Principal Research Associate at @taxpolicycenter, @urbaninstitute focusing on gov't fiscal & economic policy issues Views my own | RT≠endorsement
Joined July 2009
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"...if 1% of sportsbook activity in New York moved to prediction markets, it could result in a $13 million revenue hit, according to an analysis from the Tax Policy Center."
businessinsider.com/new-york…
"Even so, the fiscal risk for New York could still be meaningful. An analysis from the Tax Policy Center finds that if 1% of sportsbook activity in the state shifts to prediction markets, New York could take a $13 million revenue hit."
tradersunion.com/news/financ…
"An analysis done by the Tax Policy Center concluded that the median state was projecting only 2.3% nominal tax revenue growth for FY 2027, down from 4.1% in FY 2025."
bondbuyer.com/opinion/why-st…
"Lucy Dadayan, principal research associate at the Tax Policy Center, pointed to Census data showing nearly half of Southern states had poverty rates of 15% or higher in 2024, with several also near the bottom for median household income."
investopedia.com/here-s-what…
CFTC is considering a proposal that could shape the future of federally regulated prediction markets, including sports-related event contracts. Around 1,400 comments were recieved. Read summary
#Gambling #sportsbetting #polymarket #kalshi #predictionmarket
taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/c…
"Uncertainty is the only certainty this year," said Lucy Dadayan, who closely tracks state tax revenue as a principal research associate at the Urban Institute.
law360.com/tax-authority/art…
Higher oil prices can provide a revenue windfall for oil-producing states, but they also come with tradeoffs. Rising energy costs fuel inflation, increasing the price of goods & services that state gov's rely on. The result is a more complex fiscal picture
marketplace.org/story/2026/0…
Really enjoyed chatting with a Spanish reporter about how the U.S. and EU approach taxation. Comparing income and sales tax systems side by side made the differences impossible to miss. @_infoLibre
infolibre.es/internacional/i…
Lucy Dadayan retweeted
New Jersey lawmakers are considering legislation that would make the state the first in the nation to prohibit online microbetting.
The proposal reflects broader questions about how gambling product design may influence risk, consumer behavior, and public health outcomes.
bit.ly/4xaT6v0
As #PredictionMarkets expand, they are competing with state-regulated #SportsBetting, raising important questions about regulation, consumer protections, future of state #gambling tax revenue.
@MickMulvaney, Sara Slane (@Kalshi), Michael Hoenig (@SanManuelCasino), @PoliticsReid.
Great kickoff to #NCSLSummit! Appreciated the thoughtful and constructive discussion moderated by Susan Urahn of @pewstates, featuring @GovPritzker and @GovStitt. A strong start to an engaging Monday at @NCSLorg.
Corporate income tax revenues represent around 10% of total state tax revenues and are one of the most volatile sources of revenues.
"The revenue declines also weren't universal & were influenced by factors in each state's corporate climate, Dadayan said."
law360.com/tax-authority/sta…
Lucy Dadayan retweeted
New research: Informing State Policy and Revenue Considerations. @kmart_02 and @lucydadayan (Urban Institute) are studying how legalized sports betting affects state tax revenues, and whether projected revenue gains materialize over time. More: bit.ly/4wVKMiD
I'm proud to share that our research is part of a new cohort of grants from @Arnold_Ventures supporting independent study of the real-world impacts of legalized sports betting.
prnewswire.com/news-releases…
#SportsBetting #GamblingPolicy
@TaxPolicyCenter @urbaninstitute
Arnold Ventures Announces 12 New Research Grants to Advance Evidence on the Impacts of Sports Betting prn.to/4f56YiX
Lucy Dadayan retweeted
These 3 recurring headlines aren't separate stories. Each helps explain the next:
1) High schoolers are entering college academically unprepared
2) College students are increasingly using AI to complete their coursework
3) Recent college grads are struggling to land employment
"Lucy Dadayan, principal research associate at the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center, agrees. She says Chicago needs to capture where people spend their money."
chicagobusiness.com/forum/cc…
"On Monday, the @TaxPolicyCenter , a non-partisan Washington, D.C. think tank, published an article highlighting how the rise of prediction markets threatens state tax revenue."
ingame.com/reaction-cftc-pro…
When is @NYCComptroller going to update it's website?
It's been nearly 6 months Eric Adams is out and Zohran Mamdani @NYCMayor is the Mayor of the NYC!
comptroller.nyc.gov/reports/…
Prediction markets are rapidly expanding, but what happens when they compete with state-regulated gambling?
Read our latest on whether prediction markets could reduce state gambling tax revenues & reshape the economics of sports betting and other wagering.
taxpolicycenter.org/taxvox/c…