Delivering multi-asset research & strategy https://nitter.gq/t.co/FzBZGI5oDM
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Joined November 2012
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Rationale is my research service that provides actionable trade ideas and in-depth market analysis across equities, FX, futures, ETFs, and crypto.📊📉
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Trade Ideas Equities: GOLD(NYSE), WWW(NYSE), ARW(NYSE), HUBS(NYSE), HPE(NYSE)
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Trade Ideas Equities: RYTM(NASDAQ), FERG(NYSE), AWK(NYSE), ELAN(NYSE), EWTX(NASDAQ), INFY(NSE)
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What might $TGT outperforming $SMCI imply about the market right now? 🧵👇
They aren't competitors, so it comes down to risk appetite. Outperformance by a legacy retailer over an AI server play usually points to profit-taking in crowded tech trades, hardware margin pressure, and a flight to steady cash flows.
One of the first things I learned when I started my career on the FX desk was using $AUDJPY to gauge risk sentiment.
AUD is a commodity exporter’s currency, in demand when the global economy, especially China, is growing or expected to grow. JPY is a safe haven, in demand when investors want stability.
Other drivers matter too, like rate differentials and commodity prices tied to each currency etc, but potential JPY outperformance against AUD is a signal to be cautious.
The Turkiye Bank Index in USD terms continues its range bound activity on the weekly chart. Support has managed to hold so far.
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$SLVP - iShares MSCI Global Silver and Metals Miners ETF daily chart formed a 7 month-long descending triangle, acting as a top reversal after an uptrend. Price tested the 200 day EMA and got rejected so far.
$XSW (State Street SPDR S&P Software & Services ETF) weekly chart is pulling back after breaking out of a 25 month rectangle.
$KSA - iShares Saudi Arabia ETF is pulling back towards old support, new resistance area!
$FLQM (Franklin U.S. Mid Cap Multifactor Index ETF) update!
Breakout from a 20 month cup and handle, pullback, and resumed higher. Acting as a Type 3 breakout.
What is a Type 3 breakout? Price pulls back deep enough to violate the last full day low, but holds above the pattern negation level, and then buyers regain control.
blog.techcharts.net/2026/07/…
$FLQM weekly chart
20-month-long Cup & Handle chart pattern as a bullish continuation after an uptrend.
$CLOU - Another potential candidate for a type 3 breakout. If price violates the last full day low, holds above the pattern negation level, and then resumes higher, we can label it a Type 3 breakout.
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