https://nitter.gq/t.co/7YZyhVDEoe (homepage) https://nitter.gq/t.co/0S58ubRBej brings you daily nowcasts from across Europe powered by @pollgraphics. Imprint: https://nitter.gq/t.co/IigpqXAjMm
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🇸🇪 Sweden: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
21 seats:
🟦 M 5 (EPP)
🟥 S 5 (S&D)
⬛ SD 4 (ECR)
🟩 MP 2 (Greens)
🟥 V 2 (Left)
🟨 C 1 (Renew)
🟦 KD 1 (EPP)
🟨 L 1 (Renew)
Since 2024 by group: ECR +1, EPP +1, Greens −1, Renew −1
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/swed…
#EP2029
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🇷🇴 Romania: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
33 seats:
⬛ AUR 16 (ECR)
🟥 PSD 8 (S&D)
🟦 PNL 6 (EPP)
🟨 USR 2 (Renew)
🟦 UDMR 1 (EPP)
Since 2024 by group: ECR +10, EPP −3, S&D −3, NI −2, Greens −1, Renew −1
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/roma…
#EP2029 #nowcasteu #Romania
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🇵🇹 Portugal: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
21 seats:
🟥 PS 8 (S&D)
🟦 AD 7 (EPP)
🟦 CH 5 (PfE)
🟨 IL 1 (Renew)
Since 2024 by group: PfE +3, Left −2, Renew −1
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/port…
#EP2029 #nowcasteu #Portugal
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🇵🇱 Poland: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
53 seats:
🟦 KO 21 (EPP)
⬛ PiS 14 (ECR)
🟦 Konfederacja 8 (PfE 5, ESN 3)
⬜ KKP 6 (NI)
🟥 Lewica 4 (S&D)
Since 2024 by group: ECR −6, PfE +5, NI +3, EPP −2, Renew −1, S&D +1
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/pola…
#EP2029
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🇳🇱 Netherlands: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
31 seats:
🟩 PRO 8 (Greens 4, S&D 4)
⬛ JA21 4 (ECR)
🟦 PVV 4 (PfE)
🟦 CDA 3 (EPP)
🟨 D66 3 (Renew)
🟦 FvD 3 (ESN)
🟨 VVD 3 (Renew)
🟨 50PLUS 1 (Renew)
🟥 PvdD 1 (Left)
🟥 SP 1 (Left)
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/neth…
#EP2029
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🇲🇹 Malta: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
6 seats:
🟥 PL 3 (S&D)
🟦 PN 3 (EPP)
Same group seats as in 2024.
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/malt…
#EP2029 #nowcasteu #Malta
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🇪🇺 If the EU voted today, the EPP would stay the largest group with 169 of 720 seats, but lose 19.
The ESN, the AfD's group, would grow most: from 25 to 44 seats. 🧵 1/4
#EuropeanElections #Nowcast
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The European elections are 27 elections, not one. Our nowcast applies each country's own electoral law:
🇩🇪 No threshold: 0.9% wins a seat.
🇭🇺 5% threshold: TISZA would win two thirds of the seats with 64%, 14 of 21. 3/4
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All 27 countries and all 1,112 areas, region by region:
👉 nowcast.eu/en/?utm_source=s&… 4/4
#EuropeanElections #NowcastEU
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🇱🇻 Latvia: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
9 seats:
⬛ AS 3 (ECR)
🟦 JV 1 (EPP)
🟦 LPV 1 (PfE)
⬛ NA 1 (ECR)
🟩 PRO 1 (Greens)
⬜ SV 1 (Others)
⬜ ZZS 1 (Others)
Since 2024 by group: Others +2, ECR +1, EPP −1, Renew −1, S&D −1
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/latv…
#EP2029
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🇱🇺 Luxembourg: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
6 seats:
🟨 DP 2 (Renew)
⬜ ADR 1 (NI)
🟦 CSV 1 (EPP)
🟥 LSAP 1 (S&D)
🟩 déi gréng 1 (Greens)
Since 2024 by group: ECR −1, EPP −1, NI +1, Renew +1
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/luxe…
#EP2029 #nowcasteu #Luxembourg
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🇱🇹 Lithuania: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
11 seats:
🟦 TS-LKD 3 (EPP)
🟥 LSDP 2 (S&D)
⬛ LVŽS 2 (ECR)
⬜ NA 2 (Others)
🟨 LS 1 (Renew)
⬜ NS 1 (Others)
Since 2024 by group: Others +3, ESN −1, Greens −1, Renew −1
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/lith…
#EP2029 #nowcasteu
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🇮🇹 Italy: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
76 seats:
⬛ FdI 24 (ECR)
🟥 PD 18 (S&D)
🟥 M5S 11 (Left)
🟩 AVS 6 (Greens 4, Left 2)
🟦 FI 6 (EPP)
🟦 FN 6 (ESN)
🟦 Lega 5 (PfE)
Since 2024 by group: ESN +6, EPP −3, Left +3, PfE −3, S&D −3
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/ital…
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🇮🇪 Ireland: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
14 seats:
🟨 FF 3 (Renew)
🟦 FG 3 (EPP)
🟥 SF 3 (Left)
⬜ SD 2 (Others)
⬜ Aontu 1 (Others)
🟩 GP 1 (Greens)
🟨 II 1 (Renew)
Since 2024 by group: Others +3, Renew −2, EPP −1, Greens +1, S&D −1
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/irel…
🇭🇺 Hungary: European Parliament nowcast (10/11/2026)
21 seats:
🟦 TISZA 14 (EPP)
🟦 Fidesz-KDNP 5 (PfE)
🟦 Mi Hazánk 2 (ESN)
Since 2024 by group: EPP +7, PfE −6, S&D −2, ESN +1
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/hung…
#EP2029 #nowcasteu #Hungary
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🇪🇺 poll.graphics is going European.
Nowcasts and elections for 31 countries: all 27 EU members, plus Switzerland, Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein. 🧵 1/3
#EuropeanElections #pollgraphics
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🗺️ 50+ new maps: national and European elections
📍 2,500+ constituencies and areas
👥 100,000+ candidates
Every map follows its own country's electoral law. 2/3
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All about it:
👉 poll.graphics/en/europe-on-p…
Thursday: the European elections in all 27 EU countries. From Monday, one country at a time: Estonia, France, Finland first. 3/3
#EuropeanElections #pollgraphics
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🇭🇷 Croatia: European Parliament nowcast (9/11/2026)
12 seats:
🟦 HDZ 5 (EPP)
🟥 SDP 3 (S&D)
🟩 Možemo! 2 (Greens)
⬛ Most 2 (ECR)
Since 2024 by group: ECR +1, EPP −1, Greens +1, S&D −1
🔗 nowcast.eu/en/countries/croa…
#EP2029 #nowcasteu #Croatia
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