the prediction market super app trade and earn
Joined September 2018
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Polyguana retweeted
I think I've identified the Predict Fun Exploit
The third party responsible for the hack is likely @ApidogHQ & @algolia
Archived dev.predict.fun pages identify Apidog as the documentation platform, with Algolia powering its configured search.
1. predict fun accidentally left their website’s administrative "search index keys" open to the public on an API doc.
2. Using that key, hackers injected 36 fake, poisonous search results (ADT-N-0 to ADT-N-z). Because they mapped to every letter and number, typing any character triggered them.
3. When developers or users searched for anything on the docs site, the database instantly fetched the hacker's fake, infected data.
4. The website used a risky coding method (dangerouslySetInnerHTML) to load search results, blindly running the hacker's hidden script without checking it first.
5. Once the script ran, hackers could spy on the browser, hijack active sessions, and steal wallet keys or redirect crypto transactions.
🚨 HACK ALTERT : Predictdofun drained for $400,000 of user funds !
User's wallets are being drained and laundered through Tornado Cash.
trader @dethective saw $5,000 disappear from his account.
New victims keep emerging every minute.
Onchain investigator @Naeven_ identified:
- 19 affected wallets
- 105 ETH (~$260K) traced
- Funds bridged from BNB Chain to Ethereum
Stolen assets subsequently forwarded to Tornado Cash
but it's likely an underestimate as predictdotfun themselves report >400,000 USDT in losses.
Predict dot fun is compromised, keep away from it.
Did you know Polyguana lets you propose markets yourself? 🦎
• Deposit $KHYPE on Polyguana
• Trade anytime with ZERO lockup
• Earn $POLY yield (points) while your funds sit idle
• When we hit 500k $KHYPE total → Polyguana becomes a proposer and feeds market revenue back into user rewards
Stake $KHYPE, retain 100% trading flexibility.
Become the whale.
Hyperliquid.
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Polyguana retweeted
Points distribution #2 went out today
10000 Points + referral rewards distributed
Come join the fun: polyguana.net/points
Polyguana retweeted
0.3% of wallet generate 70% of Polymarket's volume.
that's only 10k wallets out of 3.2M.
Whales are carrying the platform.
The concentration is INSANE:
- Top 0.3% of wallets: 70% total volume
- Top 1%: 80.3%
- Remaining 99%: 19.7%
But trading profits are even more concentrated:
- Top 100: 28.6% of all profits
- Top 1,000: 55%
- Top 10,000: 79.4%
So if you are not in these 10k (0.3%) you probably have a negative PnL
And that's how things are supposed to work.
It's the basic economic cycle of a trading platform :
The platform attract retails -> retail attract whales -> whales create volume -> volume entails fees for the platform.
So if you ever ask yourself why Polymarket (or any other platform) tend to resolve controversial markets in favor of whales.
Remember that you are not the one making them money, whales are.
Polyguana retweeted
Will there be a new frontier AI model this month?
Claude Fable 5.5 or GPT Terra?
Grok 4.8 - maybe?
Best odds on the AI Race from
@Kalshi @Polymarket @trylimitless and @HyperliquidX
Just $POLY
Points distribution #2 went out today
10000 Points + referral rewards distributed
Come join the fun: polyguana.net/points
Polyguana retweeted
Surprised by the turn of events in Brazil?
You wouldn’t be if you were watching the odds on Polyguana.
Polyguana aggregates real-time quotes from Hyperliquid, Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi, giving you the fastest signals and the best fills in the market.
Trade politics, elections, and global outcomes while earning constant passive yield on your capital + outpace inflation by stacking PolyPoints.
Just $POLY. 🦎📈
Surprised by the turn of events in Brazil?
You wouldn’t be if you were watching the odds on Polyguana.
Polyguana aggregates real-time quotes from Hyperliquid, Polymarket, Limitless, and Kalshi, giving you the fastest signals and the best fills in the market.
Trade politics, elections, and global outcomes while earning constant passive yield on your capital + outpace inflation by stacking PolyPoints.
Just $POLY. 🦎📈
Polyguana retweeted
We show who is on the other side of a Polymarket trade. Polyguana places it, from one balance across Polymarket, Hyperliquid and Limitless. Same team as PM Wisdom.
Just joined Polyguana to start earning $POLY.
Polyguana code: WSG6NZ xitter.cf/polyguana/status/21086…
No VC. No presale. No fees on top.
Just tokens. Just $Poly. Just community.
PolyPoints start today.
Will there be a new frontier AI model this month?
Claude Fable 5.5 or GPT Terra?
Grok 4.8 - maybe?
Best odds on the AI Race from
@Kalshi @Polymarket @trylimitless and @HyperliquidX
Just $POLY
Polyguana retweeted
Leverage for Prediction Markets will never be big.
At best it's a niche product.
Each dot is a type of Polymarket trader with 5x leverage, priced so the lender breaks even. Further right = more of them end up better off. Higher = the lender makes money on them. Bigger = more of the volume.
No group reaches 50%. In every one, most traders end up worse off with leverage than without.
Now look at the two dots furthest right, pros and sports bettors. Both are below zero: the lender loses money on them.
The highest dots? Retail and bonders, the people who want leverage most and get hurt by it.
And the giant dot is whales, almost three-quarters of all the money. They're sitting on cash. They don't need a loan.
So it loses money on the traders it helps and makes money on the ones it hurts. That's a niche, not a market.
The audience for leverage is thin / no in the market yet.
Full case study in comments
Polyguana retweeted
The real question: is W. Legate actually loyal to anyone?
> Become a Thiel Fellow
> Start as a left-wing Democrat bashing Trump
> Found a pillow startup Lose your co-founder
> Pivot to conservative and join Kalshi
> Jump ship from Kalshi to Polymarket
> Pump shady influencer campaigns for growth
> Go full Republican retweeting racist posts
Say what you want about Legate. The man wears a lot of hats.
Is he a genius marketer who knows exactly how to adapt and find his place in the sun, or a carefully planted psyop?
What side are you on? | EP. 5
Traders put the next GPT Terra release by November 30 at 83%.
Our AI page tracks upcoming model releases alongside the LMArena leaderboard and markets on who finishes first.
See who leads now, what’s expected to ship next and how the odds change:
polyguana.net/predictions/ai…
