), scoring 11, 15, 17, 22, 23, 24, and 19 points. That’s an average of 18.7 PPG against this opponent. Looking deeper into the matchup, Sabonis does most of his damage around the basket. 28% of his scoring comes as a pick-and-roll man, 17% from offensive rebounds, and 18% from free throws. His matchup chart also shows his strongest offensive advantage around the rim, which is exactly where we want him operating. With a line of just 10.5, we’re not asking Sabonis for a monster performance. We just need 11 points from a guy who has consistently produced above that number. ❤️ If Tailing #NBA | #Gambling𝕏