Baseball and music lover. Healthcare @KetchumPR. Public relations & MKTG alum of American University @AU_SOC she/her
NYC
Joined September 2014
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Madden McDonagh retweeted
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Madden McDonagh retweeted
SEND IT!
Check out solana:9Pq7aLAbhDG2tTnS22cm6kuysZVcZpLFE368HWuypump on fomo:
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Madden McDonagh retweeted
Everyone wants another PEPE style runner, but nobody understands why PEPE happened.
Back then, there was barely anything to trade onchain. Liquidity was concentrated, people had patience, and they actually HELD.
And let's not pretend PEPE was some 100% organic miracle. There were claims of around 30% bundled supply. The difference was that a floor was built and people had bigger targets.
Today, everyone wants to sell to the very next guy who buys after them.
Our role models are guys who flip, flip, flip. Show me someone who held something from nothing to hundreds of millions. Maybe Unipcs? Even he gets called an insider whenever he wins.
We've completely fucked up our psychology.
Nobody wants to build a floor. Nobody wants to hold. Everybody wants to extract.
And guess who's actually getting rich? The platforms and protocols collecting fees on every transaction.
I dump on you. You dump on someone else. We all lose money while the platforms print.
We don't have a liquidity problem alone. We have a conviction problem.
Until we fix that, forget the next PEPE. We're just recycling the same money until there's nothing left to recycle.
Madden McDonagh retweeted
Crypto is playing on extreme hard mode right now. Even some of the best traders and TA guys are getting humbled.
But there's one breed of TA genius that cracks me up.
Bro tells you, “Short BTC at $80K.”
BTC pumps to $87K. Complete silence.
BTC eventually dumps to $79,900.
Suddenly, bro comes back like, “SEE? I TOLD YOU. I'M ALIGNED WITH THE UNIVERSE.”
Mfer BTC moved $7,000 against your call before finally going 100 dollars down.
That's not a prediction. That's waiting for the market to eventually make you right.
Madden McDonagh retweeted
Whats TapeOut?
Imagine you buy 5 LEGO pieces.
You put them together and build a tiny machine.
That machine starts producing tokens.
You can sell those tokens, hold them, or gamble on their price.
That's the basic idea.
Now replace the LEGO pieces with virtual transistors, the machine with a digital circuit, and the process of completing that circuit with something called TapeOut.
You're not building a real NVIDIA chip. You're assembling virtual components on a blockchain to create something that can earn crypto rewards.
So the game is basically:
Buy components, Build a circuit, Create a miner, Earn tokens and Hope someone wants to buy them.
Why is everyone excited?
Because instead of simply launching another memecoin and watching everyone dump on each other, they're experimenting with a system where people build miners and receive tokens over time.
But the Catch is
Your machine prints tokens, NOT money.
If nobody wants those tokens, your fancy transistor machine is just an expensive digital LEGO set.
That's TapeOut in the most dumb way I could explain.
One of the biggest edges in crypto has always been understanding a narrative before the majority even knows what the fk is going on.
Remember early DeFi? Most people had no clue what yield farming, liquidity pools or AMMs were.
Early NFTs? People laughed at the idea of paying thousands for JPEGs.
Early sniping bots? While everyone was manually buying tokens, a handful of people were already making fortunes through automation.
Now we're seeing TapeOut, virtual transistors, circuit building, Proof of Design and all this complicated shit.
Yesterday I was invited to a Space where people were discussing it, and I barely understood what the fk they were talking about.
But that's exactly what caught my attention.
Crypto has a strange pattern. First comes confusion. Then curiosity. Then education. Then speculation. And finally, mass adoption of the narrative, often accompanied by ridiculous valuations.
The biggest opportunities often appear when something is too complicated for the average person to understand but interesting enough for them to eventually chase.
Does that mean TapeOut will succeed? Absolutely not. It could be revolutionary, or it could be another beautifully packaged extraction mechanism.
But I've learned one thing after years in this market that
You don't get paid for understanding what everyone already understands. You get paid for recognizing what they might want to understand next.
The real alpha isn't buying something because it's complicated.
It's figuring out whether that complexity is hiding an opportunity or hiding a scam.
And figuring it out before the crowd does.
Madden McDonagh retweeted
Markets are everywhere. Your attention shouldn’t have to be.
One place to discover what matters.
Every market. One app.
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Madden McDonagh retweeted
Forget shorting newly launched memes for a second.
What if we build a prediction market for them?
Token graduates and at $500K MC.
Will it rug below $100K within 7 days? YES or NO.
Will it hit $5M before nuking 90%? YES or NO.
Will it survive 30 days? YES or NO.
USDC collateral. Fixed downside. No leverage. No liquidations. Onchain settlement.
Imagine a Polymarket built specifically for the trenches.
Instead of crying about rugs, degens could actually bet on whether these shitters survive.
Of course, liquidity manipulation and fair settlement would need to be solved.
If we can gamble on whether a meme goes to the moon, why we can't bet on whether it goes to the graveyard?
The more I think about prediction markets, the crazier the possibilities get.
What if we could LONG or SHORT the performance of crypto KOLs too?
Will this KOL's publicly verified portfolio nuke 90%?
Will his next 5 calls outperform BTC?
Will he gain 100K followers in 90 days?
Will his next meme call hit $10M or go straight to zero?
For years, KOLs have been telling us what to bet on. Maybe it's time the market could bet on their predictions too.
Now that's some entertainment.
Madden McDonagh retweeted
how would you guys settle this bet?
say there’s a market on a product launching by friday. on thursday the team posts “we’re live”, you click the link and it’s a waitlist.
are you paying out YES on that?
you’d need the exact market rules, obviously. but i can already picture the replies. people holding yes posting the announcement, people holding no asking where the product is.
i can see a use for @GenLayer here. an Intelligent Contract can check the web evidence against those rules. AI-powered validators review the proposed result, and an appeal brings in fresh validators before it becomes final.
i’d like to see a few awkward cases run through it. let people follow the evidence and challenge the outcome. that’s the demo i’d pay attention to.
🤝 Paid partnership
Most real-world contracts are ambiguous. That's why we have courts.
Everything onchain so far only works for the 0.01% that can be written as pure math.
@kstellana with @itsciaranlyons on @Cointelegraph's Chain Reaction.
Madden McDonagh retweeted
If you missed Bhairavi’s speech the first time, tune in tomorrow morning!
This Sunday at 11am on @WBAI , I’ll be airing Bhairavi Desai’s powerful speech from the @NYTWA delivered at the Unisphere in Queens during the press conference for Mayor-elect @ZohranKMamdani transition team.
