Pollfinity

2026 Texas Governor 🔴 Greg Abbott (R): 48% (+2) 🔵 Gina Hinojosa (D): 46% Yougov (A) @yougovamerica, RV, n=1,000, Oct 13-21 Poll for N+ Univision

Trump net approval is -20 in this poll. Trump Job Approval 🔴 Disapprove: 59% 🔵 Approve: 39% Harvard Caps-Harris, RV, n=2,700, Oct 24-26

2026 Texas Senate 🔵 James Talarico (D): 50% (+5) 🔴 Ken Paxton (R): 45% Yougov (A) @yougovamerica, RV, n=1,000, Oct 13-21 Poll for N+ Univision

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY: 2026 Ohio 🔵 Sherrod Brown: 48.0% 🔴 Jon Husted: 44.0% Marist University | n=1,176 | lv | 2026-10-15 – 2026-10-18 Does this match your expectations?

Democratic candidate leading in Texas Senate while Trump dominates statewide—a split-ticket scenario worth watching. 2026 Texas Senate Race 🔵 Talarico: +2 to +5 avg 🔴 Republican: Trailing in all 8 polls 2024: Trump +14 statewide Politix+ average of recent polls | | Texas likely voters

Michigan Senate rematch shows a 7-point Democratic lead in a state Trump just won by 1—a notable split between presidential and Senate performance. 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate 🔵 Abdul El-Sayed (D): 52% 🔴 Mike Rogers (R): 45% 2024: Trump +1 Marist Poll #A | n=1,185 | Michigan registered voters | Oct 15-18, 2026

Texas Senate is tied at 45%, and Libertarian Ted Brown is pulling 5%. 🔵 Talarico (D): 45% 🔴 Paxton (R): 45% 🟡 Brown (L): 5% 2024: Trump +14 Rasmussen #B | n=965 LV | Oct 20–21 Independents: Talarico 45, Paxton 43 (R-leaning firm)

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY: Texas Senate Race 2026 🟢 James Talarico (D): 48% 🔴 Ken Paxton (R): 44% Siena/ReconMR | n=617 | Likely Voters | Oct 5–8, 2026

Texas Side by side with recent polls.

🚨 BREAKING FROM POLLFINITY Texas Senate: Talarico 48%, Paxton 43%. Brown (L) 2%, undecided 5%. Inside the margin. Pollfinity Research | N=278 registered voters | Texas | Oct 15-18, 2026 | MoE ±6.5

Republican pollster Fabrizio showing historic Democratic gains in Senate map 2026 Senate Battlegrounds 🔵 North Carolina (Cooper): +11 🔵 Texas (Talarico): +4 🔵 Alaska (Peltola): +6 🔵 Ohio (Brown): +3 🔵 Maine (Jackson): +3 🔵 Georgia (Ossoff): +9 🔵 Michigan (El-Sayed): +1 Fabrizio (R) & Impact (A) for AARP | #C | Conducted for AARP Note: Source is third-party X account; verify against original topline.

Marshall faces a historic collapse with independent Kansas voters. Kansas Senate (Independent Voters) 🔵 Adam Hamilton: 62% 🔴 Roger Marshall: 29% Insider Advantage #C | n=360 LV | Independent voters

Alaska's ranked-choice system reshapes the race: Begich gains 6 points in final round as third-party votes consolidate. 2026 Alaska At-Large House Race 🔴 Nick Begich (incumbent): 53% (final RCV round) 🔵 Bill Hill: 47% First round: Begich 47%, Hill 35%, Hafner 8%, McDermott 5% NYT/Siena #B | 9/24–10/1 | Likely voters

Montana's open seat race is essentially tied as Labor Day passes. Montana CD-01 🔵 Aaron Flint (R): 45.9% 🔴 Sam Forstag (D): 45.4% 🟡 Nick Sheedy (L): 5.4% American Pulse Research #C | n=? | likely voters | Sept 19-24, 2026

Trump's cost of living approval hits a historic low across both his terms Cost of Living Handling 🔴 Approve: 17% 🔵 Disapprove: 82% Only 7% say his handling is better than expected. AP/NORC #C

Democrat leads by 1 in Texas Senate, running 14 points ahead of Trump's 2024 margin in the state. 🔵 Texas Senate Race 🔵 Talarico (D): 46% 🔴 Paxton (R): 45% 🟡 Brown (L): 4% 2024: Trump +14 Rasmussen #C | n=1,128 LV | Sept. 28–29 Key: Talarico leads independents 48–34.

Ohio governor's race, Pollfinity Research poll. 🔵 Amy Acton: 49% 🔴 Vivek Ramaswamy: 42% 🟡 Don Kissick: 2% Someone else: 3% | Undecided: 3% Pollfinity Research | n=496 | Registered voters | Sept 16-18, 2026

Democrats' largest generic ballot lead in YouGov/Economist history. 2026 Generic Ballot 🔵 Democrats: 51% 🔴 Republicans: 39% Trend: Oct 2018: D+6 | Oct 2022: R+1 | Sept 2026: D+12 YouGov/Economist #A | Sept 1-30, 2026