Just an ordinary advocate for a single payer healthcare program. Also we can't have another Iraq. #M4A#NoWarWithIran
Joined August 2019
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Thought experiment: Imagine a swing voter weighing whether to vote D or R. They're given this chart of about ~50 issues. They're asked to pick the top 5 issues for why they'd choose D over R. Then pick another top 5 for why they'd choose R over D. Which issues would they choose?
I know people talk about dummymanders but if we had fair maps across the country, democrats probably win 280-290 house seats minimum this election. We still need to pass national redistricting reform. We have until 2030 to do so but we should probably do it right now.
Dems should get rid of the filibuster next year instead of waiting for a trifecta in 2029 and I'll explain why. Looking at the map, we'll likely hold the house and senate until at least 2030. If Dems win the presidency that's 2 years with a trifecta. That's not a lot of time./1
We also need to pass legislation beyond just institutional reforms that will address voter's material concerns with the economy, prices, energy, healthcare, housing, the war, etc. Even if Trump vetoes most of those./8
Even if dems get a senate supermajority in 2028 you can't delude yourself into thinking we shouldn't get rid of the filibuster. Everything about the recent history of the last 2 dem presidents suggests not doing to would be a catastrophic mistake and lead to a failed presidency.
I owe some people an apology for thinking states like Mississippi and South Carolina were too red to ever flip on the senate level.
Ok, one thing is very clear here. Turnout was indeed better for dems than 2024 but it's clear to me that the vast majority of what we're seeing is unprecedented persuasion gains.
If we get 56 seats there's an outside chance to get a filibuster proof trifecta in 2028. But I will say ahead of time that we MUST eliminate the filibuster. A lot of these red state dems are going to be annoying conservadems. The next dem president MUST be successful.
I'd really like to troll some Republicans right now but these results are just too captivating to care about that sorry. I've never seen anything like this.
On top of all the really obvious and stupid political moves of the Trump presidency the Iran war has to be an all timer in American political history. Like literally no president except him was ever stupid enough to do it. Even the past neocon admins.
Some of these results I can't even believe... it'll take days to sift through the GOP's corpse at this rate.
NYT/Siena is really putting a lot on the line here. Which is more than I can say about a lot of other pollsters right or wrong.