Prediction Market Weekly #7.
Sixth Circuit on sports contracts.
CFTC swap filing under review. Gemini’s October date cut from 80 to 26.
A pledge is not a spend. “Unlikely” is not an invasion.
S4 closes 2 Oct. Full article ↓
Prediction Market Weekly #6.
Clarity cloture was last week. This week the hangover: CFTC guidance, Yahoo drops Polymarket data, Hormuz “could” vs 1% on a September reopen.
T1–T3 closed at $20.4M. S4 opens 28 Sep.
Full article ↓
Prediction Market Weekly #5.
Senate cloture on Clarity failed. Year-end “signed” is not “debated.”
FOMC is today - the statement is the contract.
Kalshi took almost all of last week’s volume.
S4 tournament will be LIVE SOON...
Full article ↓
Predict365 Prediction Market Weekly #4.
SCOTUS petition. Polymarket perps (not a prediction).
FCA talks, not a repeal. NFL week 1 after the World Cup hangover.
Deep dive more
S2 on Predict365 locks Friday.
$44.8B a month across two platforms. ICE has already put $2B into Polymarket. This isn't gambling money anymore, it's market infrastructure money.
Full numbers in Issue #1.







