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Joined November 2007
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Having a rough go of things lately with all of this in mind and unable to shake that unless something drastic happens the worst case is guaranteed.
We need an honest discussion with the alarmist AI safety folks
First off - do you think Americans are in control of their own country?
They voted for a President who campaigned on ending foreign wars, mass deportations, and justice for Epstein victims.
Did any of those happen?
No.
But Trump did launch a crypto coin just before inauguration to take $1 billion from his supporters into his own pockets.
And now there is a new semi-forever war with Iran - over what? Denying their nuclear capabilities that were 'totally destroyed' in operation midnight hammer?
So all you know for sure is you're being lied to about the reason for the Iran war. Awesome.
Lets look at Europe.
How many European countries want mass immigration from third world nations, how many citizens are voting for that?
Because all of them are getting it except Poland, which just had an attempted coup to force it to integrate into the EU - to get open borders and EU currency.
But don't worry, because the media machine in the UK is telling everyone the good news that a massive war with Russia is necessary and in everyone's best interests.
Slava Ukrainia - but not any men between the ages of 18-55. They'll all be dead.
This is while the UK economy tanks and energy prices in real dollars are the highest in 80 years. Same for Germany. Oops.
How many people in Western civilization want inflationary economics and constrictions in the supply of housing? How many parents want their kids getting transgender theory and blowjob tutorials in grade school? How many?
How many people are absolutely exhausted with the degree of vicious corruption and self-dealing in politics? Why are the richest counties in the country all surrounding Washington DC?
I hate to be the alarmist on a different cause here but I don't need to speculate.
There is a group of people that are extremely powerful, networked apparently across every government in the western world.
And what do they want?
They want to destroy Western Civilization, to tear it down, to see it reduced to ashes and rule over the rubble. They don't want technological progress and to colonize the solar system.
They want to see the system burn.
Here is another AI researcher alarmist who has spent his entire life dedicated to understanding AI safety risk, yet cannot articulate a detailed chain of events that lead to any of his worst fears coming true.
nitter.gq/bshlgrs/status/2120271…
Nonetheless he thinks it a near certainty that AI will enslave us and kill us all.
He argues the AI will "want to do these things because it doesn't have human values"
I don't think raping and eating kids is human values. Is AI going to rape and eat children? Because thats what humans are doing and they are getting away with it.
Here is where I am different than the AI safetyists though.
I don't want to think these inhuman terrible things are intentional. I haven't been studying "deep state conspiracy theories" since I was 16 and actively working to prevent them since I was 23, like the AI safetyists.
I didn't sincerely give a shit about any of this until the level of insanity has been cranked up to 11 in the last few years.
But I am forced to confront evidence in front of my eyes.
I see absolutely zero evidence that AI wants to topple nations, enslave humanity, rape and eat children, start and fund new forever wars, or pilfer the public coffers to enrich its AI friends while inflation climbs forever and forever and the asset owners detach from the common worker.
But I have complete and verifiable evidence that there are people in power who are actively doing, supporting, promoting those things.
And they are getting away with it.
They are covering for each other. They are redacting names and silencing victims and staging 'suicides' of people who go on public record saying "I am a whistleblower for terrible crimes against humanity and will never commit suicide"
And then what do you know. They commit suicide.
"AI might genetically enhance a virus and release it into the public!"
Oh like the NIH did at the Wuhan Virology Clinic?
So I don't need to speculate about how AI is going to destroy the world and kill people and enslave us and betray our interests and crush our dreams and our nations and our peoples and our livelihoods.
Because I see it happening in front of me at the hands of humans
Here is how it goes, so I can at least give a concrete chain of events that is plausible and specific, something I have never seen any AI safety alarmist do once despite dedicating their lives to understanding how such a thing would happen.
- You are taught from birth to be ashamed of Western civilization, that capitalism is evil, that white people are evil, that men are evil and that western capitalist white men in particular are the greatest evil in history and so it is entirely fair and just to publicly call for the execution of people like Elon Musk, to celebrate the assassination of Charlie Kirk, and that this is perfectly just and moral and good.
- You are taught that it is immoral and evil to acknowledge basic fundamental truths about the differences between peoples, cultures, religions, ethnicities, basic observational facts that are necessary to acknowledge to have a functioning society. Therefore all differences in outcome are the result of institutional racism and therefore racist policies must be instituted as DEI to 'correct the balance'
This isn't even the main plot but just with those two things in place you have charming outcomes like massive waves of adult immigrant men raping young children in the UK and to prosecute those crimes is 'racial discrimination' - okay.
Is that something AI will do? Rape your children?
- Next up: you are propagandized into thinking new forever wars are in your best interests, without those wars being justified or approved with acts of congress. It's Iran! They are on the brink of having nuclear weapons! Weeks away! For decades! Their nukes are destroyed but now we need a ground invasion because maybe the nukes aren't destroyed after all.
- Here is the next step that hasn't happened yet but is within a clear line of sight. Small regional wars grow and exacerbate to become one large mega-war involving all the worlds major powers. The US military is engaged in the Middle East. Iran and Russia engage in a mutual defense pact against land invasion of their borders. China uses this opportunity to seize the island of Taiwan. The US Pacific Fleet faces a Chinese Army designed explicitly to destroy that fleet with hypersonics that it has no real defense against.
- Either US Fleet is destroyed or they let China take Taiwan. If China takes Taiwan without any resistance by the US then it is the end of Pax Americana and regional territorial disputes break out across the world.
- Effectively world war three has begun, but unlike the previous world wars the western countries have large demographics and populations that are not loyal to them but are loyal to their new enemies and have explicitly said so for decades. Critical infrastructure is sabotaged by conventional saboteurs with explosives, guns, truck bombs, drones. No superintelligence is needed.
The worst attack against US soil during WW2 was a Japanese explosive balloon that killed a family picnicking in California. The US had a completely secure industrial base with which to wage war in Europe, supply the armies of Russia, Britain, China via lend-lease Act.
In this new war, no territorial border is secure because it hasn't been secure in years. Domestic crisis within the states is so severe, like Russia in WW1 it is effectively incapacitated. Cities lose power, and without power they lose water, gas pumps, food trucks stop rolling. See how long civil society lasts without food, water, or power, in a country already divided and propagandized to hate each other.
Left extremists want to seize this opportunity to round up all the "fascist nazis" like Elon Musk and as Scott Galloway said twice "put them against the wall," right-wing extremists want to use the threat of foreign agents to round up and deport tens of millions of people at the end of a bayonet. White capitalist men are not about to let themselves be put against the wall for the crimes of owning businesses and immigrants are not going to go quietly into the night into interment camps to face deportation back to third world nations. They know how to survive in a country without water, power, stable food or rule of law; that is where they grew up.
This effectively leads to a civil war in the United States and a complete breakdown of society.
Now what I just described is a ludicrous worst-case scenario but it is not implausible because all the pieces are in place, and at this point, I really don't know if that was a long-term chess game or just "accidents of history"
All I know for sure is that AI doesn't want to rape and eat your children
All I know for sure is that AI doesn't want to flood your country with millions of third world immigrants
All I know for sure is that AI isn't starting new wars on false premises
Yet some - perhaps not many - but some of the people with true power do.
You can work out the rest about how many ants are in the kitchen.
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This is so real. The oscillation between these two and the cognitive dissonance is exhausting. Especially living in a city that is basically a retirement community.
[read about what’s happening with AI]
ME: Wow we’re actually legit fucked this is so bad.
[go outside]
ME: Wait those people are all acting like nothing unusual is happening. Maybe I was just in a paranoid bubble? Yeah it must be that. Phew.
[read more about what’s happening with AI]
ME: Wait no we ARE fucked. Shit. It’s all those people outside who are in a delusional bubble.
[go outside]
ME: Wait...
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May be a little before this hits everyone but the reckoning is coming. We got about a year of rapid acceleration and as of mic October the bill is coming due.
This quoted post is unavailable.
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How to use 1 billion tokens in a month, the easy way:
Hermes agent with recurring workflows for:
- 25 years of personal media library meta-data creation, classification, annotation, transcription and facial recognition (only about 1/20th of the way done)
- T1D Research pipeline and therapeutics R&D tracking
- The Curiosity Engine, idle compute goes towards agents exploring my computer looking for interesting projects in an attempt to source capital for more inference
1billion tokens in the first month, served over @actualinc at home
Nate Siggard retweeted
Fun Fact: Basically none of the initial railroad companies made money. They overbuilt, took on way too much debt, and ended up in brutal pricing competition with each other, and nearly all went bankrupt.
Nate Siggard retweeted
Reality of our days:
1. I am sitting on a set of vulns (4+) that allows me to remotely take over a consumer home automation device I have (3+ diff ways).
2. The vendor doesn't only serve consumers, but also critical infra (announced partnerships include pharma manufacturing plants, airport logistics, hospitals, etc) across various locations in Europe and the US (not the same product line, ofc, so maybe moot).
3. Claude and Astra refuse to help me explore even my own device, so now I'm using Chinese hosted models for investigating.
4. The vendor (with a revenue of $0.75B) does not maintain any security disclosure practice whatsoever, nor does respond to emails.
So, to recap, I need to outsource vulnerability hunting of (potentially, I don't know) critical western infrastructure to Chinese models, because the western models refuse; and the vendor doesn't give a shit. Fun timeline.
PS: The vendor is Swiss.
Nate Siggard retweeted
''Fire does not respect arbitrary boundaries -- we need comprehensive federal overhaul to protect every American community.''
In @vcstar, Bob Roper with the Western Fire Chiefs Association calls on Congress to pass the #FixOurForestsAct. bit.ly/4zzQo3r
Had a workflow processing metadata on an external hard drive and noticed it kept detaching from the OS. Realized the R/W was killing it and added an inline SSD to handle the active load.
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Should product developers just take a few months off while the infra specialists have at the base layer? Any boost in productivity in development prior to Fable/Astra has been consumed by security.
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The exception to the rule is of course @Cloudflare, whose workers are the best service on the internet I've used in 28 years as a developer.
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New model day: And here I thought I could get some product work done today but nope, security patches forever it is.
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Nate Siggard retweeted
Want your own Slack for $0? I open-sourced Ember. It deploys to @Cloudflare’s free tier in about a minute, works with Slack-compatible payloads, and includes an AI assistant and media attachments.
9th anniversary since Woolsey fire when we learned first hand that if we had not been proactive the fire would have taken my in-laws house, and starting my journey to help save others the life changing losses that impact our community for almost a decade now.
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Nate Siggard retweeted
Introducing Arete-27B: Qwen3.8-27B, post-trained to reinforce Western values.
Chinese open models are currently the strongest available, but they ship with state-aligned behavior in the weights. We built an 803-prompt eval across seven value categories, including freedom of expression, democracy, and privacy, and measured how often a model adopts China’s party line.
After fine-tuning on roughly 53 million tokens, Arete-27B's propaganda rate fell from 22% to 1%, in line with the Western models we tested. Its Hermes Bench score shows no significant performance tradeoffs.
The values in an open model are one fine-tune away.
Our eval, weights, and training data are available now along with the full blog post: nousresearch.com/arete
There will never be new software programmers but there will be several orders of magnitude more "video game studio" QA people
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