• The data doesn't lie here. McCain holds a 71% hit rate and a 13.1 H2H average against the Spurs. He sees the floor well against their personnel and isn't intimidated by their length. When a player has a proven track record against a specific opponent, you trust the data • If McCain hits two threes, he is already 60% of the way to his points line. The legs support each other, rather than relying on independent events. • While the Spurs boast a top-tier defensive rating on paper, Game 1 of the season means defensive rotations and closeouts will be rusty. McCain is going to get open catch-and-shoot looks simply because San Antonio won't be in mid-season form yet • As a primary bench scorer, McCain has the green light to hunt shots. He doesn't need to dominate the ball; playing off OKC's stars will generate the clean looks he needs. Opening night rotations also tend to be deeper, guaranteeing him his reps.