Political Scientists, #APSA #MPSA #SPSA Meetings, #Electoral #Forecasts, #Theories & #Practices #Election #Vote #Forecast #Polls #Econometrics #Models
Joined March 2018
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POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
Congrats !
@JADPhD last year’s winner of APSA Forecasting Best Paper award and 2026 winners : Cornelius Erfort , Lukas F. Stoetzer @ThomasGswend, Elias Koch, Simon Munzert, @HannahRajski for “ The Zweitstimme model: a Forecast of the 2025 German Federal Election”.
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
Last evening : friendly atmosphere and fruitful exchanges @pol4casting business meeting! @MaryStegmaier @DebraLeiter @mlewisbeck Charles Tien @r_dassonneville @BrunoJerome_Z …(1/2)
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
Great panels and roundtable today in Boston @pol4casting!
@APSAtweets
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
Great fun today presenting on a @pol4casting panel our @MaryStegmaier @mlewisbeck new paper using amazing @verasight_data. So many great forecasting papers today! If you are presenting a forecast @APSAtweets , let us know!
We had the opportunity to attend @DebraLeiter's fascinating presentation on citizen forecasting this morning at #APSA2026
Debra's paper with Michael Lewis-Beck and @MaryStegmaier, "The Iron Law of Congressional Midterm Loss: The 2026 Challenge," predicts the midterms from citizen forecasts across four waves of Verasight surveys.
Thanks to Debra for presenting!
Read about citizen forecasting: centerforpolitics.org/crysta…
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
Save the date! Join us soon in Boston for American Political Science Association annual meeting @APSAtweets
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
Here's a little something that might interest a number of you, part of a forum in the Journal of Public Policy: cambridge.org/core/journals/…. Many thanks to editor Josh Ryan and the commentators Samuel Bagg, Tara Grillos, Agustin Markarian, and Mary Scudder!
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
Dear political forecasters, don’t miss the deadline for the 2026 @APSAtweets meeting in Boston!
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
A lire sur le site du @Le_Figaro @GTabard
🗳️notre synthèse définitive de l’évolution de la stabilité partisane
📍de notre panel ElectionScope
📍des 673 villes de plus de 10 000 habitants.
lefigaro.fr/politique/apres-…
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
⚠️Don’t forget the deadline is today!⚠️
🚨Don’t miss the deadline ‼️
You have until the 14th of January to send out APSA proposals for the upcoming Boston APSA meeting
Submit them here ! : connect.apsanet.org/apsa2026…
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
What does independence mean today? Submit manuscripts to @pspolisci.bsky.social Special Issues on Rethinking the Global Legacies of 1776. Deadline: February 15, 2026
View submission details and submit: buff.ly/t5Ay1mm
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
ICYMI
Who do citizens trust to tackle the climate crisis—politicians or experts?
@mimprota95 & Mannoni show concern about environmental issues increases support for technocratic rather than partisan figures
#Representation #Politics
@unisiena
tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.…
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
See you September 3-6 2026 at @APSAtweets Meeting in Boston, MA!
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
Don’t forget our @pol4casting.bsky.social business meeting today at 12:00 PM PDT in Marriott Vancouver Pinnacle Downtown dundarave
All @apsa.bsky.social members are welcome ! Feel free to attend and become a @pol4casting.bsky.social member!
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
It was a pleasure to chair and to be the discussant of the papers of such a wonderful @apsa.bsky.social panel! Thanks you all @HannahRajski @MaryStegmaier @BrunoJerome_Z
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
News Alert for Political scientists and political forecasters : only two weeks before the SPSA deadline !
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
#USElection2024 Les prévisions de 13 modèles quantitatifs (achevées fin juillet) des économistes, politistes et polito-économistes aujourd'hui dans @Le_Figaro. Par @BrunoJerome_Z , @VeroniqueJEROME et @Fnodelanglois. En moyenne, Trump l'emporte sur le fil. lefigaro.fr/international/pr…
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
I give some thoughts on forecasting and the presidential election …. boisestate.edu/sps/blog/2024…
POLITICAL FORECASTING GROUP retweeted
Here is the world debut of “Variations on Democracy”, composed by @LeeHartmanMusic and performed by the Mid America Freedom Band. Thank you @APSAtweets Herring Fund for Political Art for your support
m.youtube.com/watch?v=sx0aUp…