
Macro crypto analyst β’ Founder of @9livescapital β’ Crypto since '17 β’ Have a plan, join the #Catfam π±ποΈ (free 7 day trial!) β’ Early bear of 2025
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I could post a long, frustrated rant about how permabull guru's are just wrong. Most will hold their (rekt) alts all the way to zero and take you with them.
This is my 3rd cycle, been here since 2017. I know what a top looks like. And this⦠is exactly that.
Youβre always welcome in the catfam (Discord) to learn about the macro and current bear setup, now or later, when you realize a community of cats beats the solo grind.
Iβll retweet this in 2026 when we tap $40k and reward my loyal cats.
Cat out π€
nitter.gq/WatcherGuru/status/211β¦
π€π» Indeed
Pro tip: not the time to be holding alts rn, taking profit last week was the way IMO. This needs another flush.
94k incoming π€gonna be an interesting week.
Ppl need to realize:
- Alts can have a small to 'decent little run', nothing HUGE like many suggest.
- BTC has a (main) scenario where it locally tops @ 94k but also one where it can top @ 105k ish if strength sets in.
Anything higher is hopium. Long alts short to midterm and looking for BTC shorts @ 94 and 105k key levels is the way to go IMO.
TLDR: shortterm long alts, macro (still) short BTC.
Ppl need to realize:
- Alts can have a small to 'decent little run', nothing HUGE like many suggest.
- BTC has a (main) scenario where it locally tops @ 94k but also one where it can top @ 105k ish if strength sets in.
Anything higher is hopium. Long alts short to midterm and looking for BTC shorts @ 94 and 105k key levels is the way to go IMO.
TLDR: shortterm long alts, macro (still) short BTC.
$RUNE up 20% and going β
οΈ
Alot of juicy altcoin setups in the market rn. Treating those separately from BTC which is in a complex setup right now.
Long alts with the catfam π€π» great setups in VIP Discord.
Replying to @9livescapital
@9livescapital launched its first macro indicator π₯π₯
Flip Bands v1 π
This will be rolled out to all paying Discord members via Tradingview access within 2 weeks.
Flip bands indicated a solid long setup on 3D thorchain:native here. Took the bait and am long towards ~3$.
This is relatively short term trade as I'm expecting BTC to perform for a bit here in its macro bearish environment.
Bottom of my target box (~89k) tapped yday. Question now remains:
Does BTC turn back bear here of from 94k area?
42%Here, it's over
27%@ 94k area indeed
31%We go 100k+ ser
180 votes β’ Final resultsMarkets move. Cats adapt π
Max long alts since this morning, with BTC heading toward ~$94K. I expect BTC to chop there while alts have their fun.
My macro bear target remains ~$36K. To me, this is a massive bull trap. Iβll start adding to shorts if BTC reaches the $94K zone.
Expansion to said zone soon, solid weekly close π€
It's funny how many ppl are publicly making fun of @benjamincowen while having no clue about TA in general and have not accomplished anything in this space π€·ββοΈ
The guy actually has a system, invested alot of time and put himself out there, trying to teach. Nothing but respect π₯
'Me vs the market' feeling was never higher since last few months.
However, it will be even stronger when we tap my projected $89-94k zone coming days.
Shorting that zone? definitely not a crowded trade. But I have my reasons and time will tell if we can make new lows or not to pump my shorts.
Cat out
Call me delusional (some do, I don't rlly care πΈ)
- Sweep of $89-94k zone (very soon IMO)
- Bull euphoria to the max
- Road to new lows sets in rather quick
That's my main scenario still (sub $40k prices).
A lot can happen to invalidate my macro thesis (the target part). Time will tell π€
If BTC puts in a solid close this week (above 81k) chances are decent we're going to see a short squeeze into the $89-94k zone.
This aligns with my macro c-fork target which I gave a lower probability to hit than breaking down from the range here. Can't have every MTF move right.
$100k+ and 'new ATH/ cycle' theories won't happen IMO before tapping sub 40k bear targets. More has to happen to invalidate that thesis.
Macro low lev short stops @ 96k (TP) while lowering option exposure a good chunk.
TLDR, 12-15% higher before lower likely. Might be a good move to hold some solid alts as a hedge (for the short cats.)
Ppl hyped about a 8% move while I'm just adding to my EOY put positions.
Nothing bullish to see yet, need much stronger PA for that.
#shortandchill



